- 2 years ago
Election Result 2024: 94% लोग ऑप्शन ट्रेडिंग में नुकसान खाते हैं? Election Result वाले दिन निवेश करते समय क्या ध्यान रखें? किन शेयर्स में पैसा लगाने से नुकसान होगा? 3 जून सोमवार में मार्केट में क्या होगा? समझिए Sr Market Analyst Mr Ravi Singh से
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~HT.178~PR.147~ED.148~GR.121~
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~HT.178~PR.147~ED.148~GR.121~
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NewsTranscript
00:00 Go and buy a call worth Rs. 900 and let the market run tomorrow.
00:05 It will go up.
00:06 Whatever profit is coming in the evening session, take it.
00:09 Go home, give a nice sweet.
00:11 Who is the government coming? What is happening?
00:13 What does it have to do with it?
00:14 You just have to take care of it that your portfolio keeps shining.
00:17 This is a simple strategy.
00:18 In this air, some stocks will give you a chance to come out.
00:22 And this is the last thing I am discussing with you
00:26 and whoever will watch your entire program will be able to take advantage of it or not.
00:30 Don't drop the video after a minute or two or else it will be a loss.
00:35 IT counter, join hands, you will get a chance, the air will run, go out.
00:41 The money is yours, you listen to yourself, don't listen to anyone else, don't listen to me.
00:45 Take advice from everyone but do what you want.
00:48 It is necessary that what to do, everyone tells, but what not to do, no one tells.
00:53 That's why I am focusing more.
00:55 This is Bhavna and you are watching Good Returns.
00:57 Exit polls have come and after that the reaction in the market will be seen directly on Monday, i.e. on 3rd June.
01:05 On 4th June, it will be clear whose government is being formed, what is there.
01:09 It has been clear from the exit poll that BJP is forming its government along with NDA.
01:13 In this, what should investors take care of, what should traders take care of, what strategy should be adopted,
01:19 what can be the target of the market, Nifty and Sensex.
01:24 What you have to do in these 2-3 days, we will try to understand all of them.
01:29 We will be joined again by Ravi Singh, who is a senior market analyst and he will discuss this in detail.
01:38 We will take care of one more thing in which we will tell you what things you do not have to do,
01:43 which sectors you should avoid and which sectors are going to boost as of now.
01:51 Do watch the video till the end so that you can get complete knowledge.
01:57 Hi sir, how are you? Welcome to Good Returns.
01:59 Thank you for calling me here again.
02:03 Sir, we have come from the exit poll.
02:06 The picture from the exit poll is clear.
02:10 You tell me what should investors decode from this exit poll, what is their work and how do you see its impact on the share market on Monday?
02:20 I feel that the question you have asked is a big one but it is very well-resolved.
02:26 I will try to answer it in this way.
02:29 We are standing at the exit poll and the final result of the election is yet to come.
02:37 The worries of the investors are in the middle of what to do when the market opens on Monday.
02:45 There is no doubt that there will be an uptrend in the market.
02:50 It is in the BJP's favour.
02:52 People have shown a little bit of optimism that there will be fewer seats and more seats.
02:57 It is a mandate but BJP is getting it.
02:59 It is clearly visible that the market will see it as a salutation.
03:03 Keep in mind one thing in the market that until the budget is not reached by July,
03:09 there will be no correction in the market and there will be no fear.
03:13 Now let's come to what the investors should do.
03:17 First of all, when the market opens on Monday,
03:21 don't jump in as soon as you enter.
03:24 You can see the water in front of you and the heat is so high that you jump in.
03:29 You should cool down a little.
03:30 If you go in this way, you will fall sick.
03:32 You will get a fever.
03:33 What will that fever be?
03:34 It will be a fever of loss on your portfolio.
03:37 You have to be careful.
03:39 The market is fast.
03:41 If you have bought shares, wait for them.
03:44 If you have sold shares, try to hedge them.
