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- 3年前
八点最热报 | 在保住原有基本盘的情况下，又能够争取马来选民的支持，安华唯一的出路，就是在未来4年任期内，大刀阔斧拼经济！政治学者潘永强指出，尽管推动经济改革，包括削减津贴、政策紧缩，必然会经过一段阵痛的过渡期，但只要团结政府能交出良好的施政成绩单，就有机会争取更多选民的认同。（主播：萧慧敏）
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00:00 Before watching the video, we remind you that there is more content on the Hotline.
00:04 In yesterday's comment report, we mentioned that the six-week election in Malaysia was a big blow
00:09 because voters were dissatisfied with the unity of the government and could not improve the economic problem,
00:13 and the dissatisfaction of inflation pressure was expressed in the ballot.
00:17 After the six-week election, many analysts pointed out that if Anhua chooses to push for Malaysian nationalism in order to stabilize the support of Malaysian voters,
00:25 it will lose the advantage. It will lose its original basic plate and will not be more popular than the National League.
00:31 Therefore, the only way to solve the dilemma before the next general election is to fight for the economy.
00:38 What kind of results can the unity government fight for in the next four years?
00:42 Can the structural economic problems of the country's economic system really be improved in just four years?
00:48 Professor Lin Fuyan, professor of the Department of Economics, said in an interview with the Eight-Point Sun.
00:52 Although the unity government has been actively eliminating poverty, fighting corruption and attracting foreign investment for eight months,
00:59 the biggest challenge facing the Malaysian economy now is the impact of the international economic trend.
01:05 For example, the US dollar deepening has affected the currency market and led to a depreciation of the currency.
01:09 He said, "When facing geopolitical problems,
01:13 Malaysia is like the rat of the disaster when two elephants are fighting.
01:19 Therefore, the government can only adjust its policy and develop the economy through attracting foreign investment."
01:25 Cai Zhaoyuan, director of the Tax and Financial Consultation Center of the Asian Economic and Financial Center, said,
01:29 "Solving the long-term economic structural problem of the country is a great test of the unity government.
01:35 But the people and businessmen must understand that if you want to see results very quickly,
01:40 and constantly ask the government to provide aid,
01:43 it is just a quick-cooking policy that is not based on indicators.
01:47 Many long-term economic reform measures, such as attracting foreign investment and increasing people's income,
01:53 all require time to see the results."
01:57 Politician Pan Yongqiang also agreed that if Malaysia wants to achieve economic reform,
02:01 it must go through a "painful period".
02:04 This requires people's cooperation and even paying the price.
02:07 For example, the targeted electricity and gas subsidies implemented after the Anhua government took office,
02:12 or the reduction of welfare policies, are all to improve the overall financial quality of the country.
02:18 Perhaps the results may not be seen in the short term,
02:21 but from a long-term perspective,
02:23 the country's social and economic reform will help unite the government in the upcoming election.
02:29 "To truly restore the support of Malaysian voters,
02:33 and at the same time to stabilize the basic unity of non-Malaysians,
02:38 we must first make a comprehensive and comprehensive policy on the social and economic policy,
02:45 and to be able to make some economic reforms boldly or reluctantly.
02:50 Because there are four days in the future,
02:52 there is still a relatively short period of time to promote or to facilitate this kind of social and economic reform."
03:00 In order to maintain the existing basic unity,
03:03 and to fight for the support of Malaysian voters,
03:08 the only way for Anhua to grow further in the next election is to "work hard" to fight for the economy in the next four years.
03:13 Politician Pan Yongqiang pointed out that
03:15 although the economic reform, including the reduction of subsidies and policy tightening,
03:19 will inevitably go through a "painful period",
03:21 as long as the government can hand over good political and political performance lists before the next election,
03:26 people will see the hope of economic prosperity, and there will be opportunities to win the recognition of more voters.
03:31 "If this happens, there will still be some pain in a short period of time,
03:35 including some prices will increase,
03:37 some benefits and benefits that you have enjoyed in the past will decrease,
03:41 which will also cause complaints from the lower middle class.
03:44 So you have to be able to bear this painstaking patience,
03:48 or the government can overcome this difficulty in its governance ability.
