- 8小时前
八点最热报 | 美国人工智能公司Anthropic的CEO阿莫代伊不久前发出警告：未来一至五年，一半的初级白领职位可能消失，所谓的初级白领工作就是大学毕业生进入职场的第一份和接下来好几年所要做的工作。当连人工智能的开发者都开始警告就业冲击，大学毕业生的第一份工作会不会就没了？（主播：蔡心慧）
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00:04Enthropic CEO Amoday
00:07A warning was issued not long ago
00:09Half of junior white-collar jobs may disappear in the next one to five years.
00:14The so-called entry-level white-collar jobs are those for college graduates entering the workforce.
00:18First
00:18And the work to be done over the next few years
00:21This does not mean that his predictions will always come true.
00:24However, even AI developers are beginning to warn of the job market impact.
00:29We can no longer ignore it.
00:32When artificial intelligence can do everything
00:34Will college graduates lose their first job?
00:38When white-collar workers are paired with AI, their efficiency can be greatly improved, sweeping away all obstacles in their jobs.
00:43field
00:43Does a company still need a junior who knows nothing and is just starting to learn?
00:49Are junior white-collar workers finding it increasingly difficult to make a living?
00:53This crisis is no longer just something imagined by the tech industry.
00:56Instead, it began to influence companies' hiring decisions.
00:59There is data to support this claim.
01:01According to a local survey,
01:03Half of the surveyed employers expect
01:05Recruitment for entry-level positions will be reduced over the next three years.
01:09Let's set aside the topic of employee welfare for now.
01:12Labor relations and other issues
01:13For businesses
01:14Artificial intelligence can work around the clock.
01:17The task that used to be assigned to newcomers
01:20Now it might only require one command.
01:23That way you can get it done faster and cheaper.
01:26No matter what
01:27It's understandable for businesses to pursue efficiency.
01:29However, when the way to improve efficiency is to reduce the number of new employees' positions...
01:33The labor costs saved by businesses today
01:36Will this become the price of a talent gap in the future workplace?
01:41Will AI replace all Juniors?
01:43It is too early to draw conclusions.
01:45However, a survey of Malaysian employers
01:47Warnings from tech industry leaders
01:50All of these indicate that entry-level positions are facing new pressures.
01:54The real challenge is not just how much work AI can do.
01:57Instead, it's when AI takes over the work that newcomers have learned.
02:01How should businesses and education systems prepare young people?
02:04Does this preserve the opportunity to gain experience in the workplace?
02:10In the past, after college graduates entered the workforce
02:12Start with basic tasks and gradually accumulate experience.
02:15From intern to junior white-collar worker
02:17Then gradually grow into a senior employee or manager.
02:21Or become a professional
02:22But today's AI can already handle newcomers.
02:26Or it's a job for ordinary people.
02:27For example, writing reports, organizing data, or even writing programs.
02:31Does that mean the company still needs to hire new employees?
02:34CEO of Antropic, a US artificial intelligence company
02:37Dario Ameda had previously issued a warning.
02:40The next one to five years
02:41Half of the junior white-collar jobs in the United States may disappear.
02:44The unemployment rate could also climb to 10% to 20%.
02:48You said AI could wipe out half of all entry-level white-collar jobs
02:53and spike unemployment to 10% to 20% in the next one to five years
02:56Yes
02:57That's shocking
02:58Half of all entry-level white-collar jobs
03:00Well, if we look at entry-level consultants, lawyers, financial professionals
03:08you know, many of kind of the white-collar service industries
03:10a lot of what they do
03:12you know, AI models are already quite good at
03:15and without intervention
03:16It's hard to imagine
03:18that there won't be some significant job impact there
03:21and my worry is that it will be broad
03:24and it will be faster than what we've seen with previous technology
03:28Silicon Valley venture capitalist Vinod Khosla
03:31It also depicts a new work model for the future workplace.
03:34Professionals may no longer need to lead a group of junior staff or interns.
03:39Instead, it manages multiple AI assistants.
03:41This can significantly improve work efficiency.
03:43Starting in about 2030
03:45Four years away
03:4680% of all jobs
03:48so two-thirds of all jobs
03:50will be capable of being done by an AI
03:54and there'll be an interim period
03:56where every professional will have four AI interns
04:00they're training to leverage themselves
04:03and I think the initial model of AI deployment
04:06will be AI interns
04:07working for somebody who's already a senior accountant
04:10or a physician
04:15For businesses
04:16AI means higher efficiency
04:18But for recent graduates
04:20However, this may reduce opportunities to enter the industry.
