- 10 months ago
Category
🥇
SportsTranscript
00:00It's the Sunshine Philly and Merritt Turf, $75,000 up for grabs.
00:05And we'll go through this field in here and give a couple thoughts on each of these runners,
00:08starting out with Lady Cha-Cha, who is 0 for the last 11.
00:13So now you're having to go back to like May of 2024 for the last victory.
00:18Horsuch doesn't have a whole lot of early speed either,
00:20so she's going to kind of drop back and make one late run.
00:22Any thoughts on her?
00:24I thought that was her advantage because it seems like there's a lot of speed drawn to her outside.
00:27But Lady Cha-Cha has just run the same race over and over again.
00:31Of course, Laura Casares gets her back, but if she throws in the same sort of thing,
00:35I think she's very usable in a vertical sense.
00:37It's just the way that that turf course has been playing
00:39and that she hasn't shown market improvement at any times when others in here have.
00:43I would probably relegate her to a third or fourth spot, maybe in a super.
00:47A lot of the way you were describing Lady Cha-Cha, I kind of feel about Luz de la Luna,
00:51the two who we get to.
00:52She's going to get claimed by a very good claiming trainer who actually claims this one back,
00:57but when you're looking at the speed figures and just sort of comparing what she's been doing recently,
01:02you just don't see a whole lot of improvement for this newly turned seven-year-old mare.
01:06I would just guess that she's in there in case they get one of those deluges
01:09that they're known to get in South Florida.
01:11If this race does get moved over to the Tepeeta, I think she moves way up.
01:15But the fact that she hasn't been on the turf very much,
01:17her last three turf races have been one-turn efforts,
01:21and the last time that she went two turns on the turf was October 2022.
01:24I just don't think that this is really what they were hoping for.
01:27It's just, she's a Florida bred.
01:28Why not?
01:29See if it comes off the turf.
01:30Things could really go her way.
01:31But I mean, Marty Drexler also claimed her in the past before,
01:34and he put her right back in a one-turn sprint on a synthetic track.
01:38So maybe he doesn't fancy her this type,
01:40but some things can change in South Florida,
01:42and maybe that's what they're hoping for with her.
01:44Up next is Miss Mary Nell.
01:46She's a horse who's going to be forwardly placed in here.
01:49She's been facing open company.
01:51Last time she was in with Florida bred, she was actually a winner.
01:54I kind of went back and forth with her a little bit,
01:56but I agree with you.
01:57I think she's going to be part of the early speed,
01:59and it looks like there might be some company up front.
02:03Yeah, it looks like she has one way to go,
02:04and considering she drew inside of most of them, it doesn't help.
02:07And the noted thing that I saw with Miss Mary Nell
02:10was how much better she seems to be with Lasix.
02:12And she has that speed.
02:13She can keep it going.
02:15But there is a difference between both the synthetic
02:17and Lasix races and everything else.
02:19So without her having that in here and with that pace pressure,
02:22I couldn't see a trip where she would get comfortable enough on the front end.
02:25But the price is definitely going to be there if you think she can steal it.
02:28Volatiled will make her first start on the turf.
02:31Her dam never tried the turf, but she did have two siblings that tried it.
02:34One of them was a winner.
02:35She is just a non-winners of two in here also, just a lone victory.
02:40And that was way back in October of 2024.
02:43What do you think about this one?
02:44I just think that when you look at the Sunshine Millions,
02:46sometimes you get brave with the Florida bread just thinking that
02:49maybe being in that small circle that they can show a new dimension.
02:53And she hasn't run poorly.
02:55She's run into some buzz saws on the main track.
02:57I mean, she's really done good running while running second.
02:59But that they have been one-turned sprints on the main track,
03:03she doesn't have a whole bunch of turf pedigree like you mentioned.
03:06One maiden winner, I think, at Louisiana Downs.
03:08This just doesn't seem like an ideal spot for her,
03:11but maybe a spot where they too are hoping that there could be a surface change
03:14and she could take advantage of some turf horses.
03:17I don't really want to knock Sapphire Girl,
03:19who's only raced on the turf one time,
03:21and the lone turf race was a victory.
03:23But that was in October.
03:25She's going to have to step up and face winners now.
03:27It just seems like she's spotting this field a lot of experience.
03:30Definitely.
03:31But she did show some professionalism.
03:33She's kind of grinding.
03:35The four pace horses came back to her the day that she won.
03:37She did keep going.
03:39And I guess that's enough to get you into this spot.
03:40But Sapphire Girl still has to take a giant step forward
03:43where some of these just maybe need to rebound to their regular form.
03:46Spirited Boss is next up.
03:48She's never been worse than third in her career.
03:50Now she'll go second start off the six-and-a-half-month break.
03:52She's proven at Gulfstream.
03:54She's proven at the distance.
03:55If you just toss the race going two starts back
03:59when the race was taken off the grass,
04:01everything else looks really, really good.
04:03We're watching the most recent win, which is over at Tampa,
04:06and that was her first start back since June.
04:08Seems like a lot of positives for her heading into the race, Angela.
04:11She's solid.
04:12She's got upside,
04:13and she can do what exactly she's being asked to do today.
