00:00 [MUSIC]
00:03 This is one where I need to see what the exact weather conditions are gonna be
00:07 going into Saturday night. But I gotta tell you, the Bills did not look good against Adolphus
00:12 Jacob. The Chiefs have not looked good all season long. And if I can catch three and a half, four
00:18 points in this game where the Chiefs have just not looked good all season long, I think the Chiefs
00:23 can win. But I think Miami is gonna give them all that they can handle. I think a bounce back is
00:30 coming here. Maybe I'm the crazy one here to think this, but in sports, Jacob, we get so caught up
00:36 being prisoner of the moment, just remembering the last thing that we saw. And that's what I
00:40 wanna buy on a team. So I am buying on Miami. >> Your theory makes some sense to me, but I am
00:45 gonna be on the opposite side of this one with Kansas City. And it's a myriad of factors
00:50 contributing to it. I do think that the line under normal circumstances, if the Dolphins were fully
00:55 healthy, I'd probably side with you on that line. But they're missing so many pass rushers now,
01:01 well, with Bradley Chubb, Jalen Phillips, now Andrew Van Ginkel's gone down, Jerome Baker's
01:06 gone down. So their defense is really banged up. So I think they might have a tougher time
01:11 slowing down the Chiefs, which should allow the Chiefs put up a modest amount of points.
01:15 The main concern I have though is Tua Tagovailoa against playoff caliber teams this year. It's not
01:21 just him, it's the Dolphins in general. But the Dolphins are one in five against teams to make
01:26 the playoffs. Their only win was that two point win over the Cowboys. And normally I wouldn't put a
01:31 ton of stock into this, but the manner in which they've been defeated in these games has been
01:35 noticeable. They're averaging about 20 fewer points per game against playoff teams compared
01:42 to non-playoff teams. Granted, they had 70 against the Broncos, so that's skewing it a bit, but
01:48 it's still not skewing it that that much. And Tua Tagovailoa against non-playoff teams has a pass
01:53 rating about 110. Against playoff teams, it drops to around 84. So I just haven't seen that the
02:00 Dolphins against these higher caliber defenses can consistently get the job done on offense.
02:06 Now, they have the speed and weapons on that side of the ball to keep games close, I won't deny that.
02:11 But I think if Kansas City shows up in this one and they really get pressure on Tua and bother him,
02:17 I could see them maybe keeping the Dolphins at an arm's length and maybe turning this into
02:24 something of a 24 to 14 type game. So that's where I see this going right now, but I definitely
02:30 understand why you want to buy low on the Dolphins. You're not going to get lower stock on them after
02:35 how they started the year and where they finished it.
