00:05Hello and welcome, you are watching Good Returns.
00:07I am with you.
00:09Today in this episode, we will not talk about gold and silver.
00:13We will talk about all the factors,
00:15which is because of the commodity market.
00:19Because we have seen the last week
00:21and the last week,
00:25crude volatility,
00:27natural gas,
00:27and the base metals,
00:29which is how they react.
00:31Not only from the share market,
00:34but also from the commodity market.
00:39So today, we are going to get a lot of answers.
00:44We are here with Ajay Keria.
00:46Welcome to Good Returns.
00:47Thank you very much.
00:50Sir, 28 September Monday,
00:52we are looking for 4,000 rupees.
00:54If we have seen MCX,
00:56we have seen it.
00:57After that, 29 September,
00:58we will see the data of 500-600 rupees.
01:01However, today,
01:02there is a little recovery.
01:04In the sun,
01:05only in the sun.
01:06I am talking about the sun.
01:17a good looking for 50,000 rupees.
01:19If we are going to get 50,000 rupees in this time,
01:19just 20,000 rupees.
01:19It is showing 15,000 rupees in this time.
01:22Yes,
01:22it is such a good cost.
01:24Let's spend 200,000 rupees now.
01:26It is coming in the future.
01:28The money is coming in the future.
01:34It is coming in the future.
01:36It is coming in the future.
01:39It is coming in the future.
01:46If you are listening to this, if you are listening to this, two, three, six, you can see that.
01:50You can consume five years ago.
01:53I always say that I always say that if you have to buy it, you can buy it.
01:59If you have to buy it, you can buy it.
02:01If you buy it, you can buy it.
02:04So, I can buy it.
02:04I can buy it.
02:06I can buy it.
02:07So, I can buy it.
02:07What happened to you?
02:09Why did you buy it?
02:12I don't know.
02:13Central Bank has been buying.
02:13Find by %, channel which has been not.
02:14So, this is the same.
02:15It is now more poverty.
02:15It is, it might be not.
02:15By the way, it is not.
02:17So, here is a change.
02:18Changes are 19.
02:19Say, started to look at one medical center.
02:26Since we have been here for about two years.
02:27So, if we have to buy it, which for our time is very small.
02:32And then, we have to push the profits off.
02:34We'll tell you the benefits of the Australian trade-off.
02:37That's what we have to buy from the future.
02:39So, what we have to buy from the futures?
02:40So, we have to buy it that it's to be a new market that it's going to be free.
02:41It's not a new market.
02:41So, it's a new market, for which we don't know what to buy from the companies.
02:56foreign
02:58foreign
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03:15Now, I think it's a big upside that I can see.
03:23Okay.
03:24Okay, so the price is also low.
03:25The crude is out, the right.
03:27The price is over $103.
03:28The price is over here.
03:31What would you say?
03:32And then the price will go down here.
03:34The price will look at the price.
03:36The price will be over here.
03:36Because the market is panicked.
03:37The commodity market is panicked.
03:39The price is going to be over here.
03:41The price is going to be over here.
03:41There is a lot of panic in the next one.
03:45in the future, I think if we talk about the year-end, October, November, December,
03:53we have 2.5-3 months, I think it will be 5-6 dollars, like in July, we have seen
03:58the
03:58de-escalation of the news, we have seen it in the BHAO, we have seen it, we have seen it,
04:04we have seen it, we have seen it, we have seen it, we have seen it, we have seen it,
04:13we have seen it, it was only in Soviet Union, we have seen the price, we had now,
04:28but we have seen it, we have seen the decision of the US, so we have seen it,
04:37I think we will see this level at the end of the year.
04:43Sir, on the crude side there is another big factor.
04:46The bond market.
04:47US's 10-year treasury yield is above 5.2% in this time.
04:52What is going on in the bond market?
04:54Don't look at the US's bond market.
04:57Japan's bond market has reached its highest level.
05:03What does the sell-off in the global bond market mean?
05:06What does all these data mean in Indian markets?
05:10If we see that the yield is increasing in the bond market,
05:16why do we put money in the bond market?
05:19The bond market has a safe return to the US.
05:29All right.
05:30But if we see that US wants to get more money to the price,
05:35then we can see that the bond market will continue.
05:40But if we still make a bond market,
05:54but yes, as of now, the 5% is very much lucrative in today's date.
06:00We can see that there is a big jump in the market.
06:04Sir, if we talk about this, then what can we go down to short-term and long-term?
06:14I think that there is a big fall because the market is already going to absorb.
06:22We can see that there is a 4,000 dollar level of price.
06:27But in the year-end, I think that there is a lot of price.
06:31The factor of the fight, the bank, the bank, the bank, the bank, the bank, the bank,
06:36the bank, the bank, the bank, the bank, the bank, the bank.
06:37Yes.
06:38Yes.
06:39Yes.
06:41Yes.
06:52Yes.
06:53Yes.
07:22Yes.
07:32Yes.
07:35Yes.
07:45Yes.
07:48Yes.
07:49Yes.
07:49Yes.
07:54Yes.
07:54Yes.
07:55Yes.
08:06Yes.
08:08Yes.
08:09Yes.
08:09Yes.
08:42Mr.
08:44can continue money. But
08:47I'm going to
08:50look at that.
08:52I'm going to
08:53do important
08:53right now.
