00:00store for some damaging flooding. But further north where I am in New York City,
00:04I know city beaches have been closed for Wednesday and I think Thursday too. So what will be the
00:11effect say north of the Carolinas and how much flooding could we perhaps expect to see in the
00:18New York City area? Yeah, I think in the New York City area, there's really not going to be a whole
00:22lot of flooding. There might be a little bit of tidal rise, but the main thing up in the New York
00:26City area and the Long Island beaches is going to be that dangerous rip current risk. And that's
00:31going to go throughout the rest of the week and maybe even into Saturday as well potentially. So
00:35even after the storm is long gone, some of those waves will still be angry out there and that surf
00:41is still going to be very dangerous. So if those lifeguards are telling you not to go in the water,
00:46if those red flags are up, please, please, please heed those warnings and stay out of the water.
00:51We don't want your life to be put at risk and we don't want the lifeguards' lives to be put at risk
00:55if they have to go out and rescue you if you didn't listen to them. So please, please, please
00:59stay out of the water. This is going to be a very dangerous week for East Coast beaches. Again,
01:04this is the entirety of the East Coast. Florida to Maine to Eastern Canada, everybody needs to be very,
01:11very mindful of these dangerous rip currents. And a lot of times you can't see them and you step in
01:16the water. Even if you go up just to your knees, you know, even if you kind of lose your footing,
01:20you can still be swept away. So please don't even enter the water at all along these East Coast
01:26beaches. It's going to be very, very dangerous out there this week. A dangerous week for East Coast
01:32beaches. That is a sober warning. When will we be in the clear up and down the East Coast all the way
01:37to Eastern Canada? Is Sunday the safe day or will this continue into next week? Yeah, in terms of
01:43beaches, you know, rip current risk, I think by Sunday, a lot of the rip current risk does come down.
01:48Of course, we still need to watch it just in case. But over the next couple of days, we do need to
01:53watch as the storm moves up the big waves over the next two days. So Wednesday, Thursday, maybe even
01:58into Friday as well. But we also need to watch the wind. So along the coast, Carolinas, the winds are
02:03really going to pick up during the day today and into tomorrow. So we need to watch for the heaviest
02:07winds along the outer banks of North Carolina, even extending up into portions of the southern Delmarva.
02:12So that's southern portions of Maryland here, maybe even into southern Delaware as well.
02:1740 to 60 mile per hour wind gusts with an AccuWeather local storm acts of 80 towards the outer banks.
02:22I think if anybody's going to have a shot at around 70 or 80 miles per hour winds, it's going to be in
02:26the far outer banks. But then we even have to watch southeastern Massachusetts. Cape Cod and the
02:31islands have to be watched as well. Even though the storm is going to be moving well, well away from the
02:35coast here, that wind field is so expansive that we could even see 40 to 60 mile per hour winds in Cape Cod
02:42and the islands. And then even in some of the major cities, Baltimore, Philadelphia, New York,
02:47Hartford, Providence. Yeah, those winds are probably going to be less than 40 miles per hour.
02:51But we're still going to be seeing winds, maybe gusts of 20 to 30 miles per hour. New York City,
02:57Hartford. So even areas well, well away from the coast can still at least experience some breezy
03:03conditions during the day on Thursday. All right. So high winds, dangerous waves up and down the east
03:10coast for Hurricane Aaron. We're in the thick of hurricane season and possibly not even in the thick
03:16of it because it's still August. I know September can really be a doozy. But Alex, what else do you
03:21see brewing in the Atlantic? Are there other storms that are on the way? Yeah, there's at least two other
03:28areas that we're watching across the Atlantic. Both have about a high risk chance of development here
03:32over the next couple of days. This first tropical wave is actually going to follow us very similar track
03:36to Aaron, probably getting near the islands later this week, but then taking a turn to the north.
03:41Now, we do expect this to stay off the east coast as we're going to have a dip in the jet stream that
03:45should kick it out to sea. But we're still going to have to watch the islands very carefully. And
03:49just in case it makes a little more of a jog to the west. The good news is we don't expect any rapid
03:54intensification with this because it's going to be following in a similar track that Hurricane Aaron
03:58did. And when Aaron went through, it really mixed up some of those ocean waters. We call that
04:03upwelling when cooler waters are mixed up to the surface. And so since this tropical wave is going
04:07to be following in Aaron's wake, it likely will be moving over cooler waters, which have less energy.
04:13And so we don't expect this one to really blow up into a category five or anything like that,
04:17which is certainly good news. The wave behind it is a little bit lower. It's a little bit more south.
04:22That one, I think, has a good chance of development here over the next 48 hours or so. But then after
04:27that, by the time it starts to approach the islands down here, the environment becomes a little bit
04:31more hostile, a lot more dry air. And so that wave might actually fall apart before it makes it to
04:36the islands here. But we have a long way to go in the hurricane season. The statistical peak of the
04:41hurricane season is not until September 10th. So we still have a long way to go. We're going to have
04:45to track many more tropical.