03:50 But at this time, the market is bullish.
03:53 There is no negative sentiment in the market.
03:55 The biggest thing is that the big portfolios here need not worry.
04:01 The programmers watching this will get a little coolness that at least our portfolio will shine.
04:09 What is the good news for investors after the exit polls?
04:13 I think it is good for investors that in the sector,
04:20 especially if you have made a position in PSUs,
04:23 if you have made a position in the auto sector,
04:25 if you have made a position in the IT sector,
04:28 then some of the sectors you have chosen will definitely run.
04:33 This is good news for you.
04:35 You will also see profit booking in some of the stocks.
04:38 This is a matter of concern for you.
04:40 If you look at it percentage wise, 80% chances of profitability are there.
04:46 But 20% chances of falling in those shares are also there.
04:50 The shares that were only floating in the air in the expectation of the election poll and election results.
04:58 We often see that 94% of the people who trade based on events,
05:04 they lose their money.
05:06 Because they are trading based on events.
05:08 What are the reasons you think,
05:10 and we are often talking about investors,
05:14 traders are very fast fingers.
05:17 So what should they keep in mind when trading based on events?
05:22 And what are the reasons that 94% option traders lose money?
05:28 94% option traders lose money because
05:32 they wait for the day of the event and take a position on that day.
05:38 Whereas option trading tells you that
05:41 you should prepare for the event a week in advance.
05:46 Now I will try to give you a simple comparison.
05:51 Your market will be open.
05:53 The walls are very high.
05:54 High walls means that there is a lot of ups and downs.
05:57 Don't even try to sell by mistake.
06:00 If you don't understand anything,
06:02 then you are a call put trader.
06:04 Those who listen to the name of call and put in the option.
06:07 If you go from the side of buying options,
06:10 then your risk will be limited.
06:12 And if you go from the side of selling options,
06:14 then your loss will be unlimited.
06:16 Unlimited means that your capital can be wiped out.
06:19 And you must have seen that
06:21 on most of the TV channels,
06:23 the disclaimer is clearly shown.
06:26 The disclaimer that SEBI has released
06:28 that in the option trader,
06:30 almost Rs. 50,000 is the loss to every option trader.
06:34 But let me tell you a fact that I am remembering now.
06:37 If I see this social media and YouTube,
06:40 then I feel that 99% traders are just earning.
06:43 Earning, exactly.
06:45 But the reality is far away.
06:47 The reality is very far from it.
06:49 So according to me,
06:50 if someone is following your program,
06:53 then listen to me.
06:54 Both buy call and put and go.
06:56 Tomorrow.
06:57 And tomorrow itself,
06:59 till closing,
07:00 if you buy call and put,
07:03 if you are getting a profit,
07:05 then don't forget to take the profit home.
07:07 Don't guess.
07:08 See, tomorrow's strategy is simple.
07:12 You bought the option.
07:14 You take the profit home.
07:17 But this is for traders.
07:19 You said one more thing that
07:21 if you look at it from a trader's perspective,
07:23 then according to the investor,
07:25 there is nothing to worry about.
07:27 They are always happy.
07:28 If you are a long-term investor,
07:30 then they are happy for you.
07:31 Invest in good stocks and
07:32 in the long term,
07:33 you can make your profit.
07:35 See, if someone has followed your previous program,
07:37 because of which you got so many likes,
07:40 people subscribed to your channel,
07:42 your channel is running so well.
07:44 I feel that if you are watching this program,
07:46 then I feel that this will be the
07:48 best way to make money.
07:50 And I am also trying to do the same.
07:52 And we had promised you this
07:54 when we were recording our last interview.
07:56 That as soon as exit polls come,
07:58 we will once again join with Ravi ji
08:00 and we will again move ahead
08:02 in the same direction.
08:04 In 4-5 years,
08:06 because it is almost clear now
08:08 that the NDA government is being formed.
08:10 Now how much will it be formed?
