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Europe Today: Trump claims Ukraine-Russia energy ceasefire as Baltics stay on alert

Donald Trump says Russia and Ukraine have agreed an energy ceasefire. Volodymyr Zelenskyy says it was news to him. As he addresses the Warsaw Security Forum, we hear from Latvia's FM Baiba Braže, Doha after a deadly Riyadh airport attack, and France's debt fears.

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00:14Good morning, it's Monday, October 12th. You're watching Euronews and this is Europe Today.
00:22Coming up, Riyadh's international airport remained closed on Sunday after an attack
00:27killed 12 people. The strike drew condemnation from the United Nations and the European Union
00:33as the Iran-backed Houthis renewed their threats and Washington considered its response.
00:39U.S. President Trump said his government might join strikes against the Houthi rebels,
00:44something he was so far reluctant to do. Ukrainian drones hit a data center of a company
00:50being dubbed Russia's Google yesterday, forcing the facility near Moscow to pause operations.
00:56It was the third attack on the Russian tech giant Yantex in one week. Hours later,
01:02President Trump announced an energy ceasefire. The latest attack came after President Zelensky
01:07had heavily criticized Trump's diesel deal with Moscow, which will see millions of tons
01:12of Russian diesel released into the U.S. And authorities in Poland have arrested a man
01:19who was planning to assassinate Prime Minister Donald Tusk and his defense minister,
01:23according to police sources. The man had reportedly sent threatening emails to security services,
01:29which prompted a crisis meeting of top officials yesterday. Poland has already been on high alert
01:35after a series of school stabbings and fears of a possible Russian hybrid attack.
01:41Welcome to the program. I'm Stefan Grobel.
01:44U.S. President Donald Trump says Russia and Ukraine have agreed on to an immediate ceasefire
01:50on attacks against energy infrastructure. Trump announced the agreement on Truth Social,
01:55saying that both parties have agreed. The announcement comes just a day after Trump called
02:01for Ukraine to replace President Zelensky, accusing Kiev rather than Moscow of standing in the way of peace.
02:08And on Friday, Trump announced the controversial deal with Vladimir Putin to ease sanctions on Russian
02:14diesel exports, drawing sharp criticism from Kiev and Europe. In this situation, we need the analysis of our
02:21Ukraine correspondent, Sasha Vakulina, who is here with me in the studio right now. Good morning, Sasha.
02:28Good morning.
02:28So a lot to unpack here, but first on the ceasefire. Trump says both sides have agreed, but Zelensky's
02:35response suggested that, you know, he wasn't aware of any deal. So what has been agreed upon and
02:43whatever it is, is it in effect? Indeed, even now, hours later, it's not clear whether this is the
02:49deal agreed between and with Kiev and Moscow or whether this is a unilateral declaration, as the one
02:55we already heard from Donald Trump earlier in September when he said that there was another energy
03:00ceasefire, which actually never materialized. Now, this is what Donald Trump said on Truth Social. He
03:05said, effective immediately, there is an energy ceasefire in the war between Russia and Ukraine.
03:12Both parties have agreed. Do not break it. Now, Kiev and Vladimir Zelensky have been pitching the idea of
03:20energy ceasefire for months, Stefan, given the fact that Russia is deliberately knocking out all of
03:25Ukraine's energy infrastructure. And even yesterday and the day before yesterday in some of the
03:29neighborhoods of Kiev, there were over 20 hours without any electricity. This is how the situation
03:35is bad already now in October. But it's not clear because this is what Zelensky said following Donald
03:42Trump's statement and the ceasefire that he announced.
03:50It is important that this becomes a reality. Ukraine supports all realistic and reliable formats
03:56for a ceasefire and an end to the war. Ukraine is prepared not to carry out strikes against Russia's
04:03energy sector. And we are counting on a similar willingness on Russia's part and on an agreement
04:07from the president of the United States of America on this matter. We welcome such an agreement.
