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It has been an extended wait for stranded passengers after yesterday’s aviation shutdown across the United States. More than 20,000 flights were cancelled or delayed, impacting over a million passengers. Officials have blamed the shutdown on a program which replaces copper wires with fibre, with investigations ongoing. Todd Curtis is an aviation security analyst in the United States and says the shutdown highlights the complexity of communication systems in the country’s air traffic control.

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00:02What's quite significant, because unlike 9-11, there is not a deliberate act, so far as we know, that caused
00:07this.
00:08And from what the Secretary of Transportation has stated is their theory of what happened,
00:13it points to a system malfunction, that is, the failure of one component,
00:18even if there's one contractor digging up one wire or one fiber optic cable,
00:23should not have a cascading failure that affects 22 different air route traffic control centers
00:28throughout the United States.
00:30Well, it doesn't show fragility as much as it shows complexity.
00:34The air traffic control system has been in continuous operation for decades,
00:37and it has, as the Secretary of Transportation pointed out, old technology and new.
00:43And the trouble is, when you have a complex system of systems,
00:47one of the key issues is how do the systems communicate or act with one another?
00:52How do the systems behave if one part of it fails?
00:56Do you have simultaneous failures across several systems?
01:00Cascading failures, starting from one small problem, or a combination?
01:04And I don't believe the investigation is mature enough to answer those questions.
01:08Well, certainly there are lessons for other countries,
01:10because although the U.S. has the most sophisticated and extensive air traffic control system,
01:14it is not the only one.
01:16There are several around the world, and there are some areas, such as Western Europe,
01:20that might have a general control system for several countries.
01:23Of course, Australia has their own, but the lessons learned here,
01:27and there will be lessons learned from this American example, can be applied elsewhere.
01:32And primarily, it's not a question of the technology,
01:35but a question of how do the various technologies mesh with one another?
01:39Well, the most immediate response or after effect is the fact that
01:44when crews were basically sitting idle on the ground for several hours,
01:47many of them went past their duty times, and that becomes a more,
01:52well, it makes it more complex to get everything back in order,
01:55because the crew has to have a certain amount of crew rest before they can start up again.
01:59So it's not surprising there are still problems today,
02:02nor is it surprising there are presumed to be problems tomorrow.
02:05It may take until Monday before this is resolved.
02:09It may take until Monday before this is resolved.

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