00:00This is a real careful what-you-wish-for spot.
00:03Everybody kind of has different processes, I'm sure, Joe.
00:06I try and guess what the line is going to be,
00:09and then depending on how off it is,
00:11I either ask myself, am I crazy or are they crazy?
00:15And we're going to find out,
00:17but this is a Seahawks team that withdrew lock last week
00:21off of a Wednesday game,
00:23so almost a full bye against Arizona
00:27were three-and-a-half point favorites.
00:30Maybe four, if you want to call it four.
00:33Drew Locke, by the way, I think right now
00:36leads football in passer rating.
00:38So I'm not saying Darnold isn't better.
00:40I'm saying I don't know if he's necessarily going to do...
00:44Drew Locke did what Darnold does,
00:45just throw the ball to Jackson Smith and Jigba.
00:47I love that plan.
00:48I think everybody is doing their job in Seattle.
00:50Get the ball to maybe the best receiver in football.
00:54But I don't think Darnold's going to...
00:55I don't think Darnold's worth five points to the spread,
00:58and I do think we're kind of like in Looney Tunes world now
01:03where Arizona beat the Chargers and we're like,
01:05actually, guys, the Cardinals are sick.
01:07They were supposed to be the Miami Dolphins.
01:10So I think this number is completely out of whack.
01:14I have seen Marcus Mariota play.
01:16He did it last year against the number one seed
01:18in the AFC Denver Broncos
01:20and nearly beat them in overtime.
01:22I think Mariota can hang.
01:24I also just think this is going to be a super low-scoring game.
01:27And so do the books.
01:28The total is 40-and-a-half.
01:30I think it's on the board Washington scores 10
01:34and covers this football game here, Joe.
01:37I'm on the Commanders plus 8-and-a-half with Marcus Mariota.
01:41Well, if you don't want to fly so close to the sun like Icarus over here
01:44and Kevin Walsh, here's what you do.
01:46If you do think that that's true,
01:48if they score 10,
01:49you just bet the team total under of the 16-and-a-half.
01:52The Seattle Seahawks have given up 17 points in the first two games.
01:5517, okay?
01:56And they're playing a backup quarterback.
01:58And look, Kevin's right.
02:00Because, sure, Mariota can get the job done.
02:02Yeah, you still have some weapons there at the wide receiver position.
02:04Like, there could be garbage time, all this other stuff.
02:07I'm not messing around with this.
02:08The Seattle Seahawks defense is elite.
02:10It's not good.
02:11It's not very good.
02:12It's elite.
02:13And they still have a chip on their shoulder.
02:15They won the Super Bowl and still nobody cares.
02:18And they're still going into these games like,
02:20do you not realize just how good we are?
02:22And they keep reminding us.
02:23And they're playing.
02:24Look, say what you will about the Arizona Cardinals.
02:26Arizona Cardinals have far more weapons at their disposal than the Miami Dolphins do.
02:29Right?
02:30They couldn't get anything going.
02:31The New England Patriots, a well-coached team that wanted revenge,
02:33all this stuff.
02:34Right?
02:34They go in there and like, okay, we got A.J. Brown.
02:36That didn't work out in the first half of that game.
02:38And things kind of spiraled.
02:39And yet they still found a way to win that game.
02:41Right?
02:41Let me tell you something.
02:43Seattle Seahawks defense.
02:44There's a reason why this is 40 and a half is because I don't know if anybody can hang
02:47with them and put up points against them.
02:49So, Darnold coming back, I don't really care about that.
02:51I want to bet Jackson Smith and Jigba plus 100 to score a touchdown in this game because
02:55he is quarterback proof.
02:56He's the new DeAndre Hopkins.
02:58It doesn't matter who's playing quarterback.
02:59That guy's in play every single week because he is just the best route runner in football
03:03right now.
03:04Besides Justin Jefferson, just won't put that out there.
03:06However, to me, don't even mess around with this game.
03:09Go right for the under team total in the 16 and a half and thank me later for the commanders.
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