00:00Let's get over to Brazil, a game I still can't believe is real.
00:07I cannot believe that we're playing a game in Brazil
00:09just like on a regular Sunday.
00:12The other time we did this was week one.
00:14It was a Friday, and they tried to give those teams
00:17a little bit of cushion on the way back
00:19when it was the Eagles and the Packers two years ago.
00:22And also, it's just bizarre to me that it's not like an island game.
00:26Right? Like the fact that this is just on the same time as Saints Raiders.
00:32It's just very, very weird.
00:35There's a lot of talk around the field.
00:38And from what I gather, is the field is being,
00:43in terms of the conditions, how it will play,
00:46is this like November, December, sloppy,
00:50where people could be slipping and sliding,
00:52and also it's going to hurt like heck for the players here.
00:56So I'll, I guess, spoil the fun, Joe.
01:00I played the under 53 and a half
01:02because I don't think anybody who wants to be here.
01:05I think we run the ball.
01:07I think every time people hear slipping and sliding,
01:09they're like, oh, sick, 80-yard touchdown.
01:11The DB fell.
01:12Sometimes the receiver falls or the left tackle falls,
01:15and then the quarterback gets crushed.
01:17Also, just this total is almost as high as Lions-Bills the other week.
01:23And I think a Lions-Bills game should be comfortably higher booked
01:26than a Dallas-Baltimore game.
01:28Like the Ravens' defense is completely healthy.
01:29I understand Dallas's is not,
01:32but they also, I think, at some point have to show a bit of effort
01:36on that side of the football here.
01:38So I played an under 53 and a half in Brazil.
01:41Well, I've got another number in mind,
01:43and that's the under on Gervonta Williams rushing yards
01:45because you have a Ravens defense that's only given up
01:48160 yards on the ground so far over two games, right?
01:51So they've been a little stingy there.
01:52On top of now this footing situation we're talking about,
01:56and it's not just the skilled position players.
01:58I'm glad you brought up the line, too,
02:00because you can't, you know, get good push off these lines
02:03and things like that.
02:04It's going to be really difficult for some of these bigger guys
02:06to have good footing.
02:07And these games are one of the trenches, right?
02:09So 50 and a half under for Gervonta Williams
02:11is kind of one that you might not be thinking about.
02:13It's a little outside the box.
02:14To me, it's the easiest investment to maybe make in this game.
02:16And I like Gervonta Williams.
02:18I just think this is potentially, with all these circumstances,
02:21in the context, a tough day for him potentially
02:24with the Ravens front, the way how good they've been,
02:26and with this field terrain the way it is.
02:28And possibly even, like, they are telling you
02:30they expect it to be a big number.
02:32I understand why you're taking the other side of it.
02:34It's a good process.
02:36But at the same time, if this becomes kind of weird shootout
02:38and they're behind at some point, too,
02:40they might have to take the pedal off the run game.
02:42So there's a lot of reasons, I think, fading Gervonta
02:44is actually a really interesting choice in this contest.
02:49Gervonta is very interesting,
02:52even just, like, from the fantasy angle of it, right?
02:55Because it's like, oh, look at this fantastic offense.
02:58But also, he's averaging three yards a carry.
03:02Like, I don't think Gervonta Williams is a superstar.
03:05He also, but he also, like, doesn't have competition
03:08and they're using him in the passing game here.
03:10I just, Gervonta was a very, very interesting player
03:12on a week-to-week basis.
03:13We'll see.
03:13He'll have some pop weeks,
03:14but I think I'd rather be on where you are,
03:17which is against Gervonta Williams,
03:19maybe than on Gervonta Williams most weeks here.
03:22I think I'd rather be on where you are.
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