04:17What is included in the city? Because there is also information that this deal is rather refinery for
04:22refinery. If that is the case, this is very tricky because there's only one big refinery in Ukraine,
04:28which has already been damaged by Russia. And this is, of course, not the case in Russia, where Ukraine
04:32is targeting specifically oil refineries to make sure that Russia does not have more money to prolong its
04:40war. Well, what Moscow is targeting is civilian energy infrastructure stuff. And so this is where it's not clear
04:46what's in the deal. Sasha, there seems to be a striking change in Trump's tone towards Zelensky,
04:53saying he's standing in the way of peace, he should be replaced, which reminds me of that infamous Oval
05:00Office meeting with Trump, J.D. Vance and Zelensky. What does it tell us about the current relationship
05:07between the U.S. and Ukraine? You know, the only one, Stefan, everybody had this sort of a flashback of
05:12that famous scandal in the Oval Office in February 2025, when Zelensky was accused of not being
05:17grateful, not saying thank you, and so on and so forth. Things have changed since, though, because
05:22while the United States and the Donald Trump administration clearly trying to put more
05:27pressure on Zelensky to force Kiev into a deal, to force Kiev into more concessions,
05:34the U.S. has less leverage if we compare the situation to what was happening in 2025. So let's
05:39realistically look at what can Washington do now to put even more pressure on Kiev. Now,
05:44there are a few options here on the table. They could stop sharing intel, and that would be a very
05:49dangerous thing, obviously, for Ukraine in defending itself from Russia's war. There could be some issues
05:55with the cutoff Starlink connection, which, of course, is also a very crucial aspect for the
05:59armed forces of Ukraine. Or there could be some cuts with PURE. This is prioritized Ukraine requirement
06:06list. This is how the United States is selling weapons to Europe for Ukraine. So there are these
06:11three options that are being discussed. When it comes to PURE, though, this is also something that
06:15brings billions to the United States and to Washington. So I would say this is probably going
06:19to be the last option for Washington, realistically speaking, of looking into. But when it comes to the
06:25pressure over elections, Zelensky said that if there is a ceasefire for at least 60 days, he is ready
06:30to organize elections. Notably, Donald Trump did not mention any possibility or any need for
06:36elections or change of the leadership in Russia, Stefan.
06:40All right, Sasha, Sasha Vokulina reporting for us here. And please keep doing what you're doing
06:46going forward. And now let's head straight to Warsaw, where Zelensky is set to address the security
06:53conference as he seeks to shore up support from European allies. Our chief editor, Maria Tadeo,
06:59joins us from the Polish capital. She'll also be speaking to Poland's finance minister later
07:04today. Good morning, Maria. What can we expect from Zelensky's address? And how important is
07:10European support for Kiev at this critical moment?
07:14Well, good morning, Stefan. The president or the message from the president of Ukraine will be one of
07:19coordination and alignment. Obviously, a very turbulent weekend. You just debriefed the tensions both over
07:26the Russian diesel deal, but also the comments and the criticism escalating from the president of
07:32the U.S. saying Ukraine now needs a new leader, one that, quote, can actually make a deal to that
07:39point and amid that pressure. Yesterday, the president of Ukraine, Zelensky, had a phone call with the head
07:46of the commission, Ursula von der Leyen, an emergency call. They're not calling that. They're not putting that
07:51name on it, but essentially that's what it is. The head of the commission sent out a readout saying that
07:56she does support an energy ceasefire if that means that Ukrainian energy infrastructure will be spared
08:03from Russian attacks. And she also said, quote, she has a full support to President Zelensky. A lot of
08:09that politically has to be seen in the context of those comments from President Trump indicating that
08:15Zelensky is not the right man to lead the country. The head of the commission saying the opposite. She also
08:20added
08:21that this is a man who's, quote, fighting for the freedom of his country. She also said that Ukraine
08:26will be front and center at the European summit on Thursday. We are expecting President Zelensky to be
08:32there in person in Brussels. She said that they will talk about financing and they would talk about
08:38money for drones and missiles. But the question, the money question, is a difficult one, Stefan, because
08:44for the time being and up until now, it's the Europeans that are very much providing the bulk of the
08:49financing. They pay for the weapons to through NATO. The U.S. no longer pays for any of the expenses
08:54related to the war for the Europeans. This is a tricky question. And the head of the commission
08:59also says that the EU will put together a global effort to get global funding for Ukraine. Obviously,
09:06this is a money question. And winter has not even started yet. All right. Our EU editor,
09:13Maria Tadeo, from the Warsaw Security Forum, thank you very much. As we've heard, Europe's eastern
09:20flank is facing another moment of heightened tension. Latvia and its Baltic neighbors are,
09:26once again, on alert amid growing concerns over Russian drones, airspace violations and a broader
09:32campaign of hybrid pressure against NATO. One of the top topics at the EU's Foreign Affairs Council
09:38in Luxembourg today. Is Moscow testing Europe's resolve? And how close are we to a dangerous
09:45escalation? We'll put these questions now to Latvia's Foreign Minister, Baiba Braje. Good
09:51morning, madam. Great to have you on. Good morning from Luxembourg City. We are at the EU
09:57Foreign Affairs meeting. Wonderful. So a lot has happened over the past 48 hours around Latvia.
