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​A major panic is erupting inside Democratic strategy circles as CNN data analyst Harry Enten issues a stark warning on live television, revealing that midterm polling data may once again be severely underestimating Republican strength across key battleground states.
​From a bombshell InsiderAdvantage poll showing Minnesota’s U.S. Senate race locked in a dead heat (46% to 45%) to widening fractures within Democratic primaries in Texas and Michigan, the narrative of a guaranteed "Blue Wave" is unraveling rapidly. In this full reaction and data breakdown, G. Foreman analyzes the latest polling numbers, historical polling error trends, and why mainstream media forecasts are suddenly shifting.


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Transcript
00:00So we got to talk about the upcoming midterms and I know to some of you I'm probably going to
00:05sound like a broken record today or at least in this video but what I'm going to say I think
00:12is
00:12really really important especially considering what I just witnessed okay so with that being
00:19said I'm not going to make it a whole long intro let's hop into some of these latest polls that
00:25are coming out with Harry Enten on CNN check it out 34 days before the midterm election and so
00:31many polls show Democrats with a pretty commanding lead heading into the election certainly in the
00:36House and also at least right now in the U.S. Senate but here's the question what if the polls
00:43are wrong with us now CNN chief data analyst Harry and it may be the question I think that you
00:50get
00:50I get more than any other what if the polls are wrong yeah you know we've had really good
00:55Democratic polls coming out from Ohio Michigan Iowa and you know fool me once shame on you
01:02fool me four times I just have to ask the question could it happen again because just take a look
01:07at
01:07this okay Midwest polling misses GOP outperformed September polls by in the major 2024 races that is
01:13president and senate in the states that had a senate race in Iowa where the Democrats have been getting
01:17really good polls Republicans outperformed their September polls by nine points back in 2024 how
01:22about Ohio six points how about Michigan five points and I will note that the leads that the
01:27Democrats have in all of these races right now are under how much the GOP outperformed back in 2024 so
01:34you look at this and you go you know what maybe we should just hold on a second here because
01:40we've
01:40seen this dance before and it was not a dance that Democrats like when the votes were actually
01:44cast and counted okay but a skeptic could look at the state Harry this is 2024 Donald Trump was on
01:48the ballot then what about races where the president's not on the ballot exactly right so you know
01:522024 2020 2016 Donald Trump outperformed in these three states by significant margins but what about
01:59a midterm election you can go back to Donald Trump's first midterm election and it's the same exact
02:04story look at this the GOP outperformed September polls in the major 2018 statewide races by six points
02:10in Iowa six points in Ohio and eight points in Michigan the bottom line is this over the last
02:16few cycles whether it be 2018 2016 2020 2024 Republicans and have outperformed their September
02:23polls by at least five points in all these three states where Democrats right now are ahead but not
02:30by a wide enough margin whereby if Republicans outperform their September polls again it could become
02:35very very interesting okay y'all heard that right we typically outperform the polls which we knew that
02:45right and currently according to the polling none of the in none of these polls across these states
02:54is the Democrat ahead outside of this outperformance number I believe in Michigan uh one of the latest
03:04polls showed um Abdul Rahman El Saeed ahead of Mike Rogers by like three points what does this say
03:15you see what I'm saying so so when when you um listen to mainstream media when you listen to these
03:23Democrat folks who are spewing out doom and gloom oh my goodness Republicans are going down
03:28you know the whole nine don't be discouraged oh my goodness the polls show Republicans are about to lose
03:35yeah okay um it says Abdul Rahman El Saeed is up by three points well Republicans typically outperform the
03:44polls and one of the last times when Trump wasn't on the ballot in Michigan we outperformed the polls by
03:51eight points Abdul Rahman El Saeed is only up by three I mean that's simple math we win okay so
04:00keep
04:00that in mind when when you see this type of stuff uh from these far leftists who are pushing this
04:05doom
04:06and gloom Republicans are going to lose and all this other nonsense they're trying to demoralize you
04:12okay that is what is going on here we we've seen it time and time again we saw it in
04:16the 2024 election
04:17you guys remember two days before the election oh my god in Seltzer Iowa poll the most accurate
04:22poster ever says that Trump's gonna lose Iowa if Trump loses Iowa well then that's doomed for the
04:28entire country yeah then Trump went on to win by double digits and won every single swing state
04:33anyone the popular vote which we haven't done in over two decades okay do not let them demoralize you
04:41do not let them do it now overlay this on the current senate map exactly right so this is where
04:47it all kind of comes together right okay let's just say that the GOP outperforms their midwest polls
04:53like they did in 2018 and 2024 well what do you get you get a red Michigan you get a
04:58red Ohio you get a
04:59red Iowa and all of a sudden even if Democrats carry states like Texas Georgia North Carolina and Alaska
05:05well guess what you get you get a 50 50 senate with J.D. Vance casting the tie-breaking vote
05:12so if