08:56I'm going to
09:13do
09:22foreign
09:32foreign
09:35The ratio is below 70.
09:37So, the ratio is better than the change.
09:40In the same way, the Fed has also made a better view.
09:43Also, the rates are high, and those are low levels.
09:48The percentage is low, 70% of the probability was winning a few years ago, but the confusion
09:54has not been made in the Fed.
09:59the government of the Fed's governor, John Williams, has said that we won't do a lot of
10:03pressure to increase. But some officials are saying that we need to be able to do it.
10:08If you look at the probability of 70% and 50% over the rate hike, what is the expectation
10:15of the commodity market? If there is another rate hike, then what will it go back?
10:23it is why we have not had this fall. It is the trajectory.
10:31It's true. If you look at the rate hike, then you can see the rate hike, which is the
10:36opportunity. You can see the price continue.
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11:37pressure है वो कभी भी dollar को support करेगा जैसे से कच्चा तेल बढ़ेगा हमें
11:42करने के लिए dollar तो लगेगा और उसी के मज़े से हम देख रहे हैं कि करेना के
11:47रुपए में भी गिरावर बढ़ जाती है बट overall मुझे लगता है कि अभी तो रुपए में में
11:51को थोड़ी बहुत लग रहे हैं को ज्यादा खास नहीं है बट हाँ एक बार ट्रेट एंचन और यह सब
12:13कम होई तो रुपया फिर से
12:25दो रहे हैं को अभी वी इनफेक्ट अगर आपने देखा होगा तो यूएस ने इनान के लगा है और कहा
12:45कोई भी फ्लाइट कूए अडपोर उतरेगी नहीं
12:48होगा अगर ऐसा होता है हम सुर्ट से निकाल देंगे तो यह धंकाने वाली बाते हैं और ऐसे में क्या
12:53होता है जनरली चीज़ें ज्यादा खराब हो जाती है तो टाइम बिंग यस अगर हम करेंसी की बात करें तो
12:59हो सकता है पॉसिवल उपर में हम 9540 ता लेवल एक बार दे�
13:14वाली है ओके सर नाचरल गयास को लेकर के आउटलुक क्या सा है क्योंकि इस समय ट्रेडर्स वह वह वह
13:21बहुत बड़ी विंटर वाली कंसर्स रहती है अब इसमें सप्लाइब
13:38कहां से आवे पहले रश्या से आता था उससे लड़ा ही तरके बैठें तो वहां पर भी हम देख रहे
13:43हैं कि एक्सपोर्ट पर कंसर्स दिख रहा है तो आए कहां से माल तो अगर माल नहीं आएगा तो भाव
13:48तेहीं जोगा तो रिसेंटली हमने तीन सो बीस का जम भी देखा �
13:51पर सश्टीन नहीं कर पा रहा है क्योंकि warmer weather अभी start थोड़ी बहुत रहा है अभी पर लॉंग टर्म
13:55यह मुझे तो अभी अच्छा लगता है यहां पर लेके चलना जिए अगर आज की अगर मैं बात कुरू तो
14:00प्राइज बैसे देखा जाए तो आज नेगेटिव अगेटि
14:23अगर देखने अगर देखने है तो आप चार सो इकिस पर लिए चार सो उनीज की स्टॉपलो से चार्सोचपीस का
14:45टार्गेट रहेगा लेकिन अलुमिनियूम में थी के बाइज दिख रहे है
14:48बट अलुमिनियूम लैड और निकल में थोड़ा वेट करना चाहिए अगर हम कॉमोडिटी मार्केट में बेसिकली ट्रेडर्स के लिए थोड़ा
15:05ज्यादा सिचुएशन इस समय कंफ्यूजन वाली है थोड़ा परिशानी वाली है कुछ जरूरी ट्रिगर इन्हान में रखन
15:14देखना है जिससे अभी हम क्रिप्टो में पॉल देख रहे हैं यूएस प्रपोजल बीते इरान प्रसिडेंट तो यह से कोई
15:32भी अप्डेट्स आएंगे वह तुरंत आपको मिल जागा और ध्यान रखी एकोनोमिकल डेटा पॉइंट पे जैसे आज हम देख रहे
15:38हैं एड�
15:41लिए अग बढ़ेगा तो डॉलर को मझूट करेगा डॉलर को क्यों मझूट करेगी तो सोने चांदी को पसंद नहीं करेंगी
15:47इसके लिए सोना चांदी इसके एक तोड़ा क्यूरियोसिटी बरा सवाल पूश लेती हूं बहुत जादा इंट्व्यूज चल रहे हैं कि
15:56मार्क
16:11रोड़ी के सोना चांदी आपके पोड्पोलियों 20 तका होना चाहिए उसके वियून नहीं खाल झोना जोजी है इक इसलिए भी
16:20भूलिश नहीं हो एक तो थे टेंशन मिट इसका कंसर्ण बारिस नहीं होने के वज़े से इंफलिक्शन बढ़ेगा कच्छा देल
16:26बढ़ा हुआ ह
16:27in the next three months I have a lot of attention. But in the commotion in a
16:35continue, it is the size of the product as well. So in the commotion in the commotion
16:39has been developed by the matter.
16:43How difficult is there?
16:55foreign
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17:36Thank you so much, sir.
17:40Thank you so much.
