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  • 2 weeks ago
Hoch runs through various season futures for the Dolphins, including an over/under on Achane TDs that seems like an easy over.

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00:00I do want to do 15 minutes of Game Day Uncensored, and that's brought to you by your Lexus TX.
00:05Room for all your passions in three rows of luxurious comfort.
00:08Experience amazing at your Lexus dealer.
00:12So, Game Day Uncensored.
00:14There is no program this weekend, because there are no games,
00:18but the season will open a week from Sunday and a week from Sunday at noon on this radio station.
00:25Solana, Brendan Tobin, Omar Kelly, Chris Perkins.
00:29They will get you ready for Miami and Las Vegas beginning at noon, a week from Sunday.
00:37Here's a couple of possible wagers that you can make on the Hard Rock app, Crowder and Solana and Jimmy.
00:46There's a couple of combo bets.
00:47How do you feel about this one?
00:49Devon A. Chan, 1,250 or more rushing yards, and the Dolphins, seven or more wins.
01:02Under.
01:03Well, there's no under.
01:04You can either bet it or you don't.
01:08It's plus 1,000.
01:10That's the draw there.
01:12Plus 1,000.
01:13It seems low, right?
01:14You'd figure over seven wins would be higher.
01:17I thought it'd be plus 3,800.
01:21Somewhere around there.
01:22I mean.
01:22Plus 1,000 doesn't appeal to you.
01:25No, no, no.
01:27Yeah, there's no way they're getting us seven wins, right?
01:29That's the one.
01:301,250.
01:31That's a hell of a year from a running back.
01:33With a bad team and no receivers, that would be impressive.
01:36But I think Devon A. Chan is good enough to do that.
01:38I think there's no way in no universe where the Dolphins can win seven games.
01:42So, if you thought that was going to be like plus 3,800, Solana, how about this one?
01:47Malik Willis, 3,500 or more yards passing, and the Dolphins to make the playoffs.
01:56Under.
01:59No chance.
02:01I mean, that has to be plus 5,000.
02:04The Dolphins to make the playoffs?
02:06I would have thought plus 10,000.
02:09It's plus 2,500.
02:14Even with our sneak up on them technique.
02:16You're not sneaking into the playoffs.
02:18We're not sneaking up on the playoffs.
02:21Now, how about this, though?
02:23Devon A. Chan, eight or more rushing touchdowns.
02:30What do you think the odds are for that?
02:33What would you put that at?
02:36Plus 500?
02:38No, I'd say it's like minus 150.
02:41See, I was going to say even money.
02:43It's plus 275.
02:46Eight.
02:47Or more rushing touchdowns.
02:50So, he's just got to get to eight.
02:51Yep.
02:53Bro, for sure.
02:54But rushing touchdowns, obviously.
02:56Can't be receiving touchdowns.
02:57I got it, but I still think that's easy.
03:01It feels like it, but how about this one?
03:04Devon A. Chan, 10 or more regular season rushing touchdowns.
03:08It's plus 600.
03:13He's hit eight twice and six once.
03:17And that's not even rushing.
03:19Playing in an offense with Tyree Kill, Jalen Waddell, Jonu Smith, and Raheem Mostert that year where the Dolphins led
03:27the league in offense in 2023, Raheem Mostert led the team in touchdowns.
03:32But, you had a quarterback who was unable to sneak the ball in or roll out and do it himself.
03:40Now, you really have, if you're in a rushing situation, you're down at the goal line, you're in a rushing
03:45situation, you've got two options.
03:48A. Chan or Malik.
03:50They don't have like a fullback this year.
03:51Well, I guess Ollie Gordon might get the ball in that situation, right?
03:57So, Solana, you're acting like it's easy to get over eight.
03:59He has never gotten over eight.
04:00I get that, but think about the players he's played with and the type of offense he's been in.
04:05I realize what you're saying.
04:06It's not easy.
04:07And maybe I made it sound too easy.
04:09But we're talking about really the only weapon the Miami Dolphins have on their offense.
04:14The only weapon is Devon A. Chan.
04:18And let me throw that back at you.
04:19The Raiders and the Bills and the Patriots and the Jets and the Chiefs and everybody else knows that's the
04:24only weapon, too.
04:25They're not double-teaming Caleb Douglas.
04:27They're going to stack the box and try to stop A. Chan.
04:29I get that, but when Ricky Williams was on the Miami Dolphins, and I'm not comparing those teams to this
04:34team, but everybody knew what the play was.
