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Europe Today : Trump affirme avoir obtenu une trêve énergétique Ukraine-Russie, les Baltes en alerte

Donald Trump affirme que la Russie et l'Ukraine ont conclu une trêve énergétique, que Volodymyr Zelenskyy dément. Au Forum de Varsovie : la ministre lettone Baiba Braže, Doha après l'attaque mortelle à l'aéroport de Riyad et les inquiétudes sur la dette française.

LIRE L’ARTICLE : http://fr.euronews.com/2026/10/12/europe-today-trump-annonce-une-treve-energetique-ukraine-russie-les-pays-baltes-restent-en

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00:00Sous-titrage Société Radio-Canada
00:38Sous-titrage Société Radio-Canada
01:13Sous-titrage Société Radio-Canada
01:15And authorities in Poland have arrested a man who was planning to assassinate Prime Minister Donald Tusk and his defense
01:22minister, according to police sources.
01:25The man had reportedly sent threatening emails to security services, which prompted a crisis meeting of top officials yesterday.
01:33Poland has already been on high alert after a series of school stabbings and fears of a possible Russian hybrid
01:40attack.
01:40Welcome to the program. I'm Stefan Grober.
01:44U.S. President Donald Trump says Russia and Ukraine have agreed to an immediate ceasefire on attacks against energy infrastructure.
01:52Trump announced the agreement on Truth Social, saying that both parties have agreed.
01:57The announcement comes just a day after Trump called for Ukraine to replace President Zelensky, accusing Kiev rather than Moscow
02:06of standing in the way of peace.
02:08And on Friday, Trump announced the controversial deal with Vladimir Putin to ease sanctions on Russian diesel exports, drawing sharp
02:16criticism from Kiev and Europe.
02:18In this situation, we need the analysis of our Ukraine correspondent, Sasha Vakulina, who is here with me in the
02:25studio right now.
02:27Good morning, Sasha.
02:28Good morning.
02:28So, a lot to unpack here, but first on the ceasefire.
02:32Trump says both sides have agreed, but Zelensky's response suggested that, you know, he wasn't aware of any deal.
02:39So, what has been agreed upon and whatever it is, is it in effect?
02:45Indeed, even now, hours later, it's not clear whether this is the deal agreed between and with Kiev and Moscow,
02:53or whether this is a unilateral declaration, as the one we already heard from Donald Trump earlier in September, when
02:58he said that there was another energy ceasefire, which actually never materialized.
03:02Now, this is what Donald Trump said on Truth Social.
03:05He said, effective immediately, there is an energy ceasefire in the war between Russia and Ukraine.
03:11Both parties have agreed, do not break it.
03:16Now, Kiev and Volodymyr Zelenskyy have been pitching the idea of energy ceasefire for months, Stefan, given the fact that
03:22Russia is deliberately knocking out all of Ukraine's energy infrastructure.
03:27And even yesterday and the day before yesterday, in some of the neighborhoods of Kiev, there were over 20 hours
03:32without any electricity.
03:34This is how the situation is bad already now in October.
03:37But it's not clear, because this is what Zelenskyy said following Donald Trump's statement and the ceasefire that he announced.
03:50It is important that this becomes a reality.
03:53Ukraine supports all realistic and reliable formats for a ceasefire and an end to the war.
03:59Ukraine is prepared not to carry out strikes against Russia's energy sector, and we are counting on a similar willingness
04:06on Russia's part and on an agreement from the President of the United States of America on this matter.
04:10We welcome such an agreement.
04:17What is included in this idea?
04:19Because there is also information that this deal is rather refinery for refinery.
04:23If that is the case, this is very tricky, because there is only one big refinery in Ukraine which has
04:28already been damaged by Russia.
04:30And this is, of course, not the case in Russia, where Ukraine is targeting specifically oil refineries to make sure
04:37that Russia does not have more money to prolong its war, while what Moscow is targeting is civilian energy infrastructure
04:44stuff.
04:44And so this is where it's not clear what's in the deal.
04:47Sasha, there seems to be a striking change in Trump's tone towards Zelensky, saying he's standing in the way of
04:55peace, he should be replaced, which reminds me of that infamous Oval Office meeting with Trump, J.D. Vance and
05:03Zelensky.
05:03What does it tell us about the current relationship between the U.S. and Ukraine?