05:12history holds in terms of the GOP outperforming their September polls well there's a very very
05:18strong chance that Republicans hold on the United States Senate even if Democrats win in places they
05:22don't historically win in and I don't I don't see James Tallarico winning in Texas either I just don't
05:28see it uh Susan Collins uh last poll that I saw she's winning in Maine currently uh comfortably I
05:35want to say she was up by two points in one of the latest polls that I saw and typically
05:40Susan Collins
05:41overperforms in Maine so you know what I'm saying so there's red Texas is red honestly like I said before
05:53I think that we are going to hold on to the house as well as the senate that's my prediction
06:01that is my prediction and I'm sticking to it I'm not buying into this propaganda from mainstream media
06:07they're doing the same thing that they've always done you know obviously I haven't been involved in
06:12politics for crazy crazy long but the time that I have been paying attention to politics right uh or I
06:18should say for the time that I have been paying attention to politics they've done this exact same thing
06:22every single election every single one right Democrats are doing so amazing and Republicans
06:29are floundering like a fish out of water you know Republicans have no shot in hell and Democrats are
06:36Democrats are taking off like a rocket you know you guys remember when um the 2024 election was coming
06:44up and they were all talking about uh actually I remember Joyless Reed was one of them um
06:49um Joyless Reed said something something to the effect of Kamala Harris ran a flawless campaign
06:57it was like wait what
06:59are you serious she ran a flawless campaign okay okay but I want to show you something else guys uh
07:08check this one out the certain to vote say they're certain to vote in 2026 again 71 percent of Democrats
07:14say they are certain in fact to vote in 2026 and look at this MAGA Republicans the same it's simpatico
07:21it's simpatico so MAGA Republicans are not just saying that they are still supporting Trump MAGA
07:27Republicans aren't just saying they're going to if their choice for Congress is in fact Republicans at
07:32basically the same level they voted for Trump but they're also saying they are going to turn out
07:36in very high numbers at least comparable to Democrats so also and I wanted to show you this as well
07:43because don't let them make you believe that Republicans are going to sit at home and do
07:50absolutely nothing if CNN is showing you the these numbers you can bet your bottom dollar that it's a
07:55whole lot higher than that I'd probably push it towards 90 percent and this is a midterm this isn't a
08:04general so of course it's not going to be you know a hundred or close to a hundred um but
08:11I I would I
08:12would say it's pushing 90 okay um and in my humble opinion they doctored this to make it look like
08:20it
08:21wasn't so bad that's just my humble opinion you guys can let me know how you feel if you if
08:28you agree
08:28if you disagree why or why not um here's another thing when people say that uh you know people aren't
08:36going to show up because Trump isn't on the ballot I mean first off the polls don't show that and
08:41second
08:42Trump's actually going on tour
08:46just so you understand they all want me to go I'm one person they all want me to go campaign
08:51I'm starting
08:52in about two days I'm starting a literally a 32 day tour going to all I'm going to Texas I'm
08:59going
08:59to Ohio I'm going to all different places and as you see with the Darlene Lindsey Graham sister is
09:06fantastic by the way uh she was behind in the polls I went did a rally for her and now
09:12she you know she
09:13ended up beating a very good politician the president plan so yeah uh Trump is going to um
09:22be out and about so his face is going to be all over the place I may try to get
09:27to a rally my darn
09:27self okay um but yeah also I want to show you guys this as well okay we have the advantage
09:36when it
09:36comes to spending we've got it senate battleground ad spending aired versus future reservations by party
09:48in Ohio uh we've spent 134 million dollars
09:55jeez these numbers are insane we've spent 134 and a half but we still haven't reserved another 92 million
10:04meanwhile Democrats have spent just under 100 but they only have 54 left
10:10okay similar situation in Texas James Tallarico has already spent 62 million but he only has 3 million
10:19left Ken Paxton has spent 114 basically but he still has 60 million dollars left to spend
10:28so uh and and you you you find that across the board where we've got all of these different
10:34advantages all across the board all across the board top to bottom even in North Carolina where
10:42it's almost you pointless to spend in North Carolina kind of in a way just because of the name
10:49recognition of who's running for the Democrats Roy Cooper who is a former governor of North Carolina
10:56so even people who aren't paying attention to politics at all people that just show up and vote
11:01they're going to recognize that name and probably check that box just because they recognize the
11:05name um and that's one of the things that you know I I cautioned us on when people were saying
11:12hey we
11:12should just primary every rhino across the board I'm like as much as I would like to do that that's
11:17a
11:18horrible idea because there's only so much money to go around and if you're trying to not only battle
11:25with name recognition but then also you know get ad rev out there so that you can get you know
11:31your
11:31policies out to the people as well so people know about the policies that you support you're gonna run
11:38into a whole lot of issues okay you can only primary so many rhinos at once because you're gonna have
11:43to
11:43spend a certain amount of money just to get their name out there especially if you're running up against
