00:03it's wednesday september 23rd let's break down what's happening in korea's financial sector
00:08korea's markets have a pattern fed rate cuts then bitcoin drops within a month past cycles
00:14have averaged an 11 decline in the following month this time etf driven demand is running
00:19hotter than in previous cycles analysts compared bitcoin's performance across fed rate cut cycles
00:25going back to 2022 the pattern has repeated across four separate cutting periods traders are now
00:31watching whether stronger etf participation this cycle will break that seasonal decline
00:35here's what the numbers show 11 that's the average bitcoin decline in the month following past fed rate
00:41cuts based on data from the 2022 to 2026 cycles that drop showed up across four separate rate cut
00:48periods etf driven buying has strengthened heading into this month's decision running stronger than
00:54in prior cycles separately korea's credit guarantee fund flagged 554 fraudulent loan cases this year
01:00worth 399.6 billion won in guarantees and 1.0176 billion won in compensation payouts
01:08so what does this mean for financial institutions and regulators earlier we said bitcoin has fallen
01:13roughly 11 on average in the month after past fed rate cuts here's what that actually means for you
01:19this cycle's heavier etf inflows are the real test of whether that seasonal pattern still holds
01:24the credit guarantee fraud cases are a reminder that funding risk in korea isn't limited to crypto
01:29markets bitcoin's price action in the weeks following this month's rate decision etf inflow and outflow
01:35data as the test of demand strength follow-up enforcement on the 554 flagged loan guarantee cases
01:40that's today's ai prism finance daily this episode was produced with ai assistance based on seoul economic
01:47daily reporting and reviewed by a human editor ai prism is a wanifra award-winning series we'll be back
01:54we'll be back tomorrow
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