2
- 3年前
八点最热报 | 全球知名金融信息和分析公司穆迪最新发布的报告指出，后疫情时代，以及地缘政治紧张导致的国际供应链重组，正为东盟国家带来更多外国直接投资（FDI)的机遇。受访的经济分析师认为，对于相比其他东盟国家，我国在争取FDI外国直接投资的表现“比上不足，比下有余”，但大马还是有自己很强的先天地理优势。（主播：梁宝仪）
类别
🗞
新闻消息文字稿
00:00 Before watching the video, I remind you that there is more content on the Hotpoint website.
00:04 For developing countries, foreign direct investment, FDI, is the driving force for economic growth.
00:11 According to the data, among the rankings of the FDI competition last year,
00:15 China has already outperformed Indonesia and Vietnam.
00:19 In the 1990s, in Southeast Asia, China was the largest foreign investment beneficiary after Singapore.
00:26 However, the amount of foreign investment in China has already surpassed Indonesia and Vietnam.
00:31 Even Thailand has been ahead.
00:34 In front of foreign investment, Malaysia's charm is gone.
00:36 What is the problem?
00:39 Indonesia attracted $2.2 billion in FDI last year.
00:43 Vietnam has $180 billion.
00:45 Malaysia only attracted $1.7 billion.
00:49 Looking back at the 1990s, Malaysia was only behind Singapore in attracting foreign direct investment.
00:55 Malaysia was not far behind Singapore.
00:58 In 1991, Malaysia's foreign investment was about 30% of the region.
01:03 It was only 36% of Singapore.
01:06 Malaysia was significantly higher than Thailand, which was only ranked third.
01:09 Malaysia accounted for about 15% of Thailand.
01:12 The large amount of FDI investment brought a once-in-a-lifetime economic boom to Malaysia.
01:19 The latest report by the world-famous financial information and analysis company Mudi Analysis
01:25 The post-pandemic era and the geopolitical tension have led to a resurgence of international supply chains.
01:30 It is bringing more opportunities for foreign direct investment FDI to the Eastern European countries.
01:35 However, in the fight for direct foreign investment in FDI that flows into the Eastern European countries,
01:41 how much can Malaysia catch?
01:43 Can it beat other Eastern European countries?
01:48 The report by Mudi Analysis also pointed out that
01:49 China is facing economic problems such as high debt and lack of real estate and domestic demand.
01:55 European and American countries are also trying to transfer global supply chain demand from China to the United States.
02:03 Some foreign funds are being distributed and transferred to the Chinese companies.
02:08 Therefore, Asian countries, including our country Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand,
02:12 may be able to successfully attract more FDI and benefit from it.
02:17 The Minister of Trade, Zafrul, said at the first meeting of the Eastern European Economic Minister in Indonesia
02:22 According to the 2022 Eastern European FDI report,
02:25 while the global FDI has fallen by 12%,
02:29 the FDI in the Eastern European countries has grown in reverse.
02:33 The growth of the same ratio is 5%, which is a total of US$2.2 billion.
02:39 This is also the highest record in the history of the flow of FDI into the Eastern European countries.
02:45 The Eastern European countries have become the largest investment acceptance block in the development of the world.
02:50 Professor Lin Fuyan and his own financial analyst Zhang Guolin
02:53 agreed when they received the 8-point Global Times report.
02:56 After the Sino-US trade war, the international supply chain is being regrouped.
03:01 Many foreign companies are looking for a "China +1" business strategy.
03:06 In addition to the supply chain that has been highly dependent on China in the past,
03:09 they want to add an additional country or region to reduce risks and increase the willfulness of the supply chain.
03:16 The geographical position of Southeast Asia has a great advantage.
03:20 So I believe that in the next few years, the Eastern European countries will attract a lot of FDI.
03:25 If we look back at last year's data,
03:30 we are in the middle, which is less than or below.
03:36 So we know that in the next few years,
03:40 the theory is that Southeast Asia will attract a lot of foreign direct investment.
03:45 After all, everyone knows that the supply chain problem is related to China and the United States.