11:48somebody who was a former governor of the state that's that's a tall task okay so uh for those of
11:56you that you know might have been a little down on me saying ah we can't we can't primary every
12:01rhino
12:01that's why I'm I'm strategic like I want to win but I want to do it strategically so that we
12:07don't lose
12:09while trying to win primary primarying every rhino at the same time would guarantee that we would lose
12:15some seats that we shouldn't have lost just because it's a new name people don't know who it
12:20is you know what I mean and so you got to be strategic about this stuff and that's one of
12:24the
12:24it's one of the reasons why I really don't want to get into politics because I feel like I would
12:29be
12:29trying to be strategic and to folks on the outside it might look like you know I'm doing something
12:36against what I promised but I'm not but also because I'm being strategic and trying to do some things I
12:43can't come out and say what I'm doing because then that would just kind of defeat the purpose
12:47you know what I mean and it would just frustrate me to to no end to to see comments oh
12:54you're a
12:54traitor you're a rhino and it's like I'm not though like I'm still with y'all you know what I'm
12:59saying
12:59that that would piss me off but anyway uh I say that because I feel like Trump is in like
13:05a similar
13:05situation here's another uh chart there all right Democrats have closed the gap a little bit
13:11but we still have a massive lead and I this isn't even everything um as you guys know Elon Musk
13:18has
13:18um said that he was jumping in as well so all in all guys I just wanted to bring this
13:24video to you to
13:26encourage you all to stay in the game okay stay in the fight because I saw a clip um earlier
13:34as I was
13:34scrolling through x of a prominent creator who has six figures um followers large following and this
13:45individual was encouraging their followers to just not vote you just don't vote you know as if that's
13:54like some kind of punishment for Trump in the GOP first off it's not punishing Trump Trump is leaving
14:01office in two years he's done okay second some of the folks that you think you're punishing like John
14:08Thune or the Lisa Murkowski's of the world they don't care if they're in the in the majority or not
14:15they just want to make sure that they are in the senate so as long as they're in the senate
14:19they don't
14:20care if it's majority or minority so the only person you're punishing is yourself because you're allowing
14:26democrats to take back control and we know exactly what that means we just saw it two years ago
14:34okay so for me anybody who is encouraging us to not vote in my humble opinion they're bought and paid
14:43for because logically it makes zero sense it makes zero sense at all or they're just as dumb as a
14:49box of
14:49rocks because it makes no sense so yeah I don't vote so I let democrats take back
14:56power and control I'm upset so I'm gonna let these other folks who are far worse than the folks that
15:02are in office now I'm just gonna let them take control so they can flood our country again so
15:07they can push this propaganda again so they so they can do all of these different things
15:12that we know we don't like I'm just gonna let them take control
15:19like like that doesn't even make sense like not even close to sense like I could see if it was
15:26like
15:26oh yeah I could see that you know maybe but like that it makes no sense at all the only
15:32thing that
15:32makes sense out of that situation is somebody got a check somebody's getting some getting some some
15:38paper you know that money is getting thrown around
15:45USA being shut down act blue being under investigation that pipeline of money that has
15:51been shut down now they're using their stockpiles to make sure that that pipeline gets turned back on
15:58it's just call me a conspiracy theorist
16:04the left the far left is pissed because act blue is under investigation
16:09USA is shut down so their money laundering scheme is basically turned off that pipeline of money is
16:17turned off so now they're pissed but they've stockpiled money because they've been doing it for so long
16:22so now they're taking that stockpile of money and giving it to some folks who are so-called on the
16:27right to try to get us to either not vote or to vote for Democrats
16:35what do y'all think am I am I on the right track six to seven months from now is
16:39it gonna be proven
16:40correct y'all let me know in the comments y'all let me know in the comments I that's just
16:45my theory on
16:45the entire situation um they want that they want that pipeline turned back on and they're doing
16:50everything in their uh ability to try to do that I mean you guys saw you guys remember all the
16:55big
16:55creators who all of a sudden all turned against the GOP all at once hmm if everyone in the room
17:02agrees then someone is lying just saying I'm just saying somebody ain't telling the truth here
17:12I'm just saying and now you have even more creators talking about just don't vote you're gonna
17:17punish the GOP that sounds like something Democrats have been saying interesting you know like that's
17:26literally what I've heard Democrats say in the past just don't vote because Democrats didn't do blah blah
17:31blah blah blah you know the LGBTQ and they didn't do this and do that so we're just not gonna
17:36vote for
17:36Democrats and now I'm seeing Republicans say that line
17:44something smells fishy here I'm gonna leave it there y'all let me know what you think about it
17:50stay safe out there share this video for me hit the arrow button down below copy the link paste it
17:54everywhere you want send it via text message to your friends and family and uh like I said let me
17:59know
17:59what your thoughts okay stay safe out there peace and love I'm out

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