00:00In football, we love to focus on the negative, not just us, but coaches and players, and
00:06you're avoiding bad things, right?
00:09If the best running back in the league, Bijan, fumbles a lot, or if Cook fumbles a lot, it's
00:13how can I justify that?
00:15Can I justify James Cook fumbling?
00:17And the answer would be in a couple things, like rush yards over-expected, right?
00:21Cook is fourth in the league in rush yards over-expected.
00:25That's really good.
00:25But in rush yards over-expected per attempt, he's in the top 10, and all that really,
00:31to me, signals is, you know, sure, you can put a running back in there that doesn't fumble
00:35the ball as much as he does, but if I lose those 88 yards over-expected in just five games,
00:44how many first downs is that?
00:45How many drive extensions is that?
00:47Is that a game-breaking touchdown that I didn't get because the other guy was in?
00:51So it's the same with Allen.
00:52Does he throw interceptions?
00:54Yeah.
00:54You know what else you get with Allen that you don't get with anybody else?
00:57Elite sack avoidance.
00:59Right.
00:59He does.
01:00Last year was one exception there.
01:02But that was back against the Rams, where their pressure to sack was 6% in that game.
01:08Yep.
01:08That's the number that the best guys in the league have.
01:11You have a guy that gets away, that extends plays, that runs, and the trade-offs, sure,
01:17the traditional too many interceptions for a guy like Kirk Cousins, you gotta go, man.
01:22The same number of interceptions for Josh Allen, it's very much, that's fine.
01:25It's worth it.
01:27I think, though, where Cook is at, it's too much.
01:31Like, 88 yards, very good.
01:33And that is drive extensions.
01:35But four fumbles in five games.
01:37Like, if I'm getting almost a fumble a game, a fumble every 20 carries that he's getting
01:41so far this year.
01:42Is he due for regression positively?
01:46Probably.
01:46Because I would say, I would say even as good as he's been, that's not good enough to overweight
01:53four fumbles in five games.
01:54But right, I would not expect him in the next five games to have four fumbles.
01:56How many fumbles did he have last season?
01:58He had, I think the number was six.
02:00Six, yeah, six.
