00:00San Diego the Padres 13 and 3 since the all-star break and that includes a loss
00:08in the first game after the break in Arlington so they've won 13 of their
00:12past 15 looking for a sweep today over the Pittsburgh Pirates the Buccos have
00:18dropped three in a row five of their last six it's an afternoon matchup
00:22inside PNC Park where Pittsburgh is an ever so slight favorite at minus 112
00:28yeah here's what we're gonna have to level out now just take a look at the
00:31Padres they're hot yes but if we're just going from your momentum is only as good
00:34as the starting pitcher that you're gonna have the next day where Randy
00:37Vasquez is on the mound if we're looking at the past 60 days in Major League
00:40Baseball minimum of 20 innings pitched out of those pitchers we have 19
00:44pitchers on the card today that qualify if we take a look at Randy Vasquez he's
00:4819 out of 19 today that XFIP minus number is a minus 120 that ERA
00:53slightly over 4 but his Sierra number is at 5.09 that's disastrous here but
00:58also you're getting a little bit of a help if you're saying okay well San
01:01Diego usually pitches to a pitching environment out there where they play a
01:04Petco you're gonna get that same environment today in Pittsburgh 82
01:08degrees yes it is warm but a double-digit wind blowing in so maybe
01:11runs are a little bit harder to come by but if we're just being honest and
01:14looking at the scale Luis Ortiz on the opposite side getting the start for
01:17Pittsburgh today Ben he's 7th out of 19 with a 101 XFIP minus number but here
01:22also sometimes the eye test doesn't pass I just told you he's 7th on the
01:26card to hit that 101 XFIP which is slightly above average how about his
01:29ERA over the past 60 days Ben 6.39 so you're saying two pitchers
01:35technically not good ERA wise one bad analytically the other one okay maybe
01:40you just take a flyer on the over and say I hope those hot baths from San Diego
01:43continue because we're not looking at two great pitchers on the mound we're
01:46just looking at two solid pitchers should I see two average pitchers in a
01:49pitcher's ballpark and maybe that bails out the total
