00:00We started with this question that the 24,000 level is broken and it was a very important psychological level
00:09for investors.
00:11Now, if you want to reclaim it again, what catalysts are going to be going to be?
00:16Because there are two important factors in this time.
00:21One is crude oil which is increasing.
00:23It has been increased by 100 dollars per barrel since the U.S. and Iran has increased.
00:31And the second, the U.S. Fed is going to be a rate hike or not?
00:35This was a difficult question.
00:37The question is now made.
00:38In September, there will be a FOMC meeting on the 15th and 16th September.
00:43And there will be a big decision on the rate hike.
00:45And there are two rates hikes due.
00:47One is September and the other is December.
00:49And the brokerages, the global banks are now predicting that there are 50-50 chances of a rate hike or
00:58not.
00:59And suddenly, the U.S. job data will increase the chances of 60% on the rate hike.
01:07And if we are on the car, we will be making more than 50% on our rates hike or
01:13not.
01:20But the price is now on the rate hike.
01:22And for example, the U.S. sales does not play a case in the U.S.
01:23If we are betting on the U.S. jobs, the US is büyük.
01:23The U.S. jobs has been unleashed by the best.
01:24We have 1,681, 주는 no jobs created for 55,000.
01:28The unemployment is still more steady.
01:33in the U.S.
01:39If you look at this way, how much pressure or relief is on the market?
01:44These are two important factors, rate and rate height in both terms.
01:49And the other thing, which band is 24,000 to 24,200,
01:51which is a band that will reclaim the catalyst?
01:58Let's talk about this discussion.
02:00First of all, crude oil is the backbone for every country's economy
02:07subject to industries.
02:09If crude oil is moving,
02:14then automatically everything will be moving.
02:16Inflation will increase.
02:18Now it will increase inflation,
02:20because your transportation is moving,
02:23your goods are moving,
02:24services are moving.
02:26Everything goes costly.
02:28So no doubt,
02:30if crude oil is increasing,
02:32then inflation will control every central bank
02:37rate hikes.
02:38That's a compulsion.
02:41If inflation is growing in the name of growth,
02:44then it will be a problem.
02:46If you look at US data,
02:48then it will be correct.
02:51Because many economists say,
02:53this is inflated data,
02:54and this is not correct data.
02:56This is manipulated data.
02:58It is not perfect.
03:05Let's go ahead.
03:07Let's go ahead.
03:08Let's go ahead.
03:11In that case,
03:12it shows that the economy is very stable,
03:14and inflation is growing.
03:17In that case,
03:17it shows that the economy is very stable,
03:26and inflation is growing.
03:26And if the rate hikes are growing,
03:28then obviously the market is going to go into pressure.
03:31Every market is going to go into pressure.
03:33Because already crude,
03:35a lot of pressure is growing.
03:37And the biggest importers of crude oil and gold.
03:41We as India are the biggest importers of crude oil and gold.
03:46We have 90% crude oil and gold imports.
03:51But if we didn't control the imports on the market,
03:56then if we have 50% of the Fed increase,
04:00then our impact will be three times, four times more.
04:05So,
04:06yes, it's an alarming situation,
04:09and a little bit better.
04:11It's an alarming situation.
04:13It's an alarming situation.
04:14It's an alarming situation.
04:14I'm going to try to get a little bit more.
04:16Sir, I'll request you once again.
04:19Because the question I asked you,
04:21is that this is the 24,000 and 24,000 of the people
04:23who are in the middle of the bank,
04:25especially the 24,000 of the bank.
04:28This is an important question.
04:30I'm giving this for a long time.
04:31Because many viewers are asking us
04:33that the bazaar has been forced one more time.
04:36How do the bazaar out of the bank?
04:37How do we deal with this week?
04:40Because I said,
04:43you've got a lot of people go now.
04:47Uh..
04:47And,
04:48you're talking about 24,000.
04:49It's supposed to be my return on the bank.
04:55And,
04:55you're talking about 24,000.
05:02We're talking about 24,000.
05:04We're talking about 24,000 and 24,000.