08:12 That will be clear on the day of election results.
08:14 In the next 4-5 years,
08:16 what target will you give to Nifty and Sensex?
08:18 What target will you give to the Indian share market?
08:20 Because as per the chief of Motila Losewall,
08:22 Ramdeva Garwal,
08:24 the market can be up to 10 trillion.
08:26 What is your take on this?
08:28 See, I would like to say one thing,
08:30 that we are at the 4th position now.
08:32 And very soon,
08:34 we will increase our speed
08:36 in the matter of stock exchange trading.
08:38 We keep fighting on the 4th and 5th positions.
08:40 But I feel that
08:42 we will soon be at the 2nd position.
08:44 And we will fight for the 3rd position.
08:46 Because there is a lot of volume in the US.
08:48 There is a lot of trade.
08:50 We will not be able to reach that much.
08:52 It will be above 14 trillion.
08:54 But we will soon be at that position.
08:56 On the other hand,
08:58 you talked about
09:00 what will be our motive now
09:02 and how our economy will grow.
09:04 If we look at Sensex's target
09:06 and Nifty's target in 5 years,
09:08 I would like to tell you one thing.
09:10 No other market in the world,
09:12 no other market in the world
09:14 will be able to
09:16 stay behind the Indian market.
09:18 By staying behind, I mean
09:20 it will not be even close.
09:22 I mean, the returns that will be getting
09:24 in the Indian market,
09:26 like now, if we compare the last few years,
09:28 the returns that we get are
09:30 if the US market gave 8% return,
09:32 then the Indian market gave 12%.
09:34 Now, you will see it the other way around.
09:36 If the US market
09:38 gave 2-3% return
09:40 or 5% return,
09:42 then it is a good thing.
09:44 But the Indian market will be
09:46 subsiding by 25%.
09:48 You will see this impact in the coming time.
09:50 You will see this impact in the coming time.
09:52 Tell me, the beginners,
09:54 because we often see this thing,
09:56 like the event-based trading,
09:58 when they get a chance,
10:00 people think that this event
10:02 is coming on a budget, elections are coming,
10:04 we will invest money,
10:06 we will make money.
10:08 Do you think that in Modi
10:10 Government 3.0, is this the right
10:12 time to enter the share market?
10:14 What advice would you like to give
10:16 to the beginners?
10:18 Look, Bhawana ji, understand one thing,
10:20 the right time is always
10:22 the right time, the time when you think
10:24 and enter the market.
10:26 I would like to give an example of this
10:28 because I have seen many times,
10:30 you must have heard a statement
10:32 that someone bought shares
10:34 of Infosys in 2000, invested 2000 rupees,
10:36 today he owns 20 crores.
10:38 You must have heard such stories.
10:40 But I will tell you,
10:42 these stories,
10:44 what feeling do we get in such a situation,
10:46 that I wish the time of that time
10:48 would have come back.
10:50 Because the market is at all-time high,
10:52 people are afraid,
10:54 they will take now,
10:56 I don't know if there will be a profit or not.
10:58 The market is always at all-time high.
11:00 It was in 2004, 2006, 2010,
11:02 2012,
11:04 and it is in 2024.
11:06 All-time high will be there at all times.
11:08 But if you give
11:10 2000 to 2024,
11:12 if you give 24 years in your stock market,
11:14 then today's 2000,
11:16 that will be 20 crores
11:18 at that time also.
11:20 Believe this.
11:22 And this is the truth. Because what happens with us,
11:24 when we say that the last time was very easy,
11:26 today's time is very tough.
11:28 There is nothing like that.
11:30 The time is the same. If you make
11:32 a strategy, and for 20 years,
11:34 I will give an example,
11:36 you look at the power segment,
11:38 you look at the banking counter,
11:40 you look at the growth of the auto industry,
11:42 you look at the energy counter,
11:44 if you look at all these 5 sectors,
11:46 then after 20-25 years,
11:48 they will give the same kind of growth,
11:50 in which you will invest 2000,
11:52 but you will earn 20 crores.