04:23Even the predicament of being completely stifled
04:25This impact is not limited to the United States.
04:28A local survey found
04:30Up to 50% of surveyed Malaysian employers expect
04:33next three years
04:34They will reduce hiring for entry-level positions because of AI.
04:378 o'clock Hot News reporter enters the campus
04:39Random interviews with repeat students
04:41Ask them
04:42When companies may reduce hiring new employees
04:44Have they already begun to worry?
04:46I can't find a job after graduation.
05:10I believe AI will reduce the hiring of new employees.
05:27The concerns of young people are not unfounded.
05:29Office workers who have already entered the workforce have also observed
05:32The new employee's past job duties are changing.
06:30In the past, companies hired junior employees not only to share basic tasks.
06:34It also allows newcomers to learn through practice.
06:36Gradually accumulate professional experience
06:38But now
06:39Even introductory tasks can teach artificial intelligence.
06:42So where should young people start?
06:45When companies reduce entry-level positions
06:47Will young people lose even the opportunity to accumulate experience?
06:50Lin Fuyan, professor of economics at Northern University, pointed out
06:53With changing workplace demands
06:55The education system must also keep pace with the times.
06:58Otherwise, the knowledge that graduates learn
07:00It may be out of sync with the capabilities required by the company.
07:02The education system actually needs to change with AI.
07:07Because the outside world has changed.
07:09In terms of our education system
07:11If we don't change
07:12It will have a fault.
07:15Then those early graduates came out
07:16Many people fall into that career
07:18We'd say his employability is relatively low.
07:21So what are the current requirements for graduates?
07:24In the past, I might have been more inclined to favor you.
07:26That's enough for you to understand this basic professional knowledge.
07:29Then the company will gradually train you.
07:32Become a professional
07:34So you'll start with Junior.
07:35This thing will change.
07:37That means universities.
07:38It's not just about understanding basic and professional knowledge.
07:41It also requires you to understand AI.
07:43Then it also requires you to have a relatively high level of knowledge.
07:45What we call employability
07:47Therefore, you need to know how to make judgments.
07:49This is the biggest problem we are facing.
07:51Vice Dean of the School of Computing and Artificial Intelligence at Shuangwei University
07:55Li Xiuhong pointed out
07:56Some companies have indeed begun to utilize artificial intelligence.
07:59Replace some entry-level jobs
08:00But this does not mean that graduates have no future.
08:03Rather, the content of their work is changing.
08:05In the past, new employees were mainly responsible for basic tasks.
08:08Now they need to participate in higher-level decision-making.
08:11For example, judging whether content generated by artificial intelligence is correct.
08:15And whether it meets actual needs
08:17Many companies are starting to change their approach to artificial intelligence.
08:26So, will you be unemployed after graduating with a degree in literature?
08:28Because you'll be on a higher floor then.
08:31Comparing the intelligence of employees
08:33Because they weren't taught that at school.
08:36Employee intelligence
08:37Of course, employee intelligence
08:39We have trained them year after year.
08:41But of course, when you enter your second or third year...
08:44You will gain deeper knowledge.
08:47So at the company
08:49When they switch to artificial intelligence
08:51Second-level decision-making
08:53There is also a second level of tasks.
08:55They need a lot of help.
08:58Look at them
08:58Because in the end
09:01You also need artificial intelligence
09:04Let's look at their artificial intelligence
09:08That's right.
09:11The scariest thing in the AI era might not be that you will be replaced.
09:14Instead, you don't even have the chance to prove yourself and accumulate experience.
09:18A seasoned white-collar worker paired with AI
09:21Efficiency can be equivalent to that of an entire team.
09:24When companies need fewer and fewer new employees
09:26Is a university degree still more valuable than a single command?
09:30If you can't even find your first job
09:32Where can young people gain experience?
09:35To become a future senior talent?
09:38What about AI?
09:39It allows one person to do more things
09:40However, you can't turn a newcomer into an expert out of thin air.
09:44When companies only look at efficiency
09:46Society only looks at the extreme power
09:48Are we cultivating the next generation of talent?
09:50Or are we cutting off their path to growth with our own hands?
09:54Today, it's not just certain jobs that will be rendered obsolete by AI.
09:58It is also a ticket for young people to enter the workplace.
10:00If even the starting line has been taken away
10:03How can young people catch up with the future?