00:00 Here's Jamir Gibbs, 44 and a half rushing yards.
00:03 And it's funny because you said that the HM prop was 45.
00:05 So it's almost as if you have a clairvoyance 44 and a half over
00:09 under here smashes this question mark.
00:11 Now, I'm going to go the under here.
00:13 I think Gibbs were more in the passing game.
00:15 I think you attack that look there fifth against the rush
00:18 Tampa Bay.
00:18 They're good up front again.
00:19 Both these teams are good up front.
00:21 This is why I you can't love every over as sexy as it is.
00:25 And you know, my co-host Scott Bogdan home and betting pros
00:27 always says life's too short for unders.
00:29 But I also work with Andrew Erickson there who is we call
00:32 me Undertaker because he loves unders all day long.
00:34 And he's made a ton of money this year on the unders and
00:37 I think when you're looking at Gibbs here, I would lean
00:40 towards the under and the reason why is because that front
00:43 is so good because I think the nature of this game is going
00:45 to be a little bit more back and forth.
00:46 And I think with David Montgomery, it's a little tougher.
00:49 Now.
00:49 He hasn't crossed this number in his last three games before
00:52 that 80 yards a hundred yards, but that was also when David
00:55 Montgomery was hurt.
00:56 So once Montgomery came back and was 100% healthy again,
01:00 it's not quite the same backfield again.
01:01 I think you're in a bit of a split.
01:02 It's late in the year.
01:03 It's a lot of reasons to not go with this one either stay
01:07 away or maybe go to the under on this one instead.
01:09 And for those of you are trying to understand what the
01:11 ladder bed is in case you just joining us for the first
01:13 time. That's where you're talking about taking a number
01:15 that's low like the Baker Bayfield the 250 number we're
01:18 talking about in that range.
01:19 You bet it at the 250 you bet it to 60 70 80 90 all the
01:23 way up until 300 or wherever you're comfortable with and
01:26 you start to get the plus money.
01:27 You can do one or two things.
01:28 You can either maintain that level of units or you can
01:31 decrease that number of units depending on what you're
01:33 comfortable with and every time you hit another milestone
01:36 to change a change a change an angel gets his wings Matt.
01:40 That's what happens every time.
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