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  • 10 months ago
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00:004.30 p.m. tomorrow the biggest line you're going to find and it's not a home team favored by double digits it's a road team there is some weather in the forecast here which means we could get some rain we actually saw this game just a few weeks ago and the rams lost this game but the rams are still favored by ten and a half it's been that number all week tom how do you play rams caroline in your mind you know we were talking earlier in the week and i was expecting this line to move down to nine and a half and at one point i moved from ten and a half down to ten i was like okay things are going there you know at that point i would be interested in
00:29the rams but ten and a half is where it still sits you know there's a lot of historic trends to back home teams in playoffs that are getting double digit points i don't know if i can get there with the panthers and i may not be betting aside in this game it really just comes down to the total i think the rams want to get out there they want to right the ship they want to run up the score they want to prove what happened a month ago at this point wherever it was was just a flash in the pan they're still one of the favorites to win the super bowl they have the second best odds yet they're a road team in the playoffs i think they go out and score points i like their team total best in this game
00:59i'd like to see it so the night game is interesting because we've talked about it all week like i i think the the line of chicago being uh you know a slight dog to green bay at home is the number two seed tells you what the market thinks of chicago uh but we're also seeing some under money come in which i think makes sense so how do you approach this game is it a slugfest is it uh both teams running the ball as best thing what are we going to get in this game
01:28so you know to your point love the under there's going to be a little bit of snow it's not going to be a snow game want to make that clear saw some you know people talking about it you know cross off speed it's not a snow game there's going to be wind you know if we look back to when chicago won that game like they needed miracles to come back and with the onside kick hail mary all these things in order just to win that game scrape away with wind so when you look at some of the numbers when you're looking at dboa numbers looking at epa numbers green bay's better in basically everything everything across the board and really a lot of chicago
01:58success this year has been propped up by their turnover differential so you allow a team to drive 80 yards down the field then you pick them off in the end zone it's like well that's not really good because those turnovers are going to be variable i think green bay is the better team when it's all said and done i like green bay on the money line i think they come away with the win and to your point i do like the under i think it's going to be a run first game yes green bay's offense hasn't been fully healthy nor have they all been out there in a number of weeks but this is this is the spot for them to kind of i don't want to say hit the ground running but they're going to ease into things because this matchup's
02:28easier than people think despite the fact that they're on the road

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