11:54 You will see
11:56 a similar system in the next 25 years.
11:58 I was listening to someone's statement,
12:00 he said that
12:02 I think if you have not seen the interview
12:04 with the CEO of Religare,
12:06 he said that people think that
12:08 if something is going up, it will fall down.
12:10 They do not think that if Nifty is going up,
12:12 it will go up.
12:14 The rising thing can go up further.
12:16 That is why people do not make
12:18 their strategy in that way.
12:20 When they enter the share market,
12:22 you have explained this very well.
12:24 Now if we talk about
12:26 tomorrow's Nifty target,
12:28 what will be your target?
12:30 I will give you the target of tomorrow and two days.
12:32 We will see Nifty levels
12:34 above 23,500.
12:36 That is the first target.
12:38 Secondly, if we talk about Sensex,
12:40 we will see Sensex at 1 lakh soon.
12:42 Till when are you giving
12:44 the prediction of 1 lakh?
12:46 Because 76,000 was the all-time high.
12:48 On 27th May.
12:50 Yes, that high was there.
12:52 I remember that
12:54 in many media houses,
12:56 the t-shirt was printed that
12:58 if the high will be there, we will make it.
13:00 But now everyone has removed the concept of t-shirt.
13:02 Because every day a new high is made.
13:04 So I feel that
13:06 if we see the end of the year,
13:08 I think that Sensex
13:10 will definitely touch the 1 lakh mark.
13:12 And Nifty
13:14 will be easily
13:16 touching the 23,500 mark.
13:18 And there is no surprise that
13:20 we will see a higher high
13:22 in the market till the budget.
13:24 So if people are not
13:26 investing and they want to start their journey,
13:28 then you still have a good chance.
13:30 You said a very good thing.
13:32 I would like to add a point to it.
13:34 You said that when a high is made,
13:36 people think that
13:38 it has become very top.
13:40 Let me tell you one thing here.
13:42 When a high is made and it comes down,
13:44 then when it runs,
13:46 it makes a new high.
13:48 We have studied its very simple logic in physics.
13:50 You throw the ball up.
13:52 If you throw a 10 feet ball up
13:54 and it falls down,
13:56 then it may be giving you a 2 feet jump.
13:58 But if you pick up the same ball
14:00 and throw it 12 feet,
14:02 then when you pick it up again,
14:04 you will see that its height increases.
14:06 The market follows
14:08 this simple formula.
14:10 If it has risen by 100 rupees,
14:12 then it will come down by 80 rupees.
14:14 But when it is 80 rupees,
14:16 you must have heard the saying,
14:18 to go four steps ahead,
14:20 you have to go back.
14:22 If it moves back in the market,
14:24 then we see new highs.
14:26 Corrections like this are very important.
14:28 But the biggest confusion
14:30 that investors have right now
14:32 is about the strategies.
14:34 If you search from the SEO angle,
14:36 people are searching
14:38 what is the strategy for 4th June,
14:40 what is the strategy for 5th June,
14:42 what is the strategy for post-election.
14:44 All these things are not known
14:46 only to us.
14:48 If you search on YouTube,
14:50 there are so many YouTubers
14:52 who are giving the same knowledge
14:54 that what strategy you have to adopt.
14:56 One thing like we were discussing
14:58 before this interview,
15:00 when people have a lot of content,
15:02 a lot of material,
15:04 then people get more confused
15:06 about what to do.
15:08 They have to buy, sell,
15:10 buy, hold, what to do.
15:12 So you tell me,
15:14 people have a very crisp strategy
15:16 that I would like to share with you.
15:18 We don't have to give much knowledge.
15:20 People should have relevant content.
15:22 What should people do,
15:24 investors, traders,
15:26 what should they pay attention to?
15:28 Because even a small mistake
15:30 will ruin their portfolio.