05:09You know, the only one, Stefan, everybody had this sort of a flashback of that famous scandal in the Oval
05:14Office in February 2025, when Zelensky was accused of not being grateful, not saying thank you, and so on and
05:19so forth.
05:19Things have changed since, though, because while the United States and the Donald Trump administration clearly trying to put more
05:27pressure on Zelensky to force Kiev into a deal, to force Kiev into more concessions,
05:34the U.S. has less leverage if we compare the situation to what was happening in 2025.
05:38So let's realistically look at what can Washington do now to put even more pressure on Kiev.
05:44Now, there are a few options here on the table.
05:46There could be, they could stop sharing intel, and that would be a very dangerous thing, obviously, for Ukraine in
05:51defending itself from Russia's war.
05:53There could be some issues with the, or cut off Starlink connection, which, of course, is also a very crucial
05:59aspect for the armed forces of Ukraine.
06:01Or there could be some cuts with the pure, this is prioritized Ukraine requirement list.
06:06This is how the United States selling weapons to Europe for Ukraine.
06:10So there are these three options that are being discussed.
06:12When it comes to Perl, though, this is also something that brings billions to the United States and to Washington.
06:17So I would say this is probably going to be the last option for Washington, realistically speaking, of looking into.
06:24But when it comes to the pressure over elections, Zelensky said that if there is a ceasefire for at least
06:2960 days, he is ready to organize elections.
06:32Notably, Donald Trump did not mention any possibility or any need for elections or change of the leadership in Russia.
06:39Stefan.
06:39All right, Sasha, Sasha Vakulina reporting for us here.
06:44And please keep doing what you're doing going forward.
06:48And now let's head straight to Warsaw, where Zelensky is set to address a security conference as he seeks to
06:54shore up support from European allies.
06:57Our chief editor, Maria Tadeo, joins us from the Polish capital.
07:01She'll also be speaking to Poland's finance minister later today.
07:05Good morning, Maria.
07:06Maria, what can we expect from Zelensky's address and how important is European support for Kiev at this critical moment?
07:14Well, good morning, Stefan.
07:16The president or the message from the president of Ukraine will be one of coordination and alignment.
07:21Obviously, a very turbulent weekend.
07:23You just debriefed the tensions both over the Russian diesel deal, but also the comments and the criticism escalating from
07:31the president of the U.S.
07:33saying Ukraine now needs a new leader, one that, quote, can actually make a deal to that point and amid
07:40that pressure.
07:41Yesterday, the president of Ukraine, Zelensky, had a phone call with the head of the commission, Ursula von der Leyen,
07:48an emergency call.
07:49They're not calling that.
07:50They're not putting that name on it, but essentially that's what it is.
07:53The head of the commission sent out a readout saying that she does support an energy ceasefire if that means
08:00that Ukrainian energy infrastructure will be spared from Russian attacks.
08:05And she also said, quote, she has a full support to President Zelensky.
08:09A lot of that politically has to be seen in the context of those comments from President Trump,
08:14indicating that Zelensky is not the right man to lead the country.
08:18The head of the commission saying the opposite.
08:20She also added that this is a man who's, quote, fighting for the freedom of his country.
08:24She also said that Ukraine will be front and center at the European summit on Thursday.
08:30We are expecting President Zelensky to be there in person in Brussels.
08:34She said that they will talk about financing and they would talk about money for drones and missiles.
08:39But the question, the money question, is a difficult one, Stefan, because for the time being and up until now,
08:45it's the Europeans that are very much providing the bulk of the financing.
08:49They pay for the weapons, too, through NATO.
08:52The U.S. no longer pays for any of the expenses related to the war for the Europeans.
08:56This is a tricky question.
08:58And the head of the commission also says that the EU will put together a global effort to get global
09:04funding for Ukraine.
09:06Obviously, this is a money question, and winter has not even started yet.
09:11All right.
09:12Our EU editor, Maria Tadeo, from the Warsaw Security Forum, thank you very much.
09:18As we've heard, Europe's eastern flank is facing another moment of heightened tension.
09:23Latvia and its Baltic neighbors are, once again, on alert amid growing concerns over Russian drones,
09:30airspace violations and a broader campaign of hybrid pressure against NATO.
09:36One of the top topics at the EU's Foreign Affairs Council in Luxembourg today.
09:41Is Moscow testing Europe's resolve?
09:43And how close are we to a dangerous escalation?
