00:00All right, the 49ers are taking on the Dolphins here.
00:02And you just heard Adam Bjorn talk about the fact
00:04that the pros are all over the dog at 14 and a half,
00:06which I would concur.
00:07I also heard you kind of baited when you were like,
00:09do you think the Dolphins can win?
00:10And I was like, the Dolphins are not winning this game.
00:13Okay, so you think the 49ers are a safe play and survivor.
00:17Just would you lay the 14 and a half?
00:18I do.
00:19I don't want to touch the 14 and a half
00:21because things get wonky if like the 49ers get up,
00:24they get up fast, they pull their starters,
00:25do anything like that.
00:27The Dolphins make this a closer game in garbage time.
00:30So like, again, a consistent trend for me
00:33and people follow me in betting is that
00:35when totals get up into ridiculous numbers,
00:38I stay away from them.
00:39When the lines get to these ridiculous numbers,
00:41I stay away from them.
00:42I'll be very curious to see how many people in survivor pools,
00:46whether it be the Splash Sports 1 or the Circus Survivor,
00:49whichever people are involved in,
00:51what is the overall percentage on the 49ers?
00:54Because it would be an easy pick for me
00:57if the Niners were not coming back from Australia.
01:00Yeah, but to your point,
01:01do you think there's any like
01:02where that percentage comes down at all
01:04where people are gun shy after week one
01:07and seeing the Chargers crap the bed?
01:08100%.
01:09Do you think there's anything in that?
01:11Yes.
01:12Yeah, I agree with you.
01:13There's a lot.
01:13I agree with you.
01:14People are like, oh, dude, I just saw half the field.
01:17What was it?
01:17A third of the field get wiped out by that one?
01:19Yeah.
01:20So a third of the field gets wiped out by that one game.
01:22Is everybody going to walk into this week and like,
01:24what if we see a third of the field get wiped out?
01:27No, it happened last year.
01:28I mean, it's happened the last three years in Survivor.
01:31We have seen the first three weeks eliminate basically half the field.
01:36And because I've known that, that's why I've spent so much time.
01:40I was awful in Circa Millions last week
01:42because I spent so much time on Survivor.
01:44I watched and read as much as I could.
01:47I studied and I got to the Jags and I was like,
01:49okay, I'm taking the Jaguars.
01:50That was the easiest play of the weekend.
01:52I'm in the same boat here in week number two,
01:54because again, I would say the 49ers are the obvious choice
01:58and I'm not interested in the obvious choice.
02:01So then the next obvious choice is the Bucs, right?
02:03Going up against the Browns.
02:05I'm absolutely with you on that.
02:07I think Baker goes savage mode.
02:09Okay.
02:09I hope you're right about that,
02:10but I'm worried about that bet as well,
02:12because I think that there could be just given what has happened historically.
02:16What if Todd Munkin knows something like Todd Munkin said this week
02:20that he saw good things on film from Deshaun Watson?
02:24Todd Munkin is carrying the water for ownership in this.
02:39That's what Todd Munkin is doing.
02:40I hate this so much for Todd Munkin
02:43because you got to believe he walks into all these pressers
02:46knowing he's going to get dragged,
02:48knowing he's going to get a crap ton of questions
02:50where it's like,
02:51he doesn't even believe what he's saying, man.
02:53Like, like all of this is set up.
02:56So Deshaun Watson fails in week one and week two
02:59so they could start Shadur Sanders for the home opener in week three.
03:03Keep going.
03:03I'm going to go.
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