04:17I'm sure you got chills watching that replay.
04:18She's a trip kind of horse where she stayed bottled up on the inside,
04:21had a ton of horse, had to switch out.
04:24I happened to be rooting for Tour Queen that day.
04:26She's a former stakes winner at Canterbury Park.
04:28She ran her bedoongers off, but she couldn't hold off this filly.
04:31And Spirited Boss is going to be really tough to hold off
04:33in this particular group, too.
04:34We move next to Ashba, who is in really nice form right now.
04:39This is a 10-time winner in her 20 starts,
04:42so she loves to win races,
04:43and she's going to make the third start of her form cycle.
04:46I mean, you have to go back a long way to find a race that wasn't good.
04:50Her whole page is really competitive.
04:52She's very honest.
04:54She shows up with a good effort almost every single time.
04:57She's another who just seems like she's a good fit here,
04:59and this was last year's winner.
05:00She's a perfect fit, and she won this last year
05:03when nobody wanted to go and take the lead,
05:05and it doesn't seem like there's a real different group
05:07assembled against her this year.
05:08She is definitely a steady sort of sort.
05:10You know what you're going to get with her, at least.
05:12So as long as you deem the price fair, I won't talk you off her.
05:15I think that if she shows up, she's versatile, too.
05:17There's a lot of these that are more one-dimensional than she is,
05:19and there's a lot to like about her.
05:21I just think that the price on a couple of these, including her,
05:24may be less than what I would be looking for
05:25in a more evenly matched group, like it seems.
05:27Up next, it's Super Williwa, who comes off of a fifth-place finish,
05:32was in that similar race on December the 13th behind Destino D'Oro.
05:37That Philly who wins that race is a pretty nice one
05:40when she shows up with one of her better efforts.
05:42Third start off the form cycle for Super Williwa.
05:46She's never really run a bad race,
05:48but she's just going to have to get a little bit faster, I think,
05:50to compete with some of the top ones in here.
05:52What are your thoughts on her?
05:54I don't find it great that when she left Gulfstream Park,
05:56she ran a lot better with some slower paces in front of her.
05:58It didn't look like she had much of an excuse last time.
06:01There were four of them, I believe, from these connections,
06:03and Super Williwa got a pretty unfettered, though wide, trip.
06:07I think she's usable for a piece.
06:08I think that she could come late, but the way that the course works
06:11and the race that she put in last time just didn't leave me wanting more.
06:14Rugelach is up next.
06:16She's a horse that's in very nice form right now, Angela.
06:18She was out in Southern California for a while, went over to Tampa.
06:21She finished a good second behind a horse who came right back to win their next start,
06:26and she was in a very live race.
06:28That horse was one of three next out winners, I believe, from that most recent race.
06:32So, I mean, she just seems like a horse who has speed.
06:36She can sit off.
06:36She can pass.
06:37She's another one that's very logical in here.
06:39Yeah, she lost to Silver Moonlight, who won at Gulfstream before and after in races
06:45that would probably make her one of the favorites in here.
06:47She ran perfectly, and that was her first start for this new barn.
06:50They've been working her since late September.
06:52She did get up to the lead and just got passed up, but she was second best,
06:55like I said, to a nice horse.
06:57It seems like a horse like this that might have some issues.
06:59You know, there's some layoffs.
07:00There's changes in her past.
07:02She's going to run best when she's most fresh, and that's first or second off the layoff,
07:05so I'm going to take her in her second start because the first one seemed like a perfect
07:09stepping stone to this.
07:10We move to Super Zonda.
07:12If you key off of her turf races and eliminate the synthetic and the dirt races,
07:16all of a sudden, that form looks a lot better.
07:19Another one who was in that December 13th race behind Destino Dioro.
07:23What do you think about this one?
07:24She ran nice, actually.
07:25She was one of the survivors from the pace.
07:27Looked like she was a rabbit that day.
07:29She was 50 to 1.
07:30Outran those odds, but she'd have to do it again, and from the 10-hole, that doesn't seem likely.
07:34Great Venezuela always shows up with a good effort.
07:37She's 15 for 16 in the top three, but the bulk of her work has been shorter, Angela.
07:42She did finish a good second last year in this race, but I don't know if from out why this
07:47is the trip and the distance that she wants.
07:50Give us a thought on her, and we'll move to selections.
07:52Yeah, this course can definitely carry a Philly a little bit further than she'd want to go,
07:56but given that outside post, I agree with you.
07:58I just think she's up against it, even though she is a very, very nice Philly.
08:01Yeah, it's a really competitive race to close out all the exotics.
08:04Race 11 on Saturday at Gulfstream.
08:06Angela's going to go with Rugelok.
08:08You can see a lot of similarities between us with our top four.
08:109, 6, 7, 8 for Angela.
08:12I'll go with Spirited Boss on top.
08:146, 7, 9, 10.
08:16Sous-titrage ST' 07, 10.
08:323, 8, 11.
08:344, 7, 9, 10.
08:365, 10.
08:365, 10.
08:385, 10.
08:387, 10.
08:3911.
08:397, 12.
08:407, 11.
08:417, 11.
08:427, 12.
08:428, 11.