00:00Jadi untuk mengepas selanjut, kita bersama dengan Dr. Rowena Abdul Razak, Pakar Perunding Sejarah.
00:06Semua doktor, terima kasih kerana sudi bersama kami.
00:09Doktor, kita mulakan dengan serangan awal yang berlaku awak bagi tadi.
00:12Bagaimana reaksi awal masyarakat antarabangsa terhadap tindakan Israel yang mensasarkan fasiliti penting di Teheran ini?
00:19Apakah mesej yang cuba dihantar oleh Israel dengan serangan ini, doktor?
00:24Terima kasih. Maaf, saya akan jawab dalam bahasa Inggeris.
00:27At the moment, Israel is very, as Prof. Majah Yazid-Zukifli mentioned earlier,
00:36Israel wants to sabotage the nuclear deal with Iran.
00:40It feels that Iran is a threat to the region, so it wants to disarm and disable Iranian capabilities.
00:49It is a way that Israel can justify action in the Middle East and to continue its war in Gaza.
00:57there is a link between the action in Iran and the action in Gaza as well.
01:03Baik, Dato, pihak Iran juga telah menyatakan secara terbuka bahawa mereka akan memberi tindak balas yang tegas dan muktamad.
01:09Dalam konteks ini, Dato, apa sebenarnya yang boleh kita jangkakan dalam masa yang terdekat ini?
01:13Iran has taken a very big hit.
01:18It would be unusual for it not to retaliate.
01:21Everyone is trying to ask Iran to act cautiously, and it should.
01:26But at the same time, it cannot do nothing.
01:30It is quite limited in what it can actually do.
01:33As you can see in the map, Iran is quite physically far from Israel.
01:38Israel has quite impressive defence forces, things like the Iron Dome, as well as neighbours who will come to its rescue.
01:45But what Iran can actually do is it can retaliate in the same way, and it has indicated it will do the same.
01:53So targeting Israeli military facilities in Israel.
01:58But it might also target Israeli allies in the region, namely the United States in the Persian Gulf.
02:06This is also a possibility, and it has sort of indicated that it might do so.
02:11It could also retaliate in a way that it says that it will, but it actually won't,
02:17because they have the nuclear deal still on the table and may not want to jeopardise that.
02:22So we might see a very careful and measured response from Iran.
02:26But we will only know in the next few days.
02:28Dan menariknya, Dr. Kuasa besar seperti Amerika Syedikat dengan pantas menyatakan bahawa serangat ini dilakukan secara unilateral oleh Israel.
02:36tanpa sokongan Washington.
02:37Namun memandangkan hubungan rapat antara kedua negara, sejauh mana realistik untuk kita percaya bahawa Amerika Syedikat boleh benar-benar mengasingkan diri
02:45daripada implikasi politik dan ketenteraan serangan ini?
03:06Israel and the United States are still very close, and even though the rhetoric has changed towards Israel,
03:13and Trump has also said quite a lot of things against Netanyahu, ultimately the relationship is still quite strong.
03:20I would be quite surprised if Israel acted without any kind of approval or awareness from the US.
03:28The US was aware that Israel was going to launch this attack.
03:32So whether it did so with or without approval is maybe a little bit unknown,
03:37but we know that they did it with US awareness, which is good enough as saying that there must have been some kind of approval.
03:46Dr. Kittegin juga menanyakan bahawa apakah mungkin reaksi daripada proksi-proksi Iran seperti Houthi di Yemen dan sebagainya,
03:53mungkin apakah langkah-langkah yang bakal diambil ataupun yang boleh kita nantikan daripada negara-negara seperti berikut, Dr.
03:59Terima kasih, Amirul.
04:02The Houthis