10:05What is your assessment of the security situation in the region right now? How serious is the threat?
10:13I think in the big picture, there hasn't been significant change. Russia is stuck in Ukraine.
10:21Ukraine is defending herself. Russia is not only advancing, but actually losing some of the ground
10:26in Donbass. And Russia is unable to challenge NATO militarily. But of course, Russia's warfare doctrine
10:35doesn't include only conventional military tactics. It also includes submilitary, subconventional
10:42warfare. And that is what sometimes is called hybrid, which is too fluffy and too nice to actually be
10:49characterized. What it is, is sabotage. If necessary, it's killing of people, threats to the chiefs of
10:57military companies, or actual possible implementation of those threats if necessary. We saw attack on Leipzig
11:03airport, massive cyber attacks, constant cyber attacks everywhere, information, disinformation attacks,
11:12hostile activities elsewhere. So it's everything that doesn't necessarily involve direct military attack,
11:19but it's still part of Russia's doctrine. Madam, are you concerned that what we are seeing is moving
11:25beyond hybrid warfare into a more direct military confrontation with Russia? And does Moscow feel
11:31emboldened by Trump's pressure campaign? As I said, for now, the military evaluation and assessment is the
11:41same for the same for the whole of NATO, also here in the Baltic states, that Russia is enabling
11:47to challenge NATO. So that means it cannot militarily attack because it doesn't have sufficient capabilities. And
11:59again, it's stuck in Ukraine. But of course, we see other developments, we see that Belarus enabled by Russia is
12:09pushing massive groups of illegal migrants against border of EU and NATO, and that's a border in Latvia.
12:15So we are defending that border, but we see that there is an organizational sort of aspect to it all,
12:23that it's not just happening by itself. And groups of 20 or more people trying to climb over the border,
12:31tunnels, you know, people stealing cameras on the border. So there is a sort of tension quite clearly
12:40that is present.
12:42And do you believe NATO's eastern flank is sufficiently protected today? Yes or no?
12:49Yes, we have 14 allies with us here in Latvia. Canadians, you know, neighbors and Polish and Slovaks
13:00and others. So we have not only Latvian own defense forces, but also our NATO allies together and various
13:09capabilities for the air, for the land, for the sea, to make sure that we deter. NATO is deterrence.
13:17NATO's KPI is peace. It's a peace organization. And it has been successful since its foundation in
13:241949. So we have to continue that. All right. Baiba Braje, the Latvian foreign minister,
13:30thank you so much for your time this morning. The Saudi capital, Riyadh, is facing a major security
13:36crisis after a deadly missile attack on King Khalid International Airport killed at least 12 people
13:42and injured more than 300. Saudi Arabia is vowing a firm response, while the Houthis, suspected to be behind
13:49the attack, are warning airlines and passengers to stay away from Saudi airports. With Riyadh's main airport
13:56closed and tensions escalating, the question now is how far this confrontation could spread and whether the U.S.
14:03could be drawn directly into it. For more on this, let's head over to Doha to our correspondent, Laila Humeyra.
14:10Good morning, Laila. So Saudi Arabia is dealing with the aftermath of this deadly attack on Riyadh's airport.
14:17What's the latest?
14:20Good morning, Stefan. That's right. As you said, for the second straight day, Houthi rebels have struck the Saudi Arabian
14:27capital,
14:27plunging the region deeper into a major security crisis. On Sunday, a new Houthi projectile hit passenger
14:33terminals at Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport, causing a fire to break out and multiple injuries.
14:40That, of course, follows Saturday's devastating strike, which killed 12 people and injured more than 300 others.
