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Demokraták nyerik a szenátust Trump ellen, közben húzódik a lengyel alkotmányos válság

Kék hullám az amerikai félidős választásokon: a demokraták megnyerik a szenátust, nagy képviselőházi többségre törnek; elemzés Philadelphiából és Brüsszelből a lengyel válságról, ukrajnai tárgyalásokról és EU-bővítésről.

BŐVEBBEN : http://hu.euronews.com/2026/11/04/demokratak-megszerzik-a-szenatust-trump-elleni-jelzes-mikozben-huzodik-a-lengyel-valsag

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00:15Good morning, it's Wednesday, November 4th, you're watching Euronews, and this is Europe Today.
00:22Our top stories.
00:24A blue wave has hit America.
00:26In the U.S. congressional midterm elections, practically everywhere across the country, Republicans forcefully rejected the Trump agenda, as Democrats
00:35scored massive wins, with every voting bloc pulling significantly to the left.
00:40In Congress, Democrats will now control the Senate and are on track for a huge majority in the House of
00:45Representatives, as votes are still being counted on the West Coast.
00:49We'll bring you live analysis from the U.S. and from our studio.
00:54Brussels has given Euronews governments just days to nominate candidates to become the next president of the European Central Bank,
01:01signaling that the race to find Christine Lagarde's successor could come to a head quickly.
01:06The president of the Eurogroup, Kyriakos Kierakakis, called on the bloc's 21 member states to submit their nominations by Friday.
01:14Lagarde announced last week that she will step down as ECB president in February, nine months before the end of
01:20her eight-year term.
01:21And several flights across Europe received alleged bomb threats that ultimately turned out to be hoaxes, but prompted searches, diversions
01:30and, in one case, an escort by the Italian Air Force until landing.
01:35The impacted airlines included Polish airline Lotz, Scandinavian Airlines and Ryanair.
01:41Police bomb disposal experts carried out security checks of passengers, crew and baggage and found no explosives.
01:48Last month, the flight from Tel Aviv to Vienna made an emergency landing because of the bomb threat.
01:54Welcome to the program. I'm Stefan Grober.
01:57But first, the midterm elections in the United States.
02:00Let's head straight over to Philadelphia, where elections expert and former Euronews head of polling, Boyd Wagner, is standing by
02:07for us.
02:08Good morning, Boyd. You've been following the whole thing throughout the night.
02:11What's the latest? What can you tell us?
02:14Well, we'll start with the House, where the AP now says that the Democrats have control of the lower body
02:20of Congress.
02:21They needed a net gain of just three seats.
02:24They are at 220 now, which gives them the majority per the AP.
02:28However, there are some projections, including NBC News, which is projecting them as many as 252.
02:36That would be the largest House majority in nearly two decades.
02:39And that's not even mentioned in the Senate yet.
02:41Well, let's talk about the Senate then.
02:44This was probably the biggest surprise, right?
02:47Yeah, this was going to be the dogfight and where Republicans thought that they could continue to keep control.
02:53The Democrats needed four seats, three to get to 50 and then plus one to bypass any advance swing vote
03:00there that would happen from the vice president.
03:03That number got blown away, though.
03:06We are now looking at 55, maybe 56 seats for the Democrats in this upcoming term in the Senate.
03:16So what is striking here, talking about the Senate at the beginning of the cycle, nobody had the Senate on
03:22the map because most races took place in deeply red states.
03:28Tell us about the inroads that Democrats made here.
03:32Well, they did run a few very good candidates, including in Tallarico and Texas, where they flipped deep red Texas.
03:40They ran a conservative-leaning pastor as a Democratic candidate in Kansas, which they flipped to Republican for the first
03:48time since 1932, nearly 100 years.
03:51We now have our eyeballs looking at the state of Mississippi, which is even deeper red than those other two
03:57states.
03:57And this, per the latest numbers that we saw, is now a 29 vote, 29 people, 29 voters lead for
04:07the Democrats right now.
04:08That one's going to go on much longer.
04:09But you're looking at many, many deep red states that have flipped to the Democrats in this election.
04:16And there, of course, is Maine, not a deep red state, because Maine votes Democrat in every presidential election, almost.
04:24But Susan Collins, the long-term Republican senator, lost.
04:30Tell us about this briefly.
04:33Yeah, Susan Collins has always been able to overcome polling deficiencies, we'll say.
04:38Three terms in the Senate.
