00:00But Brendan Allen's a case.
00:02These are two really good fighters, Tom.
00:04I mean, Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan on an Apex card.
00:09I mean, the winner of the—and Brendan Allen had that great win.
00:13I was there live against DeRitter.
00:16And he always just kind of gets lost in the shuffle for whatever reason.
00:20He's a minus-125 favorite in this fight against Duncan.
00:24The total is three and a half.
00:25I've got to believe that I'd be shocked if somebody got knocked out right away in this fight.
00:32I like the over three and a half here.
00:34What's your take on the main event?
00:36Yeah, I agree with you.
00:37I do like the over in this matchup.
00:39And really, it comes down to does Allen grapple?
00:45He's a very good grappler.
00:46He has a very good grappling edge in this matchup.
00:49And if he does that, I feel like he wins this fight.
00:52I feel like he can get CLD down, do work on the mat, control him, win rounds that way.
01:00And he could eventually find a finish.
01:03I mean, his jiu-jitsu is very good, very good grappling.
01:08But recent fights, we have seen him.
01:10He falls in love with the striking.
01:12But here he's looking at a guy that's very dangerous,
01:16and you don't really want to play those games with them.
01:19You should be aware of this.
01:21I think, like you said, he's been cocky because he's beaten a couple of kickboxer types like this
01:26in the past a few times.
01:27Yeah, you're playing with fire, like with a guy like Leroy Duncan.
01:31Before you know it, he'll kick you in the head.
01:33You don't want to get stupid.
01:34Yeah.
01:34And like you said, too, Allen's one of these guys, guys, that he's not amazing at one specific thing,
01:41but he's kind of one of those fighters, Tom, that's good at everything.
01:43You know what I mean?
01:44It's like, yeah, he's a good striker.
01:46Yeah, he's good on the ground.
01:47Yeah, he's a good wrestler.
01:48Like, yeah, he's good at this.
01:49And if he doesn't think that he's more than he is, he's a load to deal with.
01:55Like, he's almost better as the underdog type when he's like, ah, no one believes in me.
01:59But you're right.
02:00Like, a lot of these fighters, man, they sort of get caught up in it, right?
02:04And it's easy for us to say, but I thought the same thing.
02:07I'm like, if he just makes this an ugly fight, like pin him against the fence, take him down, ugly
02:12it up, land some ground to pound elbows, he can win and he should win this fight.
02:17But if he stands and dances and want to get cute, man, Leroy Duncan could outpoint him for sure.
02:23Yeah, if it's a standing affair, it's a 50-50 fight.
02:29I mean, Brendan Allen does have very good striking, but he does have very bad defense.
02:34You know, he's around 50% striking defense at distance, which is not great against a guy who's got precision
02:41striking, good power.
02:43So, you know, and to me, Allen is in a position here where if he gets another win, another win
02:50or two, he's looking at a title fight.
02:53You know, obviously, Strickland's a champion right now.
02:55He lost to Strickland.
02:57Strickland kind of, you know, ran through him, you know, three, four years ago.
03:00So, but he is right there in title contention.
03:05If ever you were going to use all the tools in your tool bag, this would be the fight.
03:11You've got to get this fight to the ground.
03:13You have to win this fight.
03:14You have to look good in this fight.
03:16And, you know, it's a main event spot.
03:19It's not the greatest main event spot.
03:20Like you said, you know, they're at the apex.
03:23There's probably going to be, you know, six, 700 people in there.
03:26It is nice that they're getting more people in there.
03:30So, it's a little bit better with the crowd.
03:32Yeah, I think they've expanded.
03:34It might be like 1,400.
03:35But, yeah, we're just, you know what I mean.
03:36Exactly.
03:37Whatever.
03:37Yeah, it's not a big crowd, but it is bigger than what we've seen.
03:41It's not like they're fighting in an empty warehouse anymore.
03:45But, you know, this is a spot where you've got the main event spot.
03:49You're going to be the last guy on the mic.
03:51You have to come in here and you have to win.
03:54And he has a great advantage if he gets this fight to the mat.
03:58So, I think Allen does do that.
04:01I think he gets to the mat.
04:02I think he wrestles.
04:04And if he does, I mean, he looks like a three, four to one favorite in this fight.
04:10If he doesn't do that, it's a 50-50, you know, anybody's fight.
04:15So, I think he knows that, though.
04:17He's been around the game a long time.
04:18And I think Allen does go the way he has to go, and that is get the grappling going.