15:32 You have said something
15:34 that is touching my heart.
15:36 That is why I am saying this
15:38 because I believe this
15:40 from the bottom of my heart
15:42 that you have said something very spicy
15:44 and I am saying this.
15:46 First of all, listen to your heart.
15:48 The money is yours,
15:50 listen to yourself,
15:52 don't listen to anyone else.
15:54 Take advice from everyone
15:56 but do it from your heart.
15:58 And secondly,
16:00 if you can get something more
16:02 about the strategy
16:04 that is being told in the market,
16:06 then see how much they are at a loss,
16:08 how many such scams are seen.
16:10 Please stay away from them.
16:12 Calculate it yourself.
16:14 I am saying this simply.
16:16 If you talk, I will give you a strategy
16:18 but I will say this, work on it yourself.
16:20 Don't depend on me to show you
16:22 that I am profitable.
16:24 I have tested 99% strategies
16:26 on YouTube,
16:28 I have back-tested it with historical data
16:30 and all failed.
16:32 Follow the simple strategy.
16:34 I don't understand rocket science.
16:36 I know that if I buy a stock
16:38 and I feel that it is increasing,
16:40 then I am adopting
16:42 a simple strategy.
16:44 I will buy the put
16:46 which is 2-5% below
16:48 the stock that I have already bought.
16:50 If I want to hedge the portfolio,
16:52 I will buy it.
16:54 If I feel that the bull trend is going on,
16:56 then I will buy the call
16:58 which is 5% or 2% above
17:00 the stock
17:02 on the day after tomorrow.
17:04 I am telling you again,
17:06 you have a stock which you already bought
17:08 and I will give you an example of SBI.
17:10 You have bought the share of SBI.
17:12 Right now,
17:14 it has 820 buys.
17:16 Don't do anything,
17:18 buy the call of Rs. 900
17:20 and let the market run tomorrow.
17:22 It will go up.
17:24 In the evening session,
17:26 take the profit that is coming,
17:28 go home, eat sweets,
17:30 who is the government, what is happening,
17:32 what is the connection with it,
17:34 you just have to make sure that your portfolio shines.
17:36 Let's quickly know your wish list
17:38 because it is very clear that the BJP government
17:40 is coming and the government will be formed with NDA.
17:42 So, which sectors
17:44 should investors and traders
17:46 keep in mind while making
17:48 their strategy for the future
17:50 in which they can get profit?
17:52 First of all, my first choice
17:54 is PSUs.
17:56 In PSUs, if you are a banking counter,
17:58 if I distribute sector-wise,
18:00 then take out a list of PSUs.
18:02 Exercise yourself, don't worry about others.
18:04 Take out a list of PSUs
18:06 and choose from that list.
18:08 If I go to a banking counter,
18:10 I have said many times before,
18:12 small banks,
18:14 small banks below Rs. 60-70,
18:16 buy and keep them.
18:18 If you buy a water bottle
18:20 at the airport,
18:22 you get it for Rs. 50,
18:24 normally you get it for Rs. 12-20.
18:26 There are many stocks that are getting for Rs. 27
18:28 like South Indian Bank.
18:30 Control this type of expenditure
18:32 and invest there.
18:34 Second counter,
18:36 if banking is going on,
18:38 then NBFC will also go ahead.
18:40 The government's manifesto
18:42 was that they will give more support
18:44 to the NBFC sector,
18:46 so I think you should take that sector.
18:48 The second sector, which is the most important
18:50 is of energy and power.
18:52 Stay in these stocks,
18:54 don't worry.
18:56 If you get a chance,
18:58 then do what I told you,
19:00 stay away from the sector,
19:02 or else, just take care of the positions.
19:04 If I go to the third counter,
19:06 then the scenario that I like
19:08 at this time is
19:10 the oil marketing companies.
19:12 Because if you are going to power,
19:14 you cannot leave them.
