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- 3年前
新闻报报看 | 独立民调机构的巧思中心研究员慕吉布发出警讯,要是有百分之51的年轻选民和党员,以及巫统的铁杆支持者“扯后腿”把票转向支持国盟,那么希盟在雪州和森美兰的情况就可能会改变!尤其,年轻选民的投票倾向难以捉摸,对各党派来说也非常难估计选举成绩。(主播:庄文杰、郑萱荟)
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新闻消息文字稿
00:00 The election period of the six states has come to an end.
00:03 Which camp has the advantage in the current election period?
00:06 Will there be a chance to turn the tables in the next few days?
00:10 In addition to the psychological knowledge of each camp,
00:13 the Modica Polling Center also released a pre-election poll prediction today.
00:17 The results of the six states' election are expected to maintain the original state,
00:22 which is what you see now.
00:23 The West Alliance is in control of Xuezhou, Binzhou and Senzhou.
00:27 The Alliance continues to control Dengzhou, Danzhou and Jida.
00:32 Of course, the executive director of the Modica Polling Center, Su Fei'an, also said,
00:36 "At the last moment before the vote, any situation may change.
00:41 And it is not ruled out that there will be a change in the election.
00:46 The overall score may be 3-3.
00:49 But Su Fei'an said,
00:50 "The election of each camp in each state may be different.
00:54 Some states may have more, some states may have less."
00:57 He said, "The Alliance has more advantages than the West Alliance and the state government
01:01 in the Malay voters, especially in the young group.
01:04 Perhaps the Alliance can take over 70% of the voters in the Malay voters
01:09 and win a few more seats.
01:11 But the poll shows that the Alliance does not have enough ability
01:14 to take over the three-term administration of the West Alliance and Xuezhou,
01:17 and it cannot break through Binzhou.
01:19 As for Senmeilan, the poll also believes that the West Alliance can easily pass.
01:23 Of course, this is a very optimistic situation.
01:26 The researcher of the Independent Polling Agency's Rationalization Center,
01:29 Mu Jibu, sent a message.
01:32 "If 51% of young voters and party members
01:37 and the iron-rod supporters of the Uyghur people back off,
01:41 if they back off and turn the vote to support the Alliance,
01:46 then the situation in Xuezhou and Senzhou may change."
01:51 Although this researcher believes that
01:53 the current topics of the camp are not enough to
01:57 change the direction of the state government that supports the ruling party,
02:01 but it is still the old saying,
02:04 "You really don't know how the situation will change until the last moment."
02:07 Especially now, the tendency of young voters is difficult to figure out.
02:12 It is also very difficult for the parties to estimate the final election results.
02:17 Although the poll that came out said that
02:19 the West Alliance has a great chance to keep Xuezhou,
02:22 when the Minister of Science and Technology and the Vice Chairman of the Republican Party, Zheng Likang,
02:25 accepted the visit of Xinzhou,
02:26 he analyzed the crisis of the Xuezhou regime and described it as
02:30 "The votes of the Malay people are not an iron plate.
02:33 The West Alliance and the state government should not be too optimistic.
02:36 Those who voted for the Uyghur people in the past
02:38 will all turn to vote for the West Alliance this time."
02:42 Zheng Likang said with concern, "It is not necessarily the case.
02:45 Because in the vote of the Uyghur people,
02:47 more people may vote for the state alliance now.
02:51 Then the final situation may be different."
02:55 This is the view of the United Front Government.
02:57 As for the "state alliance" that is looking down on the Xuezhou regime,
03:01 the head of the state alliance propaganda is also the candidate for the state election.
03:05 Azmin, when he was accepting the visit of Xinzhou,
03:07 he thought that Xuezhou and even the whole country
03:10 did not have the so-called "green tide" that the opponent camp has been hyped about.
03:15 What is the tide without the "green tide"?
03:17 He thought that what started in the whole country was
03:20 the wave of people's dissatisfaction with the unification of the government.
03:24 Azmin countered, "The "green tide" is just a hype of the Action Party.
03:28 They deliberately want to demonize the state alliance
03:30 like a Taliban-like evil propaganda.
03:33 The purpose is simple, to intimidate the Chinese and the Indians.
03:37 But Azmin called on non-Muslim groups
03:39 not to worry about the so-called "green tide".
03:41 There is no such tide.
03:43 Zhang Qingxin, the Minister of Tourism of Sarajevo,
03:46 also spoke out to the Chinese voters in the six provinces today.
03:49 She said that the Chinese voters must actively vote on Saturday,
03:53 otherwise they will suffer in the future.
03:56 When he was visiting today, he criticized the state alliance,
03:59 saying that it would only turn the folk issues into political issues.
04:02 He did not think of a solution at all.
04:05 There was a rumor that
04:06 if the state alliance took over the political power of Georgia,
04:09 the GPS would withdraw from the unification government
04:13 and let the central government collapse.
04:15 Zhang Qingxin said with confidence,
04:17 "The GPS has decided that it will not withdraw from the unification government.
04:21 The voters should give Anhua a five-year chance to perform well.
04:24 If it doesn't do well, it's okay to change it next year."
04:27 This is what Zhang Qingxin said.
04:28 So as the voting day has already started,
04:31 today, in addition to the early voting of the military police,
04:35 the Xinzhou report also mentioned that
04:36 the postal votes from overseas will be sent back to Myanmar in the relay race.
04:43 Countries such as the UK, Japan, Australia, China, etc.
04:46 will help overseas Myanmarisers to fulfill their duties as citizens.
04:50 Although the number of postal votes applied this time is only close to 8,000,
04:54 the person in charge of the relay race,
04:56 the person in charge of the dragon and snow slide, said,
04:58 "The popularity of the relay race is not reduced.
05:01 This proves that overseas tourists are very concerned about the development of Myanmar's political situation.
05:05 I also hope to encourage more friends to vote on Saturday, July 12th.
05:11 Don't let others...
05:12 Don't let others decide for you who will be your government in the next five years."
05:20 [Music]