04:36Zone read to Ricky Williams.
04:37And Crowder, guess what?
04:38He was so talented, he still scored touchdowns.
04:41And he still eclipsed 100-plus yards per game and got to 2,000 rushing yards.
04:45Like, teams always know LaDainian Tomlinson's getting the football.
04:50Saquon Barkley's getting the football.
04:51They still get their numbers up.
04:55I mean, how many rushing TDs does a normal workhorse running back have for a team, generally?
05:06Ten?
05:07Like, I don't know.
05:08How many does Saquon have at the end of a season, right?
05:11How many does Christian McCaffrey have?
05:13Although, I guess he's probably got a lot of receiving touchdowns, too, which might be the case with A. Chan.
05:19Rushing touchdown was Jonathan Taylor, who had 18 last season.
05:24Wow.
05:27But that's the best NFL Hall of Fame number.
05:31The elite of the elite there.
05:33Yes.
05:34But it makes eight seem doable for your workhorse running back.
05:39I like Devon H. and eight or more rushing touchdowns at plus 275.
05:44I was going to put it in this morning.
05:46And I'm like, well, I'll bring it up on the show.
05:48So, talk me out of that.
05:49Tell me how Devon A. Chan doesn't end up with eight, at least eight rushing touchdowns this season.
05:59I can't.
06:00Well, the normal one, injury.
06:02That's it.
06:03Yeah, yeah.
06:04But even to Solana's point, and they are going to stack the box and stop him, he can get to
06:09eight.
06:09He's got to eight before.
06:11He has to.
06:12And that's on 200 carries.
06:15Can he go 250?
06:16Because that'll be a couple extra touchdowns.
06:19So, yeah, if he's the workhorse we think he's going to be, eight's easy.
06:22Wasn't there a play last season where it was like it got to third down or fourth down, and he
06:28had like, I think it was like an 11 or 12-yard rush for a touchdown.
06:32I think it was a rush, not a reception.
06:35But I remember talking about it for several weeks after that.
06:38It was, it was, it was.
06:40They needed a score.
06:42Right.
06:42I think it was against, in week one, against Indianapolis, where it was fourth and goal.
06:49And maybe they were getting shut out or something.
06:52Right.
06:52We threw a screen pass behind the line of scrimmage to Devon HN, and Devon HN just took it to
06:58the house because he's Devon HN.
06:59But that was the play.
07:01That was the play.
07:02The offensive guru, Mike McDaniel, drew up on fourth and goal with 10 yards behind the line of scrimmage.
07:10Okay.
07:11To answer your question, Hawk, just the, you know, the landscape of NFL rushing touchdowns, Jonathan Taylor 18, Derrick Henry
07:1816.
07:18Then it goes down to 13 with Jameer Gibbs.
07:23Then the Javante Williams and the James Cooks and the Christian McCaffreys, they have 10 or 11.
07:29So there's the outliers in 18, 16.
07:31Then there's most of the running backs we respect are 10, 11 touchdown.
07:36But those are elite.
07:37All those quarterback, all those running backs who you just mentioned are elite running backs.
07:41So I could see where 10 might be difficult.
07:44Eight, though, seems possible at plus 275.
07:47Like, the best running back in the world, I believe, is Bijan Robinson.
07:51He had seven.
07:52But he's also a receiver like A-Chan.
07:54Saquon had seven.
07:55You know, yeah, those guys, Devon had eight last year.
08:00So, yeah, that's what it is.
08:02If you get the double digits, you're doing something.
08:04But I think you can get eight.
08:05I think eight.
08:06I think I'm going to put that bet in.
08:08All right, let's get headlines here for the 4 o'clock hour with Solana.
08:11Brought to you by Darrell Kia in Miami at a Domino's game.
08:14You'll find your abuelito, and whenever you want a low price, you save with your pricey-to.
08:19Save with your pricey-to right now at Darrell Kia.
08:21Speaking of eight, there's eight days remaining until the NFL season next week.
08:25Oh, boy.
08:26Let's go.
08:26It opens up on Wednesday.
08:29Can't get here soon enough.
08:34The Miami Dolphins did have practice today.
08:37Jeff Halfley, just going over some notes from earlier today, Jeff Halfley did confirm that
08:42Chris Bell is going to play week one against the Raiders.
08:46I can't wait to see the game props, which won't probably come out until next week.