04:40This time, it did not come out that way.
04:42She finally got taken down by the Democrats in this one.
04:46Another very close race.
04:47She did exceed expectations with polling.
04:50However, she will be unseated this time around.
04:55All right.
04:55Boyd Wagner in Philadelphia, thank you very much.
04:58Now, to make sense of what we've just heard, I'm joined in our studio by Penny Nass,
05:03Senior Vice President and Brussels Office Director of the German Marshall Fund.
05:07Good morning and welcome.
05:08So, Penny, it's quite normal that the presidential party loses in midterm elections.
05:16Why is it different this time?
05:18I think that this blue wave has been larger than many of us were anticipating.
05:24It's at the upper end of the ranges that were being talked about just a few weeks ago.
05:29I think that there is a lot of issues that are really top of mind for Americans, many of which
05:34aren't foreign policy,
05:35but are foreign policy related, such as gas prices, which have been very heavily impacted by the president's war in
05:42Iran.
05:43But affordability and kitchen table issues have really been what's been, I think, driving this issue
05:47and deep dissatisfaction with the president and some of his policies in that area.
05:51On that note, I mean, the Democratic victories in ruby red states like Texas, like Kansas, like Kansas.
05:59Herbert Hoover was president when the Democrats won a Senate seat there.
06:04And South Carolina, of course, where Trump campaigned massively.
06:09Is this the end of Trumpism?
06:11I think that Trumpism is still alive.
06:14It's always been something that's been very strong in the base of supporters that the president has.
06:20But in the past, the president has been able to tap into a deep dissatisfaction with kind of where the
06:26country was going.
06:27It just seems to me that what we've seen is people have not endorsed the direction the president has taken
06:33to address some of their concerns.
06:35Right, right.
06:36Speaking of Trump, he went on quite a rant throughout the night and was very defiant.
06:44At least at the beginning, stressing the fact that, you know, it's not his fault.
06:50And we have, if we can pull this up here, he tweeted, I wasn't on a ballot.
06:55And if I was, we would have won in a landslide.
07:00Now, who does he think is he impressing with this after such an outcome?
07:05Yeah, I mean, I think there's a lot here to unpack for the president.
07:10But where he is now, he's got two more years.
07:12He's going to be very focused on his legacy.
07:15And this is a gentleman who does not like to be seen as losing in any way, shape or form.
07:19So I think he's going to be moving very much into the phase of trying to preserve his legacy, looking
07:26at building out Washington, D.C., creating the monuments that I think he thinks nobody will face in his honor.
07:32It hasn't gotten easier, right?
07:34It hasn't gotten easier, but some of it is in executive control.
07:37A lot of it has been money that he's solicited from private parties to help him to achieve.
07:42So I think that will continue.
07:44And you saw that very much in his rant on Monday night and what should have been the closing moments
07:49presenting his case to the American people for how he's been delivering for them.
07:53And instead, it largely focused on the reflecting pool and what he has done to build out Washington, D.C.
07:59Right, right.
08:00Let's talk about the various voting blocs.
08:02Those who carried Trump to victory just two years ago.
08:05So, I mean, from Florida to Texas, it looks like Republicans suffered a bloodbath with Hispanic voters.
08:13African-Americans ran away from him.
08:15Young people as well.
08:17Your take.
08:19Yeah, I think that the president appealed to a lot of people back in the last presidential election with regards
08:26to being an outsider, coming in, change, people looking for a change election.
08:31And in some sense, he's delivered, but probably a bit too much for many of them.
08:35Tariff policy has been great for certain people in the United States, but really lousy for many others.
08:41Same with what's been going on with Iran and with gas prices.
08:46Those are all things that I think that he had promised voters he would have no new elections.
08:51He would worry about pocketbook issues.
08:54And at the end of the day, I don't think people have seen those results and that as a result,
08:59they're voting once again for change.
09:00And what does it tell us for 2028?
09:03I mean, every election is also the beginning of the next campaign.
09:05Very briefly.
09:06I think that the gun is going off today.
09:09And I think Democrats have a heavy lift to show that they can deliver the agenda they've now promised to
09:14the American people.
09:15All right.
09:15Wonderful.
09:16Peggy Nass, thank you so much from the German Marshall Fund.
09:19Thanks for breaking it all down for us.
09:21And now back to Europe.
09:22Poland is still struggling to resolve a constitutional crisis that has pitted judges against judges, president against courts and prime
09:31minister against president.