03:50 So many people want to say that China +1 Taiwan +1
03:53 So there must be a lot of people coming.
03:55 But the question is, which country to go?
03:57 In fact, if we look at the data, we have already started to see the tail lights of other people.
04:02 A little later, maybe we won't see the tail lights of other people.
04:05 It's like comparing with Singapore, we can't see its tail lights.
04:09 Compared with other Eastern European countries,
04:11 China is fighting for FDI, the performance of foreign direct investment.
04:15 Both of the respondents described it in the same way.
04:18 Less than or below.
04:20 Professor Lin Fuyan, professor of the Department of Northeastern Economics, even described
04:23 that it used to be Indonesia and Vietnam that were looking at China's tail lights.
04:27 But now the situation is completely the opposite.
04:30 Why can Indonesia and Vietnam later catch up?
04:35 Self-employed financial analyst Zhang Guoli believes that
04:37 although Indonesia has an advanced population and market advantage,
04:40 this is not the main reason why Indonesia successfully overtook.
04:44 Indonesia has actually made a big change.
04:46 The reason why the population is more, labor is cheaper is not the main reason.
04:50 Because after all, in the past 20 years,
04:52 Malaysia attracted more foreign direct investment, Indonesia very little.
04:55 But in the past 10 years,
04:56 the changes of President Jokowi in the past two years, five years, five years,
05:01 have optimized many places.
05:04 If you want to invest, it is very convenient,
05:06 and there are many special discounts from various aspects.
05:09 So it has become, it has started to attract a lot of trade, investment, manufacturing.
05:15 In the past, few people dared to go to Indonesia.
05:17 Vietnam is because of its manufacturing industry, its discounts,
05:20 and its strong labor capacity.
05:22 So they must be ahead of Malaysia.
05:25 In the last year's FDI fight,
05:28 Indonesia and Vietnam won the fight.
05:31 The main reason is that after President Jokowi took office,
05:34 the sustained and firm political reform
05:36 brought political stability to the country.
05:39 And Vietnam is a population-driven and policy-driven.
05:42 But Lin Fuyan thinks that Malaysia still has its own strong geographical advantage,
05:47 which allows us to catch FDI and take our economy.
05:50 We have our advantages.
05:52 Our geographical position is better than Thailand and Indonesia.
05:57 Through investing in Malaysia, we can reach other markets in Southeast Asia.
06:03 And another thing is that we are very close to Singapore.
06:07 Singapore is a super strong magnet that attracts foreign investment.
06:11 A super big magnet.
06:12 But Singapore is a very small country.
06:14 It can't eat so much.
06:16 It has reached a saturation point.
06:18 Our so-called foreign investment has many different shapes.
06:22 That is to say, there are high-quality ones and there are different ones.
06:25 So some foreign investments may be released in Singapore.
06:29 The Sino-US trade war, the COVID-19 pandemic,
06:36 and the Russian-U.S. war have caused the resumption of international supply chains.
06:39 Southeast Asian countries have a new opportunity in the midst of the crisis.
06:43 There is hope that foreign direct investment FDI can be transferred from China.
06:49 According to the ranking of the amount of FDI investment in the East Asia last year,
06:53 about 60%, which is more than half of the FDI,
06:57 was transferred to one country,
06:59 which is Singapore.
07:01 Singapore has also been a big help in transferring other Southeast Asian countries.
07:05 Singapore's total FDI in 2022 reached $1.4 billion.
07:10 Compared with the $1.7 billion of our country's investment,
07:15 that is an eightfold difference.
07:18 However, Singapore is just a small country with a small land area,
07:21 no population, and no large market.
07:24 And the supplies are not cheap.
07:26 It is several times more expensive than other East Asian countries.
07:29 But why has the FDI still fallen to Singapore over the years?
07:34 What is the most important factor in foreign investment?
07:38 How does China take advantage of the geographical advantage of Singapore
07:42 and accept the FDI released in Singapore?
07:47 Stay tuned for tomorrow's special report.
07:49 (Music)
07:52 (Music)
07:55 [BLANK_AUDIO]