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Research featured in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences indicates that the Cascadia Subduction Zone located off the Pacific Northwest may experience a significant rupture with a 15% likelihood within the next 50 years, a figure that escalates to 29% by the century's end. Lead researcher emphasizes that rising sea levels coupled with land subsidence from earthquakes could hinder recovery efforts today and potentially make numerous coastal areas uninhabitable by 2100. The study references a recorded mega-tsunami that impacted Lanai island in Hawaii approximately 105,000 years ago, and highlights that the last major rupture in Cascadia occurred in 1700, producing a quake estimated between 8.7 and 9.2 in magnitude, generating tsunami waves that reached Japan.
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00:00Scientists say the odds of a catastrophic Pacific Northwest tsunami only get worse the
00:05further into the future you look. A study published in the Proceedings of the National
00:09Academy of Sciences finds a 15% chance of a major rupture along the Cascadia subduction zone within
00:1550 years. But that climbs to 29% by the year 2100. Lead researcher Tina Dura says that as sea
00:22levels
00:23rise, earthquake-driven land sinking will delay disaster recovery today, and by 2100 could render
00:30coastal communities permanently uninhabitable. To grasp the scale of what's possible, researchers
00:36point to marine sediment evidence confirming a 1312-foot tsunami that struck Hawaii's Lanai Island
00:42roughly 105,000 years ago after a volcanic landslide. Closer to home, the Cascadia Fault last ruptured
00:50back in 1700, triggering a quake between magnitude 8.7 and 9.2 that sent tsunami waves into both the
00:57West Coast and Japan. Disclosure. This video contains stock footage and content created or enhanced
01:03using AI-assisted tools.

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