09:32Years after the EU launched its unprecedented rule of law battle with Poland, the question remains, can judicial independence be
09:40restored without creating yet another constitutional confrontation?
09:44Joining me now from London is former EU Justice Commissioner Vera Jourova, who was at the center of that battle
09:51to assess where Poland stands today.
09:53Good morning to you.
09:55Good morning.
09:55So you spent years confronting the Polish government over judicial independence.
10:01How worried are you today about the situation?
10:05Well, I indeed I spent 10 years with this issue and it was maybe the most difficult part of my
10:13portfolio because Poland needs to be strong.
10:16Europe needs strong Poland and now the current conflict is weakening Poland in a very unfortunate situation, considering the geopolitical
10:30situation.
10:31It was not the case so much when the conflict started in 2015.
10:36And can you have an independent judiciary where judges themselves are divided over which other judges and institutions are legally
10:45legitimate?
10:47This judicial schism, if I can call it like that, is very unpleasant and it is decreasing the trust of
10:55people in justice and in independent judiciary in Poland.
11:00So these two lines of judges, which is not only the case of the constitutional tribunal, we see it in
11:11the whole judiciary system in Poland, is something which is necessary to solve.
11:17And it is also said by the European courts, there are very clear messages.
11:24Constitutional tribunal is not legally established at this moment and you have to correct things.
11:32This is what the current government tries to do.
11:36Would you say that Poland has reached the point where there is no longer one universally accepted judicial system?
11:45Poland is in this situation over years because there was a cascade of different grievances since 2015 and the accumulation
11:57of problems in Poland in the judiciary is something which the European court called systemic breach of the rule of
12:06law.
12:06So it's broader than just problems in the justice system and it requires corrections.
12:14Right. Does the European Union have the legal and political leverage to force Poland to resolve this crisis?
12:24Well, EU, of course, has the Article 2 in the treaty, which says that each member state has to respect
12:31and promote and guarantee the rule of law in the country.
12:34And so it was the main leverage for the commission, not only in my times, but also now the commission
12:41already made a declaration.
12:45Mr. McGrath, the commissioner of justice, said clearly that constitutional tribunal needs to be able to function in accordance with
12:54the Polish constitution and the case law of the court of justice.
12:59So this is the warning from the commission. And I cannot predict what steps will follow.
13:06OK, former you, Justice Commissioner Vera Jura. Thank you so much for sharing your thoughts with us.
13:12U.S. Envoy Steve Witkoff announced the round of talks today and tomorrow with EU countries, the World Bank and
13:19NATO in a bid to kickstart negotiations to end the war in Ukraine.
13:23The gathering comes after several weeks of shuttle diplomacy among the U.S., Ukraine, Russia and Europe.
13:30Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gasteure and Finnish President Alexander Stupp have been leading some of the talks for Europe.
13:36Let's bring in our NATO correspondent Shona Murray, who is in the Finnish capital Helsinki, where she's been discussing the
13:43talks with European officials.
13:44Good morning, Shona. Please fill us in. What can we expect from the talks this week?
13:51Well, good morning, Stefan. And it's hard to understand exactly what work will get done across the European capitals today
13:57as European governments digest those results in the United States and what it all means for the continent and, of
14:04course, Ukraine.
14:05But indeed, there are working level meetings in Brussels today and tomorrow with NATO, the European Commission, the World Bank,
14:11leading countries like Germany, the U.K.
14:13and France ahead of crucial meetings next week. And we saw yesterday a post from U.S.
14:18envoy Steve Witkoff saying the U.S. will mediate working level negotiations between Ukraine and Russia on the 10th and
14:2511th of November in Abu Dhabi.
14:27Discussions will focus on post-war security arrangements, de-escalation, humanitarian efforts and the next steps towards peace.
14:35This is very important because, you know, Ukraine is heading into a very potentially brutal winter.
14:40And these are the first important talks, you know, since really the war in Iran started.
14:45Stefan.
14:46You've been speaking with officials close to the talks.
14:49What have you heard about the prospects of any peace settlement?
14:54Well, indeed, as we know, the Finnish president Alexander Stubb and Jonas Estore, the Norwegian prime minister, held a phone
15:03call with Vladimir Putin that lasted 90 minutes just a few days ago.
15:07And Finland here obviously has a very important obligation to end the war, given that it has the longest border
15:13with Russia inside NATO, 1,500 kilometers.