08:51But I want to see what the game props are for Dolphins Raiders.
08:58You can get some stuff on the Dolphins, though.
09:00Overs, targets, and receptions, you have to be able to.
09:03Like, I just feel like all the A-chan overs, like, until the league catches up with what—I
09:12don't know how to say a huge part of the offense, because I feel like I'm doing it a disservice
09:17to say a huge part of the offense, the entirety of the offense, I believe, is going to run
09:22through A-chan.
09:23What about if they have Chris Bell at two and a half receptions?
09:31Malik got to throw the ball to somebody.
09:34Do you trust the offensive line against the Raiders?
09:42Max Crosby puts a little itch in the back of my throat a little bit.
09:45Because then, you know, then I'm thinking more A-chan, more Malik Washington, maybe Dulcich
09:52overs.
09:53Like, just quick, get rid of the ball quick.
09:58Not a bad plan, huh?
10:01Dulcich, though, I got to see it first.
10:05I mean, he's going to be the number one tight end, right?
10:08I mean, is there anybody else?
10:10Yes.
10:10That is tight end number one, Dulcich de Leche.
10:21They're not talking about him in Vegas.
10:25We've got to stop Dulcich.
10:30By the way, the Dolphins are set to pick their captains later this week.
10:36Halfley said the team is going to vote on it.
10:40My guess is, on Thursday, we'll find out Jordan Brooks, Devon H., and Aaron Brewer are captains, right?
10:47Like, they're the three guys that got paid.
10:49Right.
10:49They call them the pillars of this team.
10:52They're going to be captains.
10:53Then Malik Willis will be a captain, Crowder.
10:56How many is it?
10:56Six?
10:57I believe so.
10:59Six?
11:00There's at least two spots left over.
11:02Sometimes it's a special to one of the kickers, but our kickers aren't like, you know.
11:07I know you love our kickers, but they're not.
11:09They have no passion.
11:10If Riley Patterson is a captain, count me out for the season.
11:16Yeah.
11:18Ooh.
11:19The three guys they paid in Malik, guaranteed.
11:21I don't know the next two.
11:23Can a rookie be a captain?
11:25No.
11:28Well, unless he's a quarterback.
11:30Right.
11:31But even then.
11:32It's still weird.
11:34Jacob Rodriguez, bro.
11:35I mean, I'll take orders from him.
11:39He'll be there next year.
11:42Speaking of...
11:43Is Tua going to start for Atlanta?
11:44I'm, like, searching it to see if they've made any announcement, but all the Tua news is
11:48his burner account.
11:51His wife, by the way, commented on his photo with the same comment that came from his account
12:00prior to that.
12:01So, it seems like his wife, which is what I had said at the start of the show, his wife
12:04runs his account, forgot to switch back over to her account.
12:07Ah, that's damage control.
12:08Don't get fooled.
12:12Were you a captain at Florida, somebody wants to know?
12:15Yes.
12:16You were?
12:17Yeah.
12:17At Florida?
12:18Yeah.
12:19Yeah, I was good in college.
12:21Yeah, but you weren't, like, a leader guy.
12:24No, no.
12:25But I had to call the defense.
12:26I played every snap, and I was the best player on defense.
12:29You had to be the captain.
12:32And I was out with the guys.
12:33I was a camaraderie guy.
12:35I used to call everybody out to the club, party, buy bottles.
12:39I kept the team together.
12:41Buy bottles?
12:42Were you 21?
12:45Camaraderie.
12:46But buying bottles, it seems like, unless my timeline is wrong here.
12:52A little camaraderie.
12:55I don't know what that argument is.
12:57Camaraderie.
13:02It's a little camaraderie.
13:08Speaking of captains and Dolphins captains, you know whose birthdays are today, Crowder?
13:17Who?
13:17Oh, JT.
13:20And Zach.
13:21And Zach.
13:22That is.
13:23Their birthday is the same day.
13:24That's weird.
13:25Yeah.
13:27I'll text him.
13:29Try texting him.
13:31Text him.
13:33I have both their numbers.
13:35How about a group?
13:36Like, I don't know if I've texted either of them in my life.
13:39How funny would it be?
13:41Should I start a group?
13:43Right.
13:44Don't start a group thread.
13:46Happy birthday, fellas.
13:48I don't know if I'm going to be a kid.
13:48I don't know if I'm going to be a kid.
13:48I don't know if I'm going to be a kid.
13:48I don't know if I'm going to be a kid.
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