00:00Spivak at Petrino's, the next fight up after the main event that we just broke down.
00:06This is one of those sort of new school versus, you know, gatekeeper, old guard type of fight here
00:12with the Moldovian Polar Bear, who's been around forever, taking on a Dana White Contender Series fighter.
00:21But albeit, you know, Petrino did come out of the 2022 class of the Dana White Contender Series,
00:28which I got to be honest with you guys, I've never fully embraced and bet on, right?
00:36I really haven't, you know what I mean?
00:37There's so much stuff going on, and I should more.
00:40I mean, it's not going anywhere, and every sports book has it, right?
00:43So, but I don't watch the Dana White Contender Series very often.
00:48I have, but it's not like one of my regular viewing habits, so I do admit that.
00:54What do you make of this fight?
00:56He was a light heavyweight before, right?
00:59So this is a heavyweight fight right now, and he's gone 3-0 since moving to heavyweight.
01:05What do you make of this fight, Tom?
01:09Yeah, this is a really tough fight.
01:12You know, Petrino has gone 3-0 since moving up.
01:16I mean, the guy looks like an absolute monster at heavyweight.
01:20He looks totally different than he did at 2-0-5.
01:23He knew he didn't have to cut weight anymore, and you can see it.
01:27Yeah, the weight cuts hurt him.
01:27He's jacked out of his mind.
01:29He's a monster.
01:30He's a big, big guy.
01:31Obviously, you know, he's got the frame for heavyweight.
01:35You know, in this matchup here, like, I'm not overly sold on Petrino.
01:40I think he's, you know, he's still got the big power.
01:43I still don't trust his cardio.
01:45And, you know, overall, I mean, he's got some grappling.
01:48He does have some submissions in his back pocket.
01:51But I don't know.
01:52I kind of want to see what he looks like as he moves up the ranks a little bit
01:57because I don't think it's going to go too well for him here.
02:01Spivak's a guy that's kind of been, you know, he's been around a long time.
02:04He's on a bit of a decline.
02:06But he kind of does have the game to win this matchup here.
02:11He can mix in the grappling.
02:12He can make it an ugly, dirty fight, wear on the cardio of Petrino.
02:17So I kind of think Spivak, I'm leaning Spivak here,
02:20but this is one of those fights that I'm just not comfortable with.
02:24I just think both guys do have a path.
02:27And I just expect it to be an ugly, sloppy, you know,
02:31I don't want to say low-level heavyweight fight
02:33because it's not necessarily low-level.
02:36But it's one of those mid-tier middling UFC heavyweight fights
02:41where you can see both guys leaning on each other over the court,
02:45you know, in the second and third round, and it just kind of looks ugly.
02:48So I don't know.
02:49I'm going to roll Spivak here just as a pick.
02:53But, yeah, not a fight that I'm running to the window to bet by any stretch.
02:58I lean Spivak as well.
02:59The total is two and a half in this fight.
03:01I lean Spivak as well just because, you know, the value at plus 125.
03:05I don't really trust Petrino at minus 150 here.
03:08And Spivak's been around.
03:10He's seen a lot.
03:11And the fact is, Tom, he's really not that old.
03:13He's only 31 years old.
03:15Like, you know, if you would have asked me, like, if you asked somebody,
03:18how old is Sergei Spivak, you'd probably say, I don't know, mid-30s, 34 or whatever.
03:24You know what I mean?
03:24But, look, he's 31.
03:26He started fighting when he was 20, 21.
03:28He's 31, so he's not, like, he's not over the hill or anything like that, at least, you know?
03:34Yeah.
03:34Yeah.
03:34I mean, absolutely.
03:35I mean, in terms of fight years, kind of.
03:37But, yeah, I mean, he's been around a long time.
03:40You know, you would expect him to be a little older.
03:43But he has been through some wars.
03:44He's been in the heavyweight division for quite some time now.
03:48So that will take its toll on you.
03:50But, yeah, like I said, I mean, overall, I feel like he's got the game to kind of, you know,
03:54mix in some judo throws and mix in some sweeps and takedowns and do what he does
03:59and just make it an ugly fight.
04:01So, yeah, I mean, like I said, I'm not really sold on Petrino.
04:04I think he's got the big power.
04:05I think he's dangerous early.
04:07But after the first, you know, five to seven minutes,
04:10I just don't think he really has that much in the tank.
04:13And I think Spivak, I've seen him go multiple three-round fights
04:17where he was pretty strong late in the fight.
04:19So, yeah, I just like Spivak here.
04:22Spivak here.
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