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  • 12 hours ago
El Niño is growing, but its effect on UK winter snow remains uncertain, despite headlines implying a clear connection. During autumn, the climate pattern raises the chance of wet, mild and potentially stormy weather in the UK; later in winter, it could increase the odds of cold and snow. A disrupted polar vortex can influence the jet stream, but changes high in the atmosphere do not always reach surface weather. Past El Niño winters varied, and current forecasts suggest significant UK cold or snow is not likely in the near future.
Disclosure: This video contains stock footage and content created or enhanced using AI-assisted tools.

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00:00Current forecasts suggest no significant UK cold or snow is likely soon.
00:04But why are snow rumors spreading for this autumn and winter?
00:08El Niño, a natural Pacific climate pattern, increases chances of mild wet UK autumn weather.
00:14Yet later in winter, it could favor cold and snow.
00:18That's partly through the polar vortex.
00:20When circling the North Pole, they blow 1030 miles above Earth, far above our weather.
00:25A strong vortex tends to keep the coldest air north of the UK.
00:29But over days or weeks, a weakening vortex can influence the jet stream.
00:34That may bring colder winds, but surface weather does not always change.
00:38And evidence linking El Niño to winter snow remains mixed.
00:42The UK's 2009-2010 winter was then its coldest in three decades.
00:47But the 2006-2007 El Niño winter was unseasonably warm.
00:52So El Niño offers no guarantee behind those UK snow rumors.
00:55This video contains stock footage and content created or enhanced using AI-assisted tools.

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