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Amid political tensions in Indonesia, including Gibran’s reported departure and allegations of illegal wiretapping involving President Prabowo, political analyst Dr. Wawan Masudi of Gadjah Mada University says the fallout is unlikely to threaten national stability, as tensions remain largely confined to the political elite.

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00:00Indonesia's political landscape has been rocked by a series of developments,
00:05including the departure of Vice President Gibran Rakabuming Raka
00:08and allegations of illegal wiretapping involving President Prabowo Subianto.
00:14These developments have fueled speculations about a possible rift between Prabowo
00:19and his predecessor Joko Widodo.
00:22But political analyst Dr. Wawan Masudi from Gajah Mada University says
00:27the political fallout is unlikely to seriously disrupt Indonesia's overall stability
00:33as the tensions remain largely confined to the political elites.
00:40Actually, it is the conflict among political elites in Indonesia,
00:45not the conflict between, for example, people's power and the government.
00:51So, actually, this conflict happening in an elite circle among political parties,
00:58among kind of political patron in Indonesia.
01:02So, while this situation is not involving the people's power,
01:07it seems the impact on the political stability in general will be under control.
01:12But in terms of the government stability, it will be quite a big question.
01:19Why people after this will fight for or bring into the debate on who will be the Vice President?
01:27Whether the Vice President will come from the opposition parties, for example, from BTIP,
01:33or from the internal of the coalition, either from Garindra, my President's parties,
01:42or whether from other parties like a Democrat, or coming from a different background,
01:49for example, the technocrat or the professional.
01:53So, it really depends on the elite calculation and the discussion among the political elite after this.
02:02But in terms of the political stability in general, whether this will shock all the countries or not,
02:09it will, it won't, because it doesn't involve any kind of people's power.
02:16Meanwhile, the alleged wiretapping of President Prabowo has added another layer of uncertainty
02:21to Indonesia's political landscape.
02:23The controversy has drawn attention to former police chief Litsyo Sigit Prabowo,
02:28who has long-standing ties to Joko Widodo.
02:31This has fueled speculation about a possible link between the wiretapping incident
02:36and the wider political development surrounding Gibran,
02:39although Dr. Wawan says any such connection remains unclear.
02:44Well, at the same time, we know that there is wiretapping,
02:47or we call in Indonesia Litsyo Kid.
02:51Yeah, why Litsyo Kid, because, you know, this is the most senior police officer,
02:58almost in this last seven years, six or seven years,
03:02and this wiretapping is shocking the Indonesian politics as well, yeah,
03:06because, you know, they use this wiretapping for a political reason,
03:11and it seems that President Prabowo are so mad because of this one.
03:14So, actually, if we see the big run, it seems there is no connection,
03:19but it can be connected.
03:21Why it can be connected?
03:22Since the Litsyo, Sigit Litsyo, the former chief of police in Indonesia,
03:30he has a quite close connection with former President Joko Widodo,
03:35not only because he became the chief of police under the appointment of President Joko at that time,
03:44but also his long relation with him when he was as mayor in Solo.
03:50So, I mean, public in general are really aware that there is still a connection
03:54between Litsyo and also former President Joko Widodo.
03:59So, I mean, but whether these two things are really connected or not,
04:04we are still uncertain.

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