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In this detailed analysis, OneIndia's Aarushi Ranjan discusses with veteran journalist Shastri Ramachandaran the evolving dynamics of Russia's strategy in the Middle East. They delve into the misconceptions surrounding Moscow's role in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and explore Russia's more appeasing approach towards Israel amidst its regional maneuvers. Watch to understand how Russia's stance could reshape the balance of power and influence in the Middle East.

#RussiaIsraelRelations #MiddleEastPolitics #HamasAttack #IsraelConflict #RussianStrategy #IranConflict #RegionalPolitics #ShastriRamachandaran #AarushiRanjan #OneIndia #MideastStability #RussiaMiddleEast #Geopolitics

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Transcript
00:00There is no doubt that Trump taking a hand and putting his foot down has forced Netanyahu.
00:14Trump is a supremacist in the full sense. He wants to make it clear, I am the boss and
00:19you will take orders from me and the White House will not do what Netanyahu wants.
00:23So do you think it's a loss for Netanyahu or is it a win situation?
00:29Trump, it is definitely a setback to Netanyahu's power. The worst genocide in human memory
00:37in recent history has been brought to an end. Trump will talk and has said he can talk to
00:44Russia. He has already talked to Chinese President Xi Jinping. Russia too has a relationship
00:49with Israel. It's a secret relationship. One doesn't know on what basis Russia and
00:54Israel relate to each other. But you will not find much open conflict.
00:59We switch to Israel-Hamas ceasefire. Yesterday only we saw the ceasefire happening. Now Biden
01:06says that he has done it before leaving the office. But Trump on the other hand says that
01:10it's his fear or Trump supporters are saying that it's his fear which made the ceasefire
01:15happen. So what do you think? Who is the real peacemaker in this situation?
01:19It's not what I think. It's kind of both have been creating perceptions. It's a question
01:24of perception. What really went on, we knew that there were long agonizing talks for more
01:29than 90 or 96 hours in Qatar and Doha where these people are all talking. But I think
01:37in large measure, everybody knew that the war would have to end before the new president
01:43came in. So Biden would not have wanted to stay out of it all the time. But there is
01:49no doubt that Trump taking a hand and putting his foot down has forced Netanyahu to this
01:58thing. As somebody said, he must have taken Netanyahu's arm and twisted it. And when he
02:04didn't bend, then he would have told him in his ear, I want you to do this or I'm going
02:08to break your arm. Well, he didn't exactly do that, but he nearly did that in civil terms.
02:14For instance, who did he send? He didn't send any political figure. He sent a man called
02:20Steve Witkoff, who's a builder and builder, a construction magnate, a realist. We all
02:27know the kind of people who deal with those who get work done in the construction industry
02:32and what kind of language they use. So the story, the report is that Witkoff went and
02:38he said he wanted to come there and hold talks. And they said, oh, this is Sabbath day. So
02:44I think he told them something which is not printable, nor can I repeat it here, which
02:48made Netanyahu kind of quickly bow down to whatever was being asked and send officials
02:54who could negotiate. So what I would say is that Netanyahu ceased being de facto president
03:00of the US, which he was as long as Biden was running the show. And Trump is a supremacist
03:07in the full sense. He wants to make it clear, I am the boss and you will take orders from
03:12me and the White House will not do what Netanyahu wants.
03:15Okay, so that's quite a big statement. Also, many people are saying that it's a loss for
03:21Netanyahu to take three hostages in return of 90 prisoners. And many people are saying,
03:28even in Netanyahu's own government, they are saying that this should not be done. And many
03:32ministers have said that they will resign if the ceasefire happens. So do you think
03:36it's a loss for Netanyahu or is it a win situation?
03:42It is definitely a setback to Netanyahu's power. First and foremost, he has lost all
03:47leverage with the US. And Trump has moved in in unexpected ways. When he was in office
03:52last time, the person he entrusted to deal with Israel and the West Asian situation and
03:58Saudi Arabia, which led to the Abraham Accords, was his son-in-law Jared Kushner. This time
04:04Kushner is not on the scene. It was none of the political heavyweight. He chose a man
04:09who will be a messenger and who will show his fist, if necessary, and use hard words
04:15when called for. So it clearly shows that he is moving beyond diplomacy to exercise
04:20power and get the outcome that he wants. And what is the outcome he wants? He wanted an
04:26end to the war. Because it is unrealistic to expect that anybody can finish Hamas or
04:32the aspiration for a Palestine. That cannot happen. And I think Netanyahu was saying that
04:39so that he could keep the war going.
04:41Sir, also, what do you think that after Trump takes office, what's going to be the situation
04:48in Middle East? Because we saw a government takeover in Syria. Then Israel-Hamas ceasefire.
04:56Then how Trump's taking office this year is going to make difference in the Middle East?
05:02Trump's taking office, the first and foremost thing to be kept in mind is that the worst
05:10genocide in human memory in recent history has been brought to an end. And to the eternal
05:18shame, disgrace and criminality of the US administration led by Joe Biden, it was party
05:24to the genocide. The US could not have waged this war. The Israel could not have waged
05:29this war against Palestinians as they did. But for 70% of its resources, including arms
05:35and ammunition, coming from the US government and being supported by the Western powers
05:40out of hostility to Hamas. So, one can say that now people will have to, there's been
05:47a change in Syria as well. And the US is an occupying force in Syria. The US army is very
05:53much there on the ground in Syria. So, here is a security situation where what happened
05:59in Syria could not have happened without the tacit consent of say Russia, which has been
06:06the only security challenge to the US in Syria particularly.
06:10The only Assad supporter.
06:11Yes. So, I think everybody is prepared for change in Syria because it was inevitable.
06:18And the US itself otherwise had designated these organizations as terrorists. But they
06:23found that regardless of whatever hedging they did, these organizations had, it's much
06:28like the Taliban, when they eventually took Kabul because they had the rest of Afghanistan.
06:34It's a reality that cannot be denied, you have to come to terms with. So, the first
06:37thing now, I think, is if the big powers work together, because Trump will talk and has
06:45said he can talk to Russia. He has already talked to Chinese President Xi Jinping. And
06:51it is the Chinese President who brokered the deal between Saudi Arabia and Iran. So, one
06:57can see that gradually things might move in the direction of the Arab states led by Saudi
07:04Arabia and the organization of Islamic countries in which both Iran and Saudi Arabia are influential
07:12figures and with the US and Russia also going along. So, what exactly will happen, we cannot
07:19plot the steps right now. But definitely, there's going to be a clear break with what
07:25Biden had done.
07:26So, on the back foot, are we going to see a fight between US and Russia in the Middle
07:32East ground?
07:33There will definitely be a jostling for power because almost, there is almost no conflict
07:39in the world in which the big powers are not involved. And it is an exercise in carving
07:43out spheres of influence by each of them. They want their respective spheres of influence.
07:49But at the same time, they'll have to acknowledge that in this case, clearly now, Trump has
07:54the upper hand, especially if he is able to leash Netanyahu as he has done. And Russia
08:00might go along because Russia too has a relationship with Israel. It's a secret relationship. One
08:07doesn't know on what basis Russia and Israel relate to each other. But you will not find
08:13much open conflict or exchange of hostile words between Israel and Russia.
08:19Yes, we don't see it openly being done.
08:21Yes.
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