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00:03 >> Reds guardians or should we move over to Marlins Astros?
00:07 >> I mean, we can still do Reds or guardians again, just to double down on
00:10 the thought process for me behind why we're that same game par like it's not
00:13 with cinder guard Kevin, as I said, 30 pitchers 20 innings last six weeks.
00:17 He's by far the worst pitcher, that's where you wanna line up and
00:19 also it's not as if you say well, you have to take a little bit of a grain of salt
00:23 here the Reds don't hit right into pictures all the way up like no every single guy in
00:26 that lineup and it's always fun to say is like, well, why did you take Will Benson?
00:29 How about this Kevin 57 at bats here going up against right handed pitching over
00:34 the past 30 days 396 ISO 488 weighted on base percentage,
00:37 LA de la Cruz 271 ISO power number.
00:39 It's also one of those things where sometimes I get into myself a little bit
00:43 of trouble you say to yourself, my goodness,
00:45 I could take everybody in this lineup with RBI props.
00:48 Now granted, unless you're the Atlanta Braves every once in a while float 21 runs
00:51 up here, that's not gonna make you any money.
00:54 So the theory behind it is okay, let me take a guy in the middle of the lineup and
00:57 I got a little bit later because it's sort of stretches that out.
01:01 But there's everybody's eligible to me for the Reds today.
01:04 You just had to make a decision on who you thought had the best overall ISO power
01:07 numbers.
01:08 That's why I settled there on LA de la Cruz and also will Benson at that point.
01:11 >> What's your read on Andrew Abbott, through his first 10 starts Donnie,
01:16 this guy's ZRA is a 1.90.
01:18 But he's now allowed 12 runs over his last three outings here for Cincinnati.
01:24 I was a little surprised initially when I saw the guardians team total four and
01:28 a half, even if it's plus money here.
01:30 But now I know you're attacking the Cleveland team total.
01:34 I know you're attacking Noah Syndergaard here, but
01:37 how does Andrew Abbott kind of line up on this slate?
01:40 >> Well, here's the interesting part about it too,
01:42 because you have to take a look at the team that he's playing.
01:43 And also it's not a surprise when young guys come up in the major league baseball
01:47 with stuff that other teams haven't seen before.
01:50 It takes a while to build a book.
01:52 Now you say to yourself, maybe this team hasn't seen him.
01:54 It doesn't matter.
01:54 They all have videos here.
01:55 You don't think they show up to the ballpark.
01:57 By the way, Andrew Abbott's on the map.
01:58 Never heard of that guy.
01:59 Let me get in the box and see what he's about.
02:01 Like no, you actually have video here.
02:02 You have numbers on where he likes to pitch.
02:04 Does he like to pitch backwards?
02:06 Is he got a good fastball, good slider?
02:08 Eventually you build that book up.
02:09 But here's the issue.
02:10 If you're looking at Abbott and you expect him to have a bounce back,
02:12 this is probably the team to do it against, Kevin.
02:14 If you're looking over the past month in major league baseball,
02:16 maybe one of the worst teams at hitting left handed pitching,
02:19 it's the Cleveland guardians.
02:21 Looking at the lineup, the high mark is Ramon Laureano at a 167 ISO power number,
02:26 which is actually below average.
02:28 You want that at 170 or higher.
02:30 Let me just read you.
02:31 And again, first three guys in this lineup, it's not a Ziff, Kevin.
02:33 It's 6, 7, 8, 9 at bats against lefties.
02:35 We're talking about 35, 28, and 35 at bats.
02:38 Kwon, zero ISO.
02:39 Ramirez, zero ISO.
02:41 Jimenez, 065.
02:43 Then you get the Laureano 167 and immediately you go back downhill.
02:46 Gonzalez, 077.
02:48 Roqueo, 111.
02:50 Zero for Arias.
02:51 Straw, 059.
02:52 Cam Gallagher, zero.
02:54 This is a really bad lineup.
02:55 If Abbott struggles again here, maybe you're gonna raise your brow, but
02:58 he should have a pretty clean pitching performance tonight,
03:00 just based on what the guardians actually do against lefties.
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