15:16And some member states weren't very happy that that call took place.
15:20But European officials are saying that it actually it was very important and very constructive because it brought the situation
15:25back from the brink.
15:26You have to recall just a few days ago, a couple of weeks ago, Donald Trump was saying that the
15:30Ukrainian president Zelensky had to be replaced.
15:33The Ukrainians had no access to Starlink satellite system, important for their military.
15:38And the U.S. President Donald Trump had waived sanctions against Russia.
15:41So it was a very crucial, intense moment that seems to be brought back on track.
15:46But in terms of prospects for peace, what I have heard is really the best that can be hoped for
15:50is something like a ceasefire agreed by Vladimir Putin and the Ukrainians, which obviously want this to happen.
15:56But there's no indication yet that the Putin is going to do it.
15:58And also very crucially, there's no indication yet that Ukrainians have access to very important U.S. patriot systems intercepting
16:06Russian ballistic missiles.
16:09So a lot, a lot still to play for. Stefan.
16:12All right, Shona Mari, live from Helsinki.
16:14Thank you very much.
16:15The race to join the European Union is heating up, but not everyone is keeping pace.
16:20From Montenegro's ambitious 2028 membership target to Georgia's deepening standoff with Brussels, Europe's enlargement hopefuls have very different roads ahead.
16:29And I'll join live by our correspondent Angela Skugins, who was at the Euronews Enlargement Summit yesterday and heard about
16:36all these journeys.
16:37Good morning, Angela.
16:39What were the highlights?
16:40Good morning, Stefan.
16:41So it's actually quite hard to narrow it down.
16:43We had a strong list of speakers briefing journalists and EU insiders about how their process to join the EU
16:49is faring.
16:50But just to give you a bit of context regarding how that race is unfolding, as you mentioned, Montenegro leads
16:56the pack, aiming to be the 28th member by 2028.
17:00But Albania really nipping at its heels.
17:02But this process is made a little bit more complicated due to a controversial resort development backed by the Kushner
17:09family enveloping that country in protests.
17:13Of course, we have Ukraine and Moldova, their third and fourth place, their bids very much intertwined.
17:19But the importance for these countries to join the European Union, underscored by Russia's full scale invasion of Ukraine.
17:25These bids launched in 2022.
17:27But you mentioned highlights.
17:29The first that comes top of the mind is a comment from the Albanian Prime Minister, Eddie Rama, an exchange
17:34in which he really implored that the six EU Balkan aspirant countries to join the European Union should gain unfettered
17:42access when they go through all the loops and the hoops and all these other processes.
17:47He's comparing this to European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen's seven children.
17:51Let's take a listen to that exchange.
17:53Like Ursula brings her kids.
17:56She has seven.
17:57We are seven.
17:59If you count, we are five negotiating in or in the process in the Western Balkans plus Moldova and Ukraine,
18:10the seven Ursula kids.
18:12Ursula didn't grow her kids in the neighborhood.
18:15She didn't say go or stay in the neighborhood and when you grow, when you are mature, you'll come to
18:21eat with Papa and Mama.
18:22No, she kept her around the table.
18:26As you can see, some laughter in the crowd.
18:29But of course, the summit didn't come without its controversy.
18:32There was quite a terse back and forth between my boss, Euronews' EU editor Maria Taddeo, and the Georgian Prime
18:39Minister, Rakli Kovikitsa.
18:41I really recommend people going online to watch that exchange in full.
18:44So, this is in general a big week for enlargement, also from a EU Commission's perspective.
18:50Absolutely.
18:51So, we heard from those EU candidate countries where they stand today.
18:55It's up to Brussels to give their perspective.
18:58They'll be handing down their EU enlargement reports regarding how the 10 candidate countries are faring when it comes to
19:04judicial reforms, corruption reforms and things like that.
19:07So, it's very much wait and see to what unfolds today.
19:10Okay, we're going to monitor this.
19:12All right, Angela Skudjins, thank you very much for your reporting.
19:15And that brings us to the end of today's edition.
19:18I'm Stefan Grobel.
19:20Take care.
19:20And I'll see you tomorrow.
19:51We'll see you tomorrow.
19:52Bye-bye.
19:53Bye-bye.
19:55Bye-bye.
19:55Bye-bye.
19:56Bye-bye.
19:59Bye-bye.
19:59Bye-bye.

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