05:07reclaim करना मुश्किल हो रहा है
05:0924,500 का
05:10target लेकर के चल रहा है
05:13वो तो
05:15समी ने ये बना रखा है कि
05:1724,000, 24,000 reclaim करो
05:19मेरे को तो 24,000 कहीं से
05:21कहीं तक अभी कुछ खास reclaim होता हुआ
05:23दिख नहीं रहा है
05:24अगर कोई pullback है तो I personally
05:27feel that is
05:28to go out of the markets
05:30every pullback should be considered an opportunity
05:33to exit from the market
05:35rather than buying fresh
05:38मेरे लिए तो अभी यही है
05:39जब तक bazaar comfortable volumes
05:42के साथ 24,500 के उपर
05:44close नहीं होता है
05:46मैं जब तक bazaar 24,500 के उपर
05:48close नहीं होगा comfortably
05:51every rise is an opportunity
05:53to sell rather than an opportunity
05:54to buy and you
05:57should wait comfortably
05:58for the market to close
06:0024,500 and 24,800
06:03above
06:04इसके उपर ही
06:06किसी के लिए एक fresh
06:08buying opportunity
06:09बनेगी
06:10वरना
06:11आप फिर से एक dilemma में फसेंगे
06:14Elliot wave theory की तरफ
06:16हम practically move कर चुके हैं
06:18we have completed the wave 1
06:20and wave 2 of the Elliot wave theory
06:22और यह जो Elliot wave 3 theory होती है
06:24that is the third wave
06:26उसमें हर retailer
06:28एक buyer बनता है in falls
06:31that is every fall is considered a buying opportunity
06:35by the retailer
06:36so here I would like to say
06:39here retailer should consider
06:40every rise opportunity
06:42as an exit
06:43and let markets settle
06:47पैसा कमाने की बजार में
06:48बहुत opportunities में लेंगी
06:50कोई कमी नहीं है बजार में कमाने की
06:52let the markets settle
06:55sometimes wait and watch
06:57is the best strategy
07:07so that is the strategy
07:09our investor should be looking at
07:10as of now
07:11एक आखरी सवाल sir
07:13बजार को चाहिए क्या है
07:14इस समय bullish momentum पकड़ने के लिए
07:16क्योंकि कोई भी कोशुश बजार की काम्याब क्यों नहीं हो रही है
07:20आखर ऐससे क्या triggers है
07:22जो मिसा उट कर रहा है बजार
07:24और चाहिए क्या
07:25आखर दो ही चीजह है आप रश्या यूक्रेन को रोग दीजे और इरान और यूस से को रोग दीजे
07:31बजार अपने आप 26,000 पार कर जाएगा और 15 दिन भी नहीं लगेंगे 26,000 पार करने में
07:40बेसिकली वी वांट स्टेबिलाइजेशन
07:49इस समय कब क्या होगा ओवरनाइट तो इन्वेस्टर इतना धरा हुआ रहता है कि पता नहीं रात सूँगा और रात
07:57सुबह उटूँगा तो क्या खबर आई हुई होगी तो ये डर बैठा हुआ है
08:01मतलब दिमाग में कि अरे बबा पता नहीं सो तो रहूं पूर्फोलियो है पता लगे रात कोई कोई बंफूड ही
08:06और मेरा पूर्फोलियो दस परसंट से नीचे है
08:09तो बजार एक प्योर दिलीमा में है इट वांट्स पीस इट वांट्स तो फिनिश ओल अंसर्टिनिटीज इट वांट्स अस्टेबल मार्केट
08:18यह यहीं से दिखता है कि पूरे दुनिया के बड़ी बड़ी कंट्रीज सिर्फ गोल्ड रिजर्ब्स अक्यूमलेट कर रही है
08:27Look at the gold buying by European nations, by Australian market, in fact by India itself.
08:36हर कोई अपना reserve में रखा हुआ, gold वापस मंगा रहा है, further gold buying कर रहा है. What is
08:43that all about? It shows they have lost trust in currencies.
08:49Currencies का trust खतम हो रहा है. We want that trust back. जब तक वो trust वापस नहीं आएगा बजार
08:55में, तब तक बजार कोई बहुत बड़ा sharp move देने के लिए तयाब नहीं है.
