00:00 Before watching the video, I remind you that there is more content on the Hotline.
00:04 The Green Wave that the National Alliance initiated in the 119 National Election
00:08 successfully won 74 seats.
00:11 It also made the Islamic State rise again and become the largest Malay political party.
00:15 When it comes to the six-state election, many comments say that
00:18 this wave of green will take further action and become a green tsunami,
00:22 allowing the National Alliance to win more seats,
00:25 and even allowing the Western Alliance's Baolei State to turn over.
00:28 The National Alliance is coming with a lot of confidence.
00:31 The green wave will attack more states.
00:34 If the green wave continues to be strong,
00:36 how strong will it be?
00:39 Will it be enough to make the city of Malaysia green?
00:42 Will it make it possible for the green wave to take over the states of Sri Lanka,
00:45 Sri Lanka, and even Penang?
00:47 The head of the Modika Polling Center, Sufian,
00:50 said during an interview with the Paris Magazine that
00:52 the National Alliance won 55% of the votes in the first election
00:56 to become the first Malay voter in the last election.
00:58 He believes that the support rate of the upcoming six-state election
01:02 will be further expanded, but not much.
01:05 At most, it will only increase the votes by about 5% to 6%.
01:09 Political scholar Pan Yongqiang believes that
01:12 because the six-state election is not far from the national election last year,
01:16 about half a year to eight months,
01:19 the interval between the two is too short,
01:21 and there is not enough time for the Anhua government
01:23 to make a major political breakthrough.
01:26 So the green wave should continue to rise.
01:31 The head of the Modika Polling Center, Sufian, pointed out
01:55 that although the green wave that the National Alliance started in 1119
01:58 is limited in the increase in the state election,
02:00 it is estimated that it will attract more votes from Malaysia than the national election.
02:04 The head of the Modika Polling Center, Lin Hongxiang, also believes
02:07 that the biggest difference from the election is that
02:09 it was a triangle before, but now
02:11 after the alliance with the National Alliance,
02:13 it will become a one-on-one battle,
02:15 which will allow voters who originally supported the Mutong or the Alliance to transfer votes.
02:19 Because some voters didn't say they voted for the National Alliance,
02:22 they were against the Alliance,
02:25 or the voters who voted for the Alliance were also against the National Alliance.
02:28 So when these two enemies are together,
02:31 there may be other options.
02:34 If the original support of the Mutong Alliance for the Alliance
02:36 was transferred to the National Alliance because of the Alliance,
02:38 it will further increase the green wave.
02:41 Professor Shazza, a vice professor at the International Islamic University, also said
02:43 that the Iron Vote should support the Alliance,
02:45 so the biggest variable in this election is the Malaysian voters.
02:49 And recently, the Malaysian conservative movement has risen,
02:51 which will allow many Malaysian voters,
02:53 including urban Malaysian voters, to vote for the National Alliance.
02:56 PH supporters, I think, would be still loyal.
02:59 They would not shift their vote.
03:01 But it's more of the fancytus.
03:03 A lot of the Malays are now the fancytus
03:05 because of the growing conservatism among the Malays across the board,
03:09 across the country, that even in urban areas,
03:12 there might be this move towards maybe Perikatan Nasional.
03:15 But Sufeian believes that the formation or rise of the green wave
03:18 is not just a change in ideology,
03:21 the bigger reason is the economic factors.
03:23 Many Malays are actually under pressure from their lives,
03:26 and think the government is not managing their economy properly,
03:28 so they use votes to vent their dissatisfaction.
03:31 It is not because many of these voters are clamouring for an Islamic state,
03:35 but rather it is a reflection of their unhappiness
03:38 towards how the economy was being run before 2022,
03:42 and potentially the current situation as well.
03:45 And political scientist Pan Yongqiang also believes that
03:48 after the Anhua government took office,
03:50 there were many political and major decisions
03:52 that needed to wait until after the election.
03:54 So for the past six months,
03:56 there has not been a major change in the Anhua government.
03:59 And this result will make the whole situation stick.
04:02 Therefore, the green wave last year
04:04 may continue until this election.
04:06 Because the whole structure, the whole economy,
04:09 the whole social atmosphere has not changed much,
04:12 especially for the lower middle class of the Malays,
04:14 they don't think there is much change.
04:16 So this green wave,
04:18 because the election last year was only eight months ago,
04:20 so it should continue.
04:22 Political scientist Pan Yongqiang believes
04:27 that although the green wave will continue to rise,
04:29 it is not necessarily a situation of explosion.
04:33 There are several main reasons.
04:34 First, after all, the current government is still governed by the United Nations,
04:37 not the National Alliance.
04:39 So the United Nations government has certain administrative resources
04:41 or national mechanisms
04:42 that can slow down or prevent the green wave from spreading further.
04:48 To be continued...
04:52 To be continued...
04:56 To be continued...
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