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八点最热报 | 美国中期选举投票日，特朗普突然宣布，今年底将停止每年向以色列提供近40亿美元军事援助，但以色列未来想买美国武器，照样可以买。更耐人寻味的是，就在前一晚，美军才刚空袭伊朗格什姆岛防空设施，特朗普却强调，这只是一场“小规模攻击”，不算战争。特朗普到底是在替美国减少中东负担，还是押下一场更危险的豪赌？（主播： 萧慧敏）
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00:00A reminder before watching the video
00:01Popular websites have more content
00:04US midterm elections voting day
00:06Trump on the Middle East uprising
00:08Two unexpected pieces were placed in quick succession.
00:12He suddenly launched a stun grenades.
00:13The United States announced that it will [do something] by the end of this year.
00:15Suspension from duty and annual payment to ally Israel
00:18Provide approximately $4 billion in military aid
00:21But on the other side
00:22The US military, however, on the night before the visit
00:24Airstrikes on Iran's Qeshm Island
00:26They directly destroyed the air defense facilities built by the other side.
00:29Why choose to announce it on election day?
00:32Trump himself did not hide the political calculations behind it.
00:35He stated frankly
00:36Billions of dollars in military aid to Israel
00:39It has become a political topic for Democrats to attack Republicans.
00:43In the past, supporting Israel was almost a political and security card.
00:47However, as the Gaza war continued to escalate...
00:49Support for Israel within the United States has shifted.
00:52This card has now become a political burden for the Republican Party.
00:56What Trump seems to be doing is re-washing
01:00Israeli soldiers bomb Iran
01:02Is Trump playing a long game?
01:05However, some worry that this could drag the United States into a quagmire of war.
01:09What's even more intriguing is that Trump suspended military personnel.
01:13However, the door to arms sales was not closed.
01:15Israel can still buy weapons from the United States if it wants to.
01:18The US military has clearly already opened fire on Iran.
01:21Trump, however, downplayed it.
01:23This was just a small-scale attack and doesn't count as the start of a war.
01:27Iran clearly does not accept the US's explanation.
01:30Iranian Parliament Speaker Karibaf warned
01:32Tehran is ready to retaliate at any time.
01:34This game of negotiation and conflict
01:38Will it gradually escalate into a larger conflict?
01:41Let go of the money bag
01:43Clench one fist
01:44Is Trump withdrawing his burden-reduction measures in the Middle East?
01:47Or is it for a bigger and more dangerous game?
01:50Re-bet
01:54Tuesday, the day of the US midterm elections
01:57Trump's interview with Fox News
01:59Drop stun grenades
02:00The United States announced that it will stop its annual [unclear] by the end of the year.
02:02Nearly $4 billion in military aid to Israel
02:05This aid was originally a long-term support from the United States.
02:08Israel's key pillar
02:09According to the existing ten-year agreement between the US and Israel
02:11The United States pledged to [do something] between 2019 and 2028.
02:14Provide $38 billion in military aid
02:17The agreement has not yet expired.
02:19Trump announced an early halt
02:27Trump's reason is
02:30Israel no longer needs US funding.
02:32But is this really because Israel has no shortage of money?
02:35Trump also did not hide the political considerations behind it.
02:38He stated frankly that Israel receives billions of dollars in aid annually.
02:42It has become a political topic for Democrats to attack Republicans.
02:50Trump did not suddenly stop supporting Israel.
02:53Rather, they didn't want this to become a Republican issue.
02:55The political price that must be paid
02:57However, what truly demonstrates is that the United States does not intend to sever ties with Israel.
03:01The host then asked a question.
03:03After the aid was stopped
03:04Can Israel continue to buy US weapons?
03:17They'll sell weapons even if they don't pay.
03:19In the past, the United States funded it.
03:20Israel purchases US military equipment
03:22Now Trump wants Israel to pay for it itself.
03:25The United States continues its arms trade
03:28Trump may not be trying to change the US-Israel relationship itself.
03:31But who should bear the costs of this relationship?
03:34The question is whether Trump can really spend less money.
03:37But won't this reduce America's influence in the Middle East?
03:40And this game involves more than just Israel.
03:43Just as the United States was preparing to tighten its purse strings for Israel
03:46They've already taken direct action against Iran.
03:49The night before the visit
03:50US military targets near the Strait of Hormuz
03:53Military strike launched on Grim Island
03:55Trump admitted that the U.S. military destroyed newly built Iranian air defense facilities.
03:59However, it was emphasized that this was only a small-scale attack.
04:13Launching an attack but claiming it's not a war
04:15Trump even compared the Russia-Ukraine war to World War II.
04:19It is emphasized that only continuous fighting between the two sides constitutes a true war.
04:22But the definition of war is never determined by the attacking side.
04:26Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf warned
04:29The US should not dismiss Iran's continued willingness to negotiate.
04:31Misunderstanding that Tehran dared not start a war
04:33It further warned that if Washington makes another strategic miscalculation...
04:37We will face a new battlefield
04:59Look at the two lines together
05:02What Trump wants to do is actually very clear.
05:04The US can reduce the amount it pays for its allies.
05:06However, it does not diminish its influence in the Middle East.
05:08Continue to put pressure on Iran
05:09But unexpectedly, they fell into a total war again.
05:13When Washington defines the attack as a small-scale operation
05:16But Tehran is ready to retaliate at any time.
05:18The real danger is never who fires the first shot.
05:22But who mistakenly believed they could control the final shot?
05:25The United States can decide when to launch an attack.
05:28However, this may not determine when Iran will stop its retaliation.
05:32This may be the most dangerous step in Trump's balancing act with the Middle East.
05:40Cut off Israeli military aid
05:42While bombing Iran
05:43So what exactly is Trump up to?
05:45It's not hard to see that Trump is redeploying his bargaining chips in the Middle East.
05:49Unfold a brand new high-stakes gamble in the Middle East
05:52He wants to get rid of more than just Israel.
05:54The annual military aid bill is nearly $4 billion.
05:57It's also the kind of Middle Eastern model that the US used to adopt, where it had to provide both money and effort.
06:01Mode
06:01Halting military aid to Israel is meant to tell American voters
06:04Washington doesn't need to pay for its allies forever.
06:07Shedding the political baggage of attacks from the Democratic Party
06:09Explain to the voters
06:11But weapons are still being sold.
06:12This also demonstrates that the United States is not prepared to relinquish its strategic influence over Israel.
06:17force
06:17Meanwhile, a limited strike was launched against Iran.
06:20This is to tell Tehran
06:21The US is willing to talk.
06:22However, if an agreement cannot be reached, action can be taken at any time.
06:25However, these two plans may not be able to work simultaneously.
06:30Reducing aid does not equate to reducing the strategic risks the United States undertakes in the Middle East.
06:34risk
06:34Launch so-called small-scale attacks
06:36This does not mean that the United States can control war.
06:38To what extent will it eventually expand?
06:40Trump wants to save $4 billion in military aid.
06:44However, if the conflict in the Strait of Hormuz spirals out of control again...
06:47The United States may ultimately receive an even more expensive war bill.