19:16 And the fourth, which is the most
19:18 safe, is the mining counter.
19:20 In which you get
19:22 huge dividends.
19:24 Whether the stock works or not,
19:26 you get dividends.
19:28 So I think
19:30 these four sectors
19:32 will be on my radar.
19:34 I will tell you who to stay away from.
19:36 That's important.
19:38 In this air,
19:40 you will get some chances to get some stocks.
19:42 And I am discussing this
19:44 at the end because
19:46 only the people who will watch your program
19:48 will get the benefit of this.
19:50 Don't drop the video after 1-1.5 minutes.
19:52 Otherwise, it will be a loss.
19:54 It will be a loss.
19:56 I will say that you will get
19:58 this crisp only after watching the whole video.
20:00 IT counter.
20:02 Join your hands. You will get a chance.
20:04 The air will flow. Get out.
20:06 Book the profit.
20:08 The second air counter.
20:10 Good profit is coming in the properties.
20:12 Book it. And I will give one more tip.
20:14 In the next 2-3 years,
20:16 if you invest a little less in the property
20:18 or if you leave a little,
20:20 then also you will be happy.
20:24 So, stay away from this counter.
20:26 And the third counter,
20:28 which is the most important here,
20:30 about which there are many rumors
20:32 that it will be good or not.
20:34 If we go there,
20:36 then I feel that you should keep some distance
20:38 from the FMCG counter.
20:40 It will not give you a loss
20:42 but it will not give you a return.
20:44 So, these are the options in front of you.
20:46 And the last thing I have told you
20:48 is to stay away from those 2 counters.
20:50 Any other such last strategy
20:52 that you would like to give to our viewers
20:54 on Election Day or post-election?
20:56 Look, at present,
21:00 we can make a strategy in 2 ways.
21:02 We can make it in an option.
21:04 Because everyone does not trade options.
21:06 They do not know about options.
21:08 They do not even need to jump into options.
21:10 Do not make one more mistake.
21:12 I am asking you to make a strategy.
21:14 You are saving it.
21:16 What should not be done?
21:18 It is necessary.
21:20 No one tells you.
21:22 That is why I am focusing more.
21:24 Because people will tell you
21:26 to buy options worth Rs. 2-5.
21:28 There is no use.
21:30 There is a reason for that.
21:32 Because they are getting Rs. 2-5 from so far
21:34 that the option is not going to go there.
21:36 The stock is not going to go there.
21:38 And it will be a waste for you.
21:40 So, do not do that.
21:42 How to do it?
21:44 If you are trading options in the market
21:46 at the money,
21:48 the stock price is going on,
21:50 at the same price,
21:52 the premium of the option,
21:54 call or put,
21:56 do both of them.
21:58 Keep waiting.
22:00 As your profit increases,
22:02 if you can get the same rate,
22:04 you will get the result.
22:06 You will get the result.
22:08 After the result,
22:10 someone will run here and there.
22:12 The one who runs will give the profit.
22:14 Keep both of them in mind.
22:16 Secondly,
22:18 the counters where you are facing losses,
22:20 and they come close to your rate,
22:22 in this situation,
22:24 book a profit from those counters.
22:26 Do not wait.
22:28 Keep these strategies.
22:30 Your portfolio will shine.
22:32 Before buying or selling,
22:34 revise this portfolio.
22:36 Filter it out.
22:38 What is garbage and what is good.
22:40 See that.
22:42 Thank you so much, sir.
22:44 Thank you for joining us.
22:46 These are some things,
22:48 if you keep in mind,
22:50 your portfolio will shine.
22:52 What to do?
22:54 Everyone tells.
22:56 But what not to do?
22:58 It is important to know.
23:00 That's all for this video.
23:02 I hope this video will be useful for you.
23:04 If you have any queries,
23:06 you can ask us.
23:08 We will try to answer you in the next video.
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23:12 like the Facebook page.
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23:18 subscribe to GoodReturns.