14:47Now, as you said, all operations in the main airport have been fully suspended, and the Houthi rebels have claimed
14:54responsibilities for these attacks. But they've also accused the Saudi-led coalition of killing civilians at its airport
14:59in the capital, Sana'a, over the last couple of days. Now, in Washington, D.C., U.S. President Donald
15:04Trump says
15:05that he has condemned these attacks, but he has also stated that they are weighing, considering, possibly joining
15:12the military campaign against Houthi rebels in Yemen. Of course, the Houthi rebels have since now targeted
15:18a lot of Saudi Arabia's energy, key civilian and air infrastructure as well. Now, all these escalations,
15:25Stefan, point to a continuation of the war and effectively opening up a new front in this regional
15:31conflict. We're possibly looking at months of uncertainty and instability in this region.
15:35And Laila, Iran has been carrying out major missile tests, indicating that it's ready to be in this war
15:43longer than we thought capable. At the same time, the U.S. seems to be reassessing and repositioning its assets
15:50and bombers in the region, too. What does this mean for the war, even as de-escalation efforts remain in
15:57place?
15:59That's right. As you said, Iran has raised the regional states to a whole new level by test-firing multiple
16:04ballistic missiles.
16:05Now, experts say this shows, clearly confirms, how much Tehran is capable still of producing those drones and missiles,
16:13even after months of heavy bombing. The U.S. on its side has also been reassessing its military assets in
16:19the region,
16:19redeploying bombers and refueling planes and aircraft carriers and such.
16:24And U.S. President Donald Trump has ruled out any new military action before the November 3rd midterm elections.
16:30But Iranian officials have said that they will ignore any sort of rhetoric coming out of the White House,
16:35essentially saying that they are locked in for a prolonged and long-term conflict.
16:40And, of course, this is...
16:43That's all. Thanks.
16:45All right. That was our correspondent, Lyra Humeyra, in Doha. Thank you very much.
16:51From the Middle East to France now.
16:53The country is facing a dangerous economic and political balancing act.
16:58Thousands of students are taking to the streets, demanding more resources and better conditions,
17:02while the government is struggling to repair public finances already under severe pressure.
17:08With the deficit around 5% of GDP and public debt approaching 120%,
17:14Paris has very little room to spend its way out of the crisis.
17:19So, how serious is the risk of a wider economic and political crisis?
17:24To get to the bottom of this, I'm now joined by French economist and essayist Nicolas Bouzou.
17:29Good morning to you.
17:31Good morning.
17:32So, you said already in June that the situation in France was a catastrophe.
17:39Well, things haven't gotten any better since.
17:42Is France the sick man of Europe?
17:45Yeah, I think that the situation is very tough because we are at the end of the system.
17:52I mean that we have in France, as you know, a very big welfare state, very large, so it's a
17:58good thing.
17:58But the economic growth is not more strong to be able to support this welfare state.
18:08And that's why we suffer from a huge deficit, from a rising public debt.
18:15And the most worrying point is that our long-term interest rate, they are going to 5%.
18:22And economists know that 5% for an economy like France is an unsensensible interest rate.
18:31I mean that the public debt is automatically rising.
18:35So, yes, it's a quite difficult situation.
18:37Nicolas, what worries financial markets more?
18:40France's level of debt, its persistent deficits, or the apparent political inability to agree on spending cuts?
18:48Both.
18:49The public debt is huge, but other countries have big public debt.
18:54So, I think that the main problem is a public deficit.
18:57I mean the fact that we are not able to reduce our public debt.
19:01But the second problem, you're perfectly right, is the political uncertainty, because the government has not a majority at the
19:10parliament.
19:11But we have a presidential election in five months, which is very, very large.
19:18Far-right can win, but far-left can win.
19:22And their programs are not very precise in the challenge of the public debt.
19:28And looking ahead at the presidential election next year, with both extremes gaining ground, is the worst yet to come?
19:36Very briefly.
19:38In France, the economic situation, basically, we have some strength.
19:43Electricity, a very strong corporate sector, a government, which is quite competent, I mean.
19:52So, I think that, basically, the situation is not so bad, but we are facing a big problem of public
20:00finance.
20:00So, it's true.
20:01But if we solve that, France will be okay.
20:03All right.
20:04That's all we have time for.
20:05Nicolas Bouzou, thank you so much for helping us understand what's going on in France right now.
20:09That does it for us today.
20:12I'm Stefan Grobe, and I'll see you tomorrow.
20:25I'll see you tomorrow.

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