00:00So now we get to Georgia, Oklahoma.
00:02And, I mean, listen, call it like I see it.
00:06Dave more than do on a head-to-head here.
00:11Plus, I know, oh, God.
00:14I can't believe I bet Georgia's quarterback to win the Heisman,
00:17and I keep losing money betting against Georgia.
00:19Last week I did get the first half under, but, like,
00:23it's just so many points.
00:25Like, this is a low total.
00:26And I had to get to the 14.
00:28I had to get to the 14.
00:30Like, and that kind of shows you the level of confidence
00:32we're probably working with here, guys.
00:33We're, like, 13 and a half.
00:35I'm like, nope, not doing it, but got to 14 at minus 115 here.
00:39Make what's probably not a tough case to make
00:41for the Georgia Bulldogs in this spot, Dave.
00:44First of all, obviously they haven't played anybody good,
00:46but they are 3-0 ATS, but they're covering by over 8 points a game.
00:49The offensive numbers are ridiculous because of who they played.
00:5259 points per game, margin of 5'6", 4th in yards per game,
00:57539 yards per game.
00:58Stockton has looked wonderful.
01:00He's been actually a good stand-up quarterback out there,
01:03leading the nation in passing efficiency at 260, 94 QPR, yards per,
01:10he's leading for everything.
01:10But the defense is good as well.
01:12You got the Georgia defense among the best in the country,
01:15leading in yards per play, while the Oklahoma offense,
01:18which we talked about in the last segment, has been brutal.
01:22They're 115th in the country in yards, 123rd in rushing, 108th in EPA per play,
01:29116th in time of possession, and that includes a 51-0 win over UTEP.
01:35They scored 14 against New Mexico.
01:38They barely scored against Michigan.
01:4124 total points since their 51-0 win over UTEP,
01:47and now they face arguably the best defense in the country in Georgia.
01:51I think Oklahoma's defense will be good and kind of slow Georgia down.
01:56Georgia's not going to score 59 points today.
01:59I just like this because I can have it covered in the first half.
02:02I think they can be up 14-0 in the first half, Kevin,
02:06and I don't have to worry about the second half.
02:08Georgia, to me, is the only team that's going to break up this Big Ten run of national titles.
02:13I think they're a lot better than people think they are.
02:15Again, the three games they've played absolutely nobody, but they're really good.
02:20They're really talented, and I think Oklahoma came in overrated.
02:24You saw UTEP.
02:26They barely got that under for us.
02:28They won 51-0.
02:29They've struggled against Michigan, and the New Mexico game was eye-popping.
02:33On this show, I said I leaned 24-1⁄2 with New Mexico, and it was not a sweat.
02:38What they didn't do against New Mexico is why I like Georgia so much.
02:42I just think John Mateer and this offense is awful and really, really awful.
02:47All the evidence suggests that that is the case.
02:50I do think that for Brett Venables, this is a throw, you know, the kitchen sink game.
02:55Because a loss here, you're 2-2, but it's if you get rolled,
03:00which is why we can't take this team serious.
03:01And I think Venables has enough juice on the defensive side to stay inside this number.
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