00:00A low-pressure system in the southwestern Gulf has a high chance of becoming a tropical
00:04depression this week. This system is linked to a Pacific disturbance expected to become
00:10Tropical Storm Simon, both part of the same broad low-pressure area. The atmosphere isn't
00:15very friendly to sustained growth, but a small pocket of supportive upper-level winds could
00:20help it organize. A dip in the jet stream over Texas will likely pull the Gulf system
00:25slowly northward. Yet hostile upper-level winds across the northern Gulf make a major
00:29land threat, unlikely unless the pattern changes beyond the forecast window. For now, this
00:35disturbance will bring heavy rain to the northeastern Gulf. And Florida, raising flash flood risks.
00:40Forecast models disagree on its path, showing low confidence until the system organizes.
00:46How this storm develops could shape weather across the Gulf Coast in the coming days.
00:51Disclosure. This video contains stock footage and content created or enhanced using AI-assisted tools.
