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Irán atraviesa una fuerte presión económica y militar por parte de Estados Unidos, y el régimen teme que la crisis reavive las protestas que ya lo sacudieron este año. Analistas señalan que, aunque el bloqueo naval y las sanciones están debilitando al país, el sentimiento antiestadounidense todavía genera cierto respaldo popular al gobierno. Mientras tanto, se revela que miles de millones de dólares iraníes siguen circulando por bancos de EE.UU. pese a las sanciones vigentes, gracias a una red de canales financieros ocultos. Washington ya advirtió a los bancos extranjeros e instó a reforzar los controles para frenar este flujo de dinero.

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00:00Iran is under increasing pressure due to the US naval blockade,
00:06military actions and sanctions, and the leadership of the Islamic Republic is
00:11Concerned about the threat of renewed anti-government protests, Reuters reports,
00:17citing well-informed sources. According to three senior Iranian officials,
00:22whose names were not revealed, Iranian authorities are finding it increasingly difficult to identify.
00:27more difficult to resist Washington's unprecedented measures to pressure Tehran,
00:33announced in August by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Besant.
00:39US actions have drastically restricted the country's access to foreign currency.
00:45foreign countries, imports, and global financial networks that helped keep the economy afloat.
00:52Iranian leaders fear rising prices and weakening trade
00:57and the pressure on citizens' incomes could reignite the widespread discontent that has
01:03repeatedly shook the ayatollahs' grip on power and brought the regime to the brink
01:08from the collapse earlier this year. According to sources, the Iranian leadership is
01:13especially concerned about shortages of essential imports, including fuel and wheat.
01:20The balance of power has shifted somewhat against Iran, the Iranian analyst stated.
01:25Arash Assisi. According to him, Iran's influence over the Strait of Hormuz is weakening and
01:32The US naval blockade is really hitting Iran hard. According to Burku Özçelik, a researcher
01:40The Royal United Services Institute's principal analyst is Iran's ability to withstand external pressure.
01:46It may depend both on the level of patience of the population and on the capacity of
01:50Tehran to face economic difficulties. Undoubtedly, the economic recession increases the risk.
01:57of mass riots, but for the moment the population seems to be dominated by a
02:02"War mentality," Özçelik noted. For now, the US attacks, along with the casualties,
02:08Civilians and the anti-American ideological agenda are fueling a certain level of patriotic support.
02:14In the spirit of Iran First, loyalty or simply patience towards the regime
02:19current, the expert believes. US and regional officials indicate that the
02:25Iran's attempt to close Hormuz failed to cause a global economic shock or force
02:31Washington is willing to back down, according to Reuters. Energy markets have adjusted and shipping routes have changed.
02:37Alternative supply lines remain operational. However, representatives from the countries
02:43Those involved in the conflict disagreed on whether the economic strangulation measures
02:49The United States will either force Iran to make concessions or provoke unrest
02:54internal divisions that deepen the leadership and weaken its authority. Thousands of
03:01Millions of dollars from Iran pass through clearing accounts each year.
03:06in US banks, despite sanctions prohibiting financial transactions
03:11with the Islamic Republic, The Wall Street Journal reported, citing officials and researchers.
03:18According to the Wall Street Journal, Tehran accesses these accounts through foreign partners.
03:23that maintain relationships with US banks through the correspondent banking system. This
03:29This system, which has existed for over a century, connects the global financial system, providing
03:35Iran has a multitude of hidden channels. The Trump administration recently issued
03:41a warning to foreign banks that conduct dollar transactions with Iran
03:46through correspondent accounts in the United States, and asked US banks
03:52that strengthen the monitoring of transactions related to the Islamic Republic. However,
03:58Sources within the media believe that detecting such transactions is difficult due to the complexity
04:04network of shell companies and other concealment methods used by Iran.
04:09Last year, the U.S. Treasury Department identified approximately
04:14$9 billion in Iranian funds passed through US banks. Experts
04:21They believe this figure could be reduced if US banks adopt a stance
04:26more proactive in identifying suspicious transactions.
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