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- 3年前
八点最热报 | 由首相安华领导的团结政府，在去年11月上台后，已经经历了六州选举和柔佛双补选的选举挑战，而短短10个月的“执政之路”不时还谣传，出现危机。如今熬过了这两个考验后，是不是代表团结政府接下来的4年，就可以高枕无忧？甚至下届大选也可以妥妥过关呢？（主播：梁宝仪）
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00:00 Before watching the video, let me remind you that there is more content on the Hotline.
00:04 The United Government, led by Prime Minister An Hua,
00:07 has experienced the election challenge of six-week election and double-re-election in November last year.
00:13 And the ten-month ruling journey has been rumored to be in crisis.
00:18 Now that we've passed these two tests,
00:20 does it mean that the United Government can be at ease for the next four years?
00:24 Even the next general election can be passed smoothly.
00:27 Will the green tide that the Formosan people started will break through some positive comments now?
00:31 The so-called "sky-high" will expand the election in the entire West Horse Peninsula.
00:35 Will the East Horse Party be defeated after the general election or the next general election?
00:40 Lu Zhaofu, the Minister of Transportation and the Secretary-General of the Action Party,
00:43 was at the National Forum hosted by Longxue Huatang yesterday.
00:46 He pointed out carefully during the presentation of the topic.
00:49 The challenge of the next four years is very critical.
00:52 He will decide whether the United Government can pass the national election in 2027.
00:58 If the United Government cannot accept the challenge of the next four years,
01:01 it will be meaningless to talk about the next ten years.
01:04 But he also said that after the five-year general election in March this year
01:08 and the six-week election in August,
01:10 the United Government has been stable.
01:13 And the biggest challenge is not only to ensure the stability of the government,
01:17 but also to be able to operate effectively.
01:19 The official scholars Huang Jinfa and Pan Yongqiang
01:22 all think that the United Government may be able to slow down in the next four years
01:25 when they accept the visit of the Eight-Point Journal.
01:29 Because the leadership of the Five-Year General Election is relatively stable now,
01:32 and the week-long election has passed.
01:34 But if the government is to be kept in the next general election,
01:37 it cannot be left to the side.
01:39 Because the green tide of the founding of the National Alliance has not completely dissipated,
01:43 and the East Horse Camp that now supports the United Government
01:47 may be replaced by a new side in the next general election.
02:13 Lu Zhaofu was yesterday in Longxue Huatang to celebrate the 100th anniversary of the founding of the Tang Dynasty.
02:17 He was a guest at the National Alliance forum
02:20 and said that the theme of the 10-year political challenge in the future of the Great Ma is "talking."
02:25 The forum also invited experts and scholars from three major fields,
02:28 from politics, economy and education,
02:30 to discuss the future prospects of the Great Ma together.
02:33 Lu Zhaofu said in his speech that
02:35 the East Horse Camp plays an important role in the current political situation.
02:39 He explained that there are 57 seats in Shaba, Shalayue and Namin,
02:43 so the support of the East Horse Camp is basically equivalent to the power of office.
02:48 The current United Government is able to keep 148 seats in the National Assembly
02:51 because it has 57 seats in the East Horse Camp,
02:54 which is a two-thirds advantage.
02:56 As for whether the West and the National Alliance will consider a pre-election alliance in the next general election,
03:00 Lu Zhaofu said that everything is still an unknown number.
03:04 But if the United Government performs well in the next four years,
03:07 the West and the National Alliance may join forces to fight for the 16th National Election.
03:12 If this United Government works well in the next four years,
03:16 there is no reason for us not to have any understanding going into election.
03:20 Because if we can perform and we can show to the world
03:23 that this model is working well for Malaysia,
03:26 and then cannot say that just because we want to have post-election coalition,
03:29 never mind, then we fight again in GE16.
03:31 So that is not, does not make sense.
03:34 As for the challenges the United Government faces,
03:37 political scientist Huang Jinfa and Pan Yongqiang said during an interview with the Eight-Point Daily News,
03:41 even if the East Horse Party continues to stand on the same side with the United Government in the next four years,
03:46 it does not mean that they are firm allies.
03:49 Because in the next general election, if the West and the National Alliance get more benefits and raise more prices,
03:55 the East Horse Party may change their stance at any time.
03:59 Lu Zhaofu just mentioned that because the East Horse has 57 seats,
04:02 if the West Horse Party wins 66 seats,
04:07 that is, add up to 123 seats,
04:10 you are actually more stable than the 112 middle line.
04:14 That means the National Alliance may have 99 seats on the Peninsula.
04:19 Do you think the National Alliance will accept that
04:22 because you have 123 seats, so I will sit in the East Horse Party?
04:27 And then we have a demonstration with you saying that we are the majority on the Peninsula,
04:32 we must be the government.
04:34 Do you think the East Horse Party will tell you,
04:37 I will cut you with two knives, I will definitely have a fight with you?
04:41 In the era of the National Government, the United Alliance can have many beneficial relations with the East Horse Party.
04:46 But because the situation of the West Horse Party has changed,
04:49 so there is more space for the East Horse Party to bargain with the East Horse Party.
04:55 Which camp is willing to give the East Horse Party more advantages,
04:59 the East Horse Party may adjust its position.
05:02 So the East Horse Party is definitely not a close lover.
05:06 The East Horse Party will be in a fight at any time.
05:09 Not only to worry about whether the East Horse Party will be in a fight,
05:14 the Green Dynasty is also a challenge that the United Camp needs to face.
05:17 Although the United Camp successfully held a one-state one-state election in the September Roufu Double Election,
05:22 the two commentators believe that this does not mean that the Green Dynasty has really come to the ceiling.
05:27 Because from the results of the Pulai election,
05:29 the majority of votes from the New Alliance and the National Government have decreased by more than 10,000 from the last election.
05:34 It proves that the United Nations has to a certain extent,
05:36 or the support rate of the United Camp has been weakened.
05:39 If the New Alliance believes that the two elections of Pulai and Simbang Jeram
05:46 represent good signs,
05:48 I am worried that they may make the same mistake again,
05:53 which is to think that the two elections are a one-night affair.
05:58 The National Alliance has indeed lost its momentum.
06:02 But if you think that this is the conclusion,
06:05 I think it is too optimistic.
06:07 The Green Dynasty cannot win 100% of the votes.
06:13 Or the Green Dynasty cannot cover all the voters.
06:17 It always has a ceiling.
06:20 But where is that ceiling?
06:23 It may still be too early to say.
06:26 It may still have some space.
06:29 For example, some states may come to the election,
06:33 and it can further penetrate or dye the green.
06:37 For example, Pengheng Province, Malacca, and Roufu Province.
06:45 The Green Dynasty
06:47 Facing the East Asian political parties that will shake at any time,
06:51 and the ever-evolving Green Dynasty,
06:53 how can the United Nations government led by Prime Minister Tsai Ing-wen
06:55 withstand the challenges of the past four years
06:58 and ensure that the next general election can win the hearts of the people?
07:01 The political scientist Pan Yongqiang said
07:03 that "the economy and the people's livelihood are the first priority of the United Nations government."
07:08 He added that "many times, the data given by the government is very beautiful."
07:12 For example, how much has the economic growth rate of China increased this year?
07:15 How much has the inflation rate dropped?
07:17 But these are just numbers.
07:20 The people at the bottom can't feel it.
07:22 Therefore, the government needs to transform the economy at this stage
07:25 so that the people can feel that the economy is really getting better,
07:29 and then continue to support them in the next general election.
07:31 In addition to taking economic action,
07:33 Pan Yongqiang said that "due to the unpredictable political situation,
07:36 the United Nations government should take advantage of the years of power.
07:41 We need to promote reform of the system quickly.
07:44 If the United Nations government can't continue to govern after the next general election,
07:49 the reform of the system now can ensure that the new government
07:53 can't be destroyed at will,
07:56 and can ensure that the United Nations government can overcome the challenges it faces at this stage.
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