09:46We'll put these questions now to Latvia's foreign minister, Baiba Braje.
09:51Good morning, madam.
09:52Great to have you on.
09:54Good morning from Luxembourg City.
09:56We are at the EU foreign affairs meeting.
10:00Wonderful.
10:00So a lot has happened over the past 48 hours around Latvia.
10:05What is your assessment of the security situation in the region right now?
10:09How serious is the threat?
10:13I think in the big picture, there hasn't been significant change.
10:19Russia is stuck in Ukraine.
10:21Ukraine is defending herself.
10:22Russia is not only advancing, but actually losing some of the ground in Donbass.
10:28And Russia is unable to challenge NATO militarily.
10:32But, of course, Russia's warfare doctrine doesn't include only conventional military tactics.
10:39It also includes submilitary, subconventional warfare.
10:43And that is what sometimes is called hybrid, which is too fluffy and too nice to actually be characterized.
10:50What it is, is sabotage.
10:52If necessary, it's killing of people, threats to the chiefs of military companies,
10:58or actual possible implementation of those threats if necessary.
11:01We saw attack on Leipzig airport, massive cyberattacks, constant cyberattacks everywhere.
11:10Information, disinformation, attacks, hostile activities elsewhere.
11:14So it's everything that doesn't necessarily involve direct military attack, but it's still part of Russia's doctrine.
11:22Madam, are you concerned that what we are seeing is moving beyond hybrid warfare
11:26into a more direct military confrontation with Russia?
11:30And does Moscow feel emboldened by Trump's pressure campaign?
11:35As I said, for now, the military evaluation and assessment is the same for the whole of NATO,
11:43also here in the Baltic states, that Russia is enabling military to challenge NATO.
11:50So that means it cannot militarily attack because it doesn't have sufficient capabilities.
11:58And again, it's stuck in Ukraine.
12:01But, of course, we see other developments.
12:05We see that Belarus, enabled by Russia, is pushing massive groups of illegal migrants against the border of the EU
12:13and NATO.
12:13And that's the border in Latvia.
12:15So we are defending that border.
12:17But we see that there is an organizational sort of aspect to it all, that it's not just happening by
12:25itself.
12:26And groups of 20 or more people trying to climb over the border, tunnels, you know, people stealing cameras on
12:35the border.
12:35So there is a sort of tension quite clearly that is present.
12:42And do you believe NATO's eastern flank is sufficiently protected today?
12:47Yes or no?
12:49Yes, we have 14 allies with us here in Latvia.
12:55Canadians, you know, neighbors and Polish and Slovaks and others.
13:01So we have not only Latvian-owned defense forces, but also our NATO allies together and various capabilities for the
13:10air, for the land, for the sea, to make sure that we deter.
13:16NATO is deterrence.
13:18NATO's KPI is peace.
13:20It's a peace organization.
13:21And it has been successful since its foundation in 1949.
13:25So we have to continue that.
13:26All right, Baiba Braje, the Latvian foreign minister, thank you so much for your time this morning.
13:33The Saudi capital, Riyadh, is facing a major security crisis after a deadly missile attack on King Khalid International Airport
13:40killed at least 12 people and injured more than 300.
13:44Saudi Arabia is vowing a firm response, while the Houthis, suspected to be behind the attack, are warning airlines and
13:51passengers to stay away from Saudi airports.
13:54With Riyadh's main airport closed and tensions escalating, the question now is how far this confrontation could spread and whether
14:02the U.S. could be drawn directly into it.
14:05For more on this, let's head over to Doha to our correspondent, Laila Humeyra.
14:10Good morning, Laila.
14:11So Saudi Arabia is dealing with the aftermath of this deadly attack on Riyadh's airport.
14:18What's the latest?
14:20Good morning, Stefan.
14:22That's right.
14:23As you said, for the second straight day, Houthi rebels have struck the Saudi Arabian capital, plunging the region deeper
14:29into a major security crisis.
14:31On Sunday, a new Houthi projectile hit passenger terminals at Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport, causing a fire to break
14:39out and multiple injuries.
14:40That, of course, follows Saturday's devastating strike, which killed 12 people and injured more than 300 others.
14:46Now, as you said, all operations in the main airport have been fully suspended, and the Houthi rebels have claimed
14:54responsibilities for these attacks.
