A systematic Ukrainian drone campaign against primary crude distillation towers has plunged Russia into a severe domestic gasoline crisis. With refining runs hitting 21-year lows of 3.8 million barrels per day, Moscow is forced to export crude to foreign refineries—including Rosneft-linked facilities in India—and buy back refined gasoline via dark ship-to-ship transfers. Discover how satellite thermal tracking and maritime data reveal the true scale of Russia's energy supply chain breakdown.
⏱️ CHAPTERS:
00:00 - Kapotnya Refinery Strike & The Exhaustion of Spare Refining Buffer
03:02 - Meduza's Satellite Thermal Imaging at Kstovo Refinery
03:52 - Data Blackouts & Kpler's Lowest Refinery Processing Rates in 21 Years
04:53 - Late-August Strikes Collapse Domestic Production to 70% of Demand
06:29 - Seaborne Imports, Dark Ship-to-Ship Transfers, & Nayara Energy's Gujarat Refinery
08:59 - Short Import Routes: Belarus and Kazakhstan's Kondensat Refinery
10:14 - Import Ceilings vs. The 300,000 Barrel Daily Supply Deficit
11:36 - Discrepancies: Satellite Thermal Data vs. Rail Station Trading Logs
13:01 - Repeated Strikes on Ryazan Refinery & Attrition of Repair Crews
14:46 - Protecting Diesel for Harvests While Offloading Crude Output Drops
16:21 - Sevastopol QR Code Rationing & The Crimean Fuel Crisis
17:50 - Market Stabilization Outlook & October Seaborne Import Indicators
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