03:52 Maybe this painstaking painstaking period is actually one year or two years,
03:56 but if you can see the country's economic development overall before the end of this term,
04:00 you can see a new and different aspect of the country's economy,
04:04 and you can still get some middle-class voters or economic voters' recognition.
04:11 However, it is impossible to save the economy by a single move.
04:15 Cai Zhaoyuan, Director of Taxation and Financial Consultation at the Asian Economic and Financial Center, pointed out that
04:18 the measures taken by the United Nations government so far can be divided into short-term and long-term strategies.
04:23 In order to reduce inflation and solve the problem of people's three meals and health,
04:27 the only thing the government can do is to give subsidies or subsidies.
04:31 But this is just a benchmark, not the real cost.
04:33 In the long run, the government must also find ways to improve people's incomes
04:37 and completely improve the country's economic structure.
04:40 If you control the price of goods for a long time,
04:44 it will distort the entire operation of the free market,
04:49 which will cause you to use a lot of the country's resources inefficiently on subsidies.
04:54 When we are a wide-ranging subsidy,
04:57 whether poor or rich people, they all want the same subsidy.
05:01 Then it will cause a situation of waste, loss or abuse.
05:09 Not to mention that with the current financial situation of our country,
05:13 we are burdened with 1.5 trillion in debt,
05:16 basically there is no way to sustain such a wide-ranging subsidy.
05:21 No, no, that can't be done. That's opium.
05:25 That will hurt you. That's cash.
05:28 That will kill our country's economy.
05:30 He will throw money at you.
05:31 We call it "self-improvement".
05:33 In China, the government has now begun to make some structural reforms.
05:40 Of course, these reforms have not been implemented yet.
05:42 It takes some time to implement.
05:44 We need short-term policies to support our long-term goals.
05:48 To improve the economy and appease the people,
05:51 the government must be determined to reform,
05:53 so that the country can get rid of the old problems of the past few decades.
05:57 Professor Ling Fuyan, Professor of Economics at Peking University, said
05:59 that because our country is a small economy,
06:01 increasing competitiveness and attracting foreign investment
06:04 is the first step to revitalizing the economy.
06:06 Because we are a small economy,
06:08 if we can attract foreign investment,
06:12 such as international well-known companies,
06:15 such as electric vehicles,
06:18 they will choose Malaysia, not Indonesia.
06:21 This is a great achievement of the "United Government".
06:24 From the 1960s to the 1970s,
06:27 we started to turn to foreign investment.
06:29 In the 1980s, we successfully turned to foreign investment.
06:31 We all rely on foreign investment.
06:33 It's the same now.
06:35 We are not afraid of competing with Singapore or other countries.
06:37 As long as we know where our weak points are,
06:40 where our strengths are,
06:42 this is the most important thing.
06:43 We must fight corruption.
06:45 Because in the past few decades,
06:47 many large-scale projects
06:50 have become nothing in the end
06:52 because of corruption.
06:53 In the past, our economy did not grow,
06:56 but it did not grow in quality.
06:59 If the value chain is lower,
07:01 it will cause the business to make less profits.
07:05 If the profit is low,
07:06 it will not be able to pay high salaries.
07:09 If the profit is low,
07:11 it will not be able to pay high salaries.
07:14 It will not be able to fight corruption.
07:17 So they are all closely related.
07:19 Professor Lin Fu-yan,
07:24 Professor of Peking University Economics, pointed out that
07:25 there is a theory in economics called
07:27 the political-economic cycle.
07:29 Whenever the country's politics stabilize,
07:32 the government can seize the opportunity
07:34 to actively implement various economic reforms.
07:36 Because there is no election during this period,
07:38 the government can spend as much money as possible
07:40 to stimulate the economy,
07:41 raise more taxes,
07:42 and reduce the inflation.
07:44 After a period of stagnation,
07:47 these economic policies
07:48 will bring returns and benefits to the country.
07:51 When the election comes again,
07:53 the people see that the economy is prosperous,
07:54 and the price has not risen,
07:56 then for the ruling camp,
07:58 it is the best time, place and source.
08:01 So the ruling government must seize the next four years
08:04 to get the economy going
08:06 and turn the political situation around.
08:08 The Peking University Education and Learning Center
08:10 is a project supported by the Peking University Education and Learning Center.
08:12 Peking University Education and Learning Center
08:14 Peking University Education and Learning Center
08:16 Peking University Education and Learning Center