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Analyst warns Ethiopia fighting could widen into regional conflict

Renewed fighting in northern Ethiopia could spread beyond Tigray and destabilize the wider Horn of Africa, an International Crisis Group analyst warned

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00:01Renewed fighting in northern Ethiopia could spread beyond Tigray and destabilize the wider
00:07Horn of Africa region, an international crisis group analyst warned. A new rebel alliance has
00:14added momentum to the fight with federal forces scrambling to respond. The new conflict is
00:20different because some of the actors are different. We have the TPLF fighting the federal government
00:26again but the Amhara-Fano groups are also fighting perhaps alongside the TPLF when in the previous
00:32war they they fought the Tigrayans themselves. He warned that the conflict could risk drawing in
00:39neighbouring Eritrea while instability in Sudan further complicates the regional picture.
00:45I think there is a real risk that the fighting could spread around the country. The formation
00:51of the Alliance for Survival was essentially a way of coordinating different armed groups
00:56to develop campaigns against the federal government in parallel to each other.
01:02So the action by the TPLF and the Fano in the Amhara region could spark new offensives by other
01:10groups in Oromir, the Somali region, Benishangul Ghumus and elsewhere as well.
01:17Fighting intensified this week across Tigray and later spread to the neighbouring Afar and Amhara
01:23regions after seven armed groups announced they have formed an alliance. There have been low level
01:29clashes since the beginning of the year. There is certainly hope to prevent a longer and more
01:37devastating war. In terms of who can intervene well we are urging all diplomatic powers, international
01:44powers, regional powers with influence over either of the conflict parties, the federal government of
01:49Ethiopia and the TPLF and others to urge restraint and to return to talks rather than fighting.
01:59The outbreak of violence is the most serious
02:02violence escalation since the civil war in 2020 to 2022.
02:06The outbreak of violence is the most serious problem in the world's

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