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- 3年前
八点最热报 | 明天就是柔佛双补选的投票日，虽然上阵的是来自诚信党的候选人，但有分析认为，对团结阵营来说，真正打这场仗的却是巫统和首相安华。对安华来说，如果公正党在双补选里表现不好，可能会影响安华在党内的威望。而柔佛作为巫统起家的地方，巫统到底还有多少底气，就要看能不能守住柔佛州这最后的堡垒。（主播：蔡心惠）
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00:00 Before watching the video, I remind you that there is more content on the Hotline.
00:03 Tomorrow is the voting day for the Rofo double-national election.
00:07 Although the candidates from the Chenxin Party are all from the Pulai National Assembly and the Xinjiang-Pakistan Second Southern Conference,
00:13 for the Tujian-Tibetan camp, the real battle is between the Wu Tong and Prime Minister An Hua.
00:19 Political scientist Pan Yongqiang believes that the two-nation elections
00:23 have not had much direct impact on the Chenxin Party or the active party that is running for the election.
00:29 In the end, the political effect will only be reflected on Wu Tong and An Hua.
00:34 Whether they like it or not, this double-national election will be Wu Tong's last trump card,
00:38 another test for An Hua.
00:40 Pan Yongqiang pointed out that for An Hua, this is another test for her as the prime minister after leading the army in the state election.
00:46 In the case that the state election results are not ideal,
00:49 if the double-national election is not won beautifully enough,
00:52 or if she loses one of the games,
00:54 then her trump card will also be revealed.
00:57 Her leadership in the party will be impacted.
01:00 At that time, the religious factions in the party will also force her to run for the right.
01:05 Zheng Minglie, a senior researcher at Huayan, also believes that
01:09 Rongfu is where Wu Tong started.
01:12 How much confidence does Wu Tong have?
01:14 It depends on whether it can guard the last fortress of Rongfu.
01:18 If Rongfu still cannot show that the Wu Tong grassroots have a consistent support,
01:24 then it will be difficult for the government to unite and to oppose the green tide all over the country.
01:31 But if the cooperation between the state and the West is brilliant,
01:35 then it shows that Wu Tong still has the main force to stabilize the West in the Malan election.
01:41 It is also the beginning of Wu Tong and the West officially blowing the whistle to the state.
01:46 Professor Awang Asman, a professor at the University of Madaff, believes that
01:48 this double-national election is very important for An Hua,
01:51 because it shows the people that Wu Tong and the West can cooperate and coexist,
01:56 and can make a beautiful move at a critical moment.
02:00 If both of these double-nationals perform well,
02:03 then there is hope for the current united government to stabilize.
02:06 This small national election is very important for An Hua
02:11 to show that this time they are really ready to face their opponents,
02:20 especially to convince the lower-level voters, the Aka Umbi voters,
02:24 that this cooperation with the National People's Party of China should give a better decision,
02:30 and this cooperation will be able to stabilize the government.
02:34 I think the victory lies in the fact that Wu Tong's original supporters
02:39 and the West have cooperated, so how will they go?
02:41 After all, I think the state of Ropo is a indicator.
02:43 Because the state of Ropo is mainly that the land is relatively weak against the green tide.
02:47 The fact that the state of Ropo has always been a supporter of the Malaysian party
02:52 is not very big. It can only be seen in the past few places.
02:56 Professor Matafu, Wang Aziman and the senior researcher Zheng Minglie
03:00 all believe that this double-national election is not purely a matter of winning or losing,
03:04 but a show of the cooperation between the people and the West.
03:07 At the same time, it also proves the strength of Wu Tong's last card.
03:10 Politician Pan Yongqiang also believes that if the West wins not very beautifully
03:14 or loses one of the elections, it will hit Anhua and the Communist Party.
03:18 For the West, if the two elections are further frustrated,
03:23 it will definitely hit the Communist Party or Anhua,
03:27 not the pro-belief party in the upper ranks.
03:29 We all know that the pro-belief party is relatively small in the West,
03:33 and its organizational ability and resources are relatively weak.
03:36 So the election is mainly to fight the unity government or the prime minister's set of power,
03:42 or the unity government's personal performance.
03:45 Even if the two elections are lost, it is of course a defeat for the pro-belief party.
03:49 But the greater political pressure is transferred to Anhua,
03:53 or the unity government, or the Communist Party.
03:55 Pan Yongqiang believes that if the Communist Party does not perform well in the double-national election,
03:59 it may affect Anhua's prestige in the party.
04:01 For Anhua, this is another defeat after her six-week election.
04:05 Then the forces of the Communist Party's internal Islamic youth movement
04:08 may further move to the right and promote a relatively conservative policy.
04:11 In addition, it is also likely to challenge her leadership in the party.
04:15 The Communist Party has a strong force of Abim.
04:20 We see that the Minister of Education is the background of Abim.
04:23 We hope that the religious drama within the Communist Party will be more friendly.
04:28 The second pressure on Anhua is that
04:30 Anhua may face the challenge of the party's hostile drama in the next Communist Party election.
04:36 Because Anhua has been proven over and over again after six weeks of election,
04:40 it is impossible for her to have a call-up in the Malay election.
04:44 She may be challenged in the party's leadership.
04:47 Because the Lafayette drama will be pure and active.
04:50 But Wang Aziman believes that the situation of the Communist Party and the Uyghur is different.
04:54 After the Azim's drama left,
04:56 the anti-Anhua drama in the party has been cleared up.
04:58 Anhua also controls the party's machinery, so there will be no pressure to force the Communist Party.
05:02 Zheng Minglie believes that the Communist Party should know its own strength clearly.
05:06 They have a minimum of 31 seats
05:08 and the party-led government is a minority-led group.
05:12 So they know that they have no money to stir up trouble.
05:14 They will close the door to quarrel.
05:16 Because the Communist Party has been cleared up,
05:20 the Azim's and his allies are no longer in the Communist Party.
05:25 So, even though we know that the Lafayette drama has been a competitor to the anti-Anhua drama,
05:29 the opposition is still there.
05:31 Only in the election and after the clarification in the Communist Party,
05:35 there is more support for the anti-Anhua drama.
05:38 I believe that the Communist Party has no great power.
05:40 I believe that it will learn a lesson.
05:42 When the Azim and Anhua drama broke out,
05:45 there were so many people in turmoil.
05:47 I believe that the whole world is afraid of the grass.
05:50 Zheng Minglie believes that as long as the results of the double-election are not too bad,
05:59 the impact of Anhua will not be too great.
06:01 At least in the Communist Party, it will not cause internal strife so quickly.
06:05 But he believes that Anhua and the Communist Party must recognize their basics.
06:10 Don't be like the first party,
06:11 who is going to the right wing to win the votes of the Malay people.
06:14 If you think that there are no other choices for non-Malay voters,
06:18 and you can only cry and vote for Xi Meng,
06:20 he believes that the Chinese society that has been seen with a clear conscience
06:24 may rebound.
06:26 So Anhua must balance all parties and consider their own basics.
06:31 (Music)
06:35 (Music)
06:38 [BLANK_AUDIO]