00:00But it's a multi-screen day with Michigan and Iowa,
00:03a top 20 matchup in the Big Ten.
00:05The Wolverines a five-and-a-half point favorite
00:08as this number just sits tight here, Dave.
00:12Pretty much, I don't know.
00:14I thought, oh, we'll see, you know, a four, four-and-a-half.
00:17Like, nope, I think there's like a flat five out there.
00:19I'm surprised the total hasn't dropped.
00:21I guess 38-and-a-half is like the stopping point here
00:23because I've not heard really anyone willing to step up
00:26on the over in this game.
00:28And this is one that you and I agree on totally.
00:31Yeah, we're both in lockstep with Iowa plus five-and-a-half.
00:35I don't see either team scoring a lot of points in this one,
00:37so the under makes sense.
00:39It is low.
00:40If anybody's going to score, it's going to be Iowa
00:42because they have actually done the thing that Michigan hasn't done,
00:45and they've scored.
00:46And I'm not counting the UTEP game for Michigan.
00:48UTEP stinks.
00:49Iowa has put up points,
00:51and they put up points against Iowa State as well.
00:53I like the Hawkeyes here.
00:55They have the number one defense in the country.
00:56Michigan has an absolutely brutal offense
01:00that hasn't shown me anything other than one quarter versus UTEP.
01:03Couldn't score in Oklahoma.
01:05Couldn't score in the loss to Western Michigan.
01:07I'm going to keep calling it that.
01:08I like Iowa plus five-and-a-half in this one,
01:10and Blair Underwood, not Blair Underwood,
01:12Underwood's under pass yards as well.
01:16All right, absolutely.
01:17You know, for me, guys, this is just a spot where I –
01:21it's not that the wrong team is favored.
01:23It's just that the favored team to me is not going to win this game.
01:28Michigan, if this was minus three, I would –
01:31you know, I actually had this thought, Dave,
01:33that if this was three-and-a-half, more people would be on Iowa.
01:38They'd go, well, how hook's going to matter here?
01:40Hook's going to matter here.
01:41Low-scoring game, like five-and-a-half.
01:43It's kind of that dead zone.
01:45But the thing with Iowa is every number matters
01:48because the games are so low-scoring,
01:49and there is no team in the country more associated with safeties
01:54and defensive touchdowns and, like, punt return touchdowns
01:57than the Hawkeyes.
01:59So Michigan up seven trying to run the clock out
02:01and then getting a safety.
02:02Who's that surprise?
02:04Not me.
02:05Nobody.
02:05And you know what?
02:06As the bad – like, I'm not the bad beat police,
02:09but I don't think you can cry bad beat if you're up seven
02:12and they give up a safety and this thing lands five, man.
02:14Like, that is just who the Iowa Hawkeyes are.
02:17And this is just, to me, I understand strength of schedule.
02:22But Iowa right now leads college football in yards per carry.
02:29It is possible – everyone knows Iowa has a great offensive line.
02:34Nobody would argue that, right?
02:36Kamari Malton looks fantastic.
02:41He didn't play a ton against Iowa State.
02:43The Iowa State defense might be good.
02:44There's some people who think they're alive today against Utah.
02:48We will see.
02:50But it is – I don't even really think this is a debate.
02:55It is more on the board that the Iowa offense is good
02:58than it is for Michigan.
03:00It is likely that they're both bad.
03:02But it is on the board that the Iowa offense actually has
03:05a little bit of juice to it.
03:06We're going to find out today in Ann Arbor.
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