00:00Bloomberg reports that Russia's work intensity for wild grain exports,
00:05Diverting those from the Black Sea towards the ports of the Baltic and the Arctic is failing.
00:10At the time of the attacks from Ukraine, Moscow developed alternative routes,
00:14but only a couple of the total shipments pass through them.
00:18These alternatives increase transport distance by a mean of 1,500 to 2,000 kilometers.
00:25According to Kepler, the five principal alternative ports dispatched approximately 1.3 million tons of grain and oil seeds between
00:33July and September.
00:35In comparison, the main Russian ports on the Black Sea were capable of handling about 12 million tons during the
00:41same period.
00:43The hard truth is that, in essence, there are no export routes capable of substituting the Black Sea.
00:49There is no magical trick that allows doubling the exports.
00:52It's simply impossible, stated Andrei Syzov, director of the analytics firm Sovacan.
00:57The main obstacle is the cost of the transportation.
01:01The grain of the regions of the south of Russia must be shipped to the ports of the north, traversing
01:06much of the country.
01:07Furthermore, the maritime route to the main buyers of Africa and Oriental mania elongates, which increases the costs even more.
01:14Starting in October, Russia plans to begin exporting grain through Murmansk, which adds another 2,700 kilometers.
01:21The Russian exporters consulted by the agency consider subsidies that additional state will be necessary for this route to be
01:28profitable.
01:29Expanding the supplies also exists specialized warehouses and grain terminals.
01:34Their construction requires considerable investments and time.
01:38And the arrival of winter difficult the efforts by creating the necessary infrastructure.
01:42The media had previously reported that the Russian grain is stuck.
01:48Moscow is even losing friendly markets.
01:51This is written on his blog by the Russian economist and blogger Vyacheslav Shirayev.
01:56If the problem is not resolved, millions of tons will rot due to a lack of storage capacity for the surplus.
02:03of grain that cannot be exported abroad.
02:06When it became clear that Russian farmers had only the Baltic Sea left, Moscow urgently turned to Latvia.
02:13and Lithuania seeking additional transshipment volumes through its ports.
02:19Russian grain exporters flocked to the Baltic countries with transshipment requests.
02:25The terminals of these enemy countries received several requests per week with volumes reaching several million tons for
02:34the 2026-2027 season.
02:37For example, Lithuania's total exports are around 4 million tons, and a comparable volume was offered to them.