14:55But they've also accused the Saudi-led coalition of killing civilians at its airport in the capital, Sana'a, over
15:00the last couple of days.
15:02Now, in Washington, D.C., U.S. President Donald Trump says that he has condemned these attacks,
15:07but he has also stated that they are weighing, considering, possibly joining the military campaign against Houthi rebels in Yemen.
15:15Of course, the Houthi rebels have since now targeted a lot of Saudi Arabia's energy, key civilian and air infrastructure
15:23as well.
15:24Now, all these escalations, Stefan, point to a continuation of the war and effectively opening up a new front in
15:30this regional conflict.
15:31We're possibly looking at months of uncertainty and instability in this region.
15:35And, Laila, Iran has been carrying out major missile tests, indicating that it's ready to be in this war longer
15:43than we thought capable.
15:45At the same time, the U.S. seems to be reassessing and repositioning its assets and bombers in the region,
15:52too.
15:52What does this mean for the war, even as de-escalation efforts remain in place?
15:59That's right. As you say, Iran has raised the regional stakes to a whole new level by test-firing multiple
16:04ballistic missiles.
16:05Now, experts say this shows, clearly confirms, how much Tehran is capable still of producing those drones and missiles,
16:13even after months of heavy bombing.
16:15The U.S. on its side has also been reassessing its military assets in the region,
16:19redeploying bombers and refueling planes and aircraft carriers and such.
16:24And U.S. President Donald Trump has ruled out any new military action before the November 3rd midterm elections.
16:30But Iranian officials have said that they will ignore any sort of rhetoric coming out of the White House,
16:35essentially saying that they are locked in for a prolonged and long-term conflict.
16:40And, of course, this is...
16:43That's all. Thanks.
16:45All right. That was our correspondent, Laira Humeyra, in Doha.
16:49Thank you very much.
16:50From the Middle East to France now.
16:53The country is facing a dangerous economic and political balancing act.
16:57Thousands of students are taking to the streets, demanding more resources in better conditions,
17:03while the government is struggling to repair public finances already under severe pressure.
17:08With the deficit around 5% of GDP and public debt approaching 120%,
17:14Paris has very little room to spend its way out of the crisis.
17:19So, how serious is the risk of a wider economic and political crisis?
17:24To get to the bottom of this, I'm now joined by French economist and essayist Nicolas Bouzou.
17:29Good morning to you.
17:31Good morning.
17:32So, you said, already in June, that the situation in France was a catastrophe.
17:39Well, things haven't gotten any better since.
17:42Is France the sick man of Europe?
17:45Yeah, I think that the situation is very tough because we are at the end of the system.
17:52I mean that we have in France, as you know, a very big welfare state, very large.
17:57So, it's a good thing, but the economic growth is not more strong to be able to support this welfare
18:07state.
18:08And that's why we suffer from a huge deficit, from a rising public debt.
18:15And the most worrying point is that our long-term interest rate, they are going to 5%.
18:22And economists know that 5% for an economy like France is an unsustainable interest rate.
18:31I mean that the public debt is automatically rising.
18:35So, yes, it's a quite difficult situation.
18:38Nicolas, what worries financial markets more?
18:40France's level of debt, its persistent deficits, or the apparent political inability to agree on spending cuts?
18:48Both.
18:49The public debt is huge, but other countries have a big public debt.
18:54So, I think that the main problem is a public deficit.
18:57I mean the fact that we are not able to reduce our public debt.
19:01But the second problem, you're perfectly right, is the political uncertainty.
19:07Because the government has not a majority at the parliament.
19:11But we have a presidential election in five months, which is very, very large.
19:18Far-right can win, but far-left can win.
19:22And their programs are not very precise in the challenge of the public debt.
19:28And looking ahead at the presidential election next year, with both extremes gaining ground, is the worst yet to come?
19:36Very briefly.
19:36No.
19:38In France, the economic situation, basically, we have some strength.
19:44Electricity, a very strong corporate sector, a government, which is quite competent, I mean.
19:52So, I think that basically the situation is not so bad, but we are facing a big problem of public
20:00finance.
20:00So, it's true, but if we solve that, France will be okay.
20:04All right, that's all we have time for.
20:05Nicolas Bouzou, thank you so much for helping us understand what's going on in France right now.
20:09That does it for us today.
20:11Thank you for watching.
20:12I'm Stéphane Grobe, and I'll see you tomorrow.

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