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00:03 I'll tell you another game that looks very weird to me, Jacob.
00:07 The odds look very strange to me.
00:10 The Lions, if you didn't know any better, they're going into Tampa Bay.
00:13 I know no one thinks much of the Buccaneers, but
00:16 yet they're only three point favorites.
00:18 My goodness, total of 42 and a half.
00:20 I mean, everything points towards Tampa Bay for me on this one, Jacob,
00:25 because I think Detroit is just so much better than the Bucs.
00:29 But these lines are made for a reason.
00:31 What do you make of this game?
00:32 >> Yeah, I had a tough time with this one because generally speaking,
00:37 the book on Baker Mayfield is the following.
00:39 If he plays a team that generates a lot of pressure up front,
00:43 you're gonna wanna fade him in most circumstances.
00:46 Because when he's under pressure, he tends to make mistakes,
00:48 throw the balls away, have turnovers.
00:51 We saw it against the Eagles earlier in the season.
00:53 They lost by 14 in that game, and that was partially because the Eagles got a lot
00:57 of pressure on Baker Mayfield, didn't let him distribute the ball to his receivers.
01:01 That said, I think that the Lions have a good pass for us, but
01:05 I'm just worried about some of the injuries they have.
01:07 They're a little thin at running back right now, Sam Laporta at tight end.
01:11 He popped up on the injury report on Thursday, so
01:13 we're gonna see if he's able to play.
01:16 So if they're down a few receivers, the Lions that is,
01:18 they're going against tough defense too.
01:21 So this could end up being a lower scoring game than people kinda think.
01:24 When they think of the Lions, they think of, hey, they have a really good offense.
01:27 Their defense is improving.
01:28 So I'm kinda scared of this one.
01:30 I don't necessarily know that I would bet it.
01:33 But if I'm going solely on the theory that I have about Baker Mayfield going
01:36 against the pass for us that is Aiden Hutchinson,
01:39 who I think leads the NFL in pressures.
01:41 I think I have to back the Lions as three-point favorites.
01:44 But that line is scary.
01:46 Anytime you get a team with a solid record and a good passing game and
01:49 a solid defense as three-point home underdogs, that's something to be aware of
01:53 and something to be a little scared of.
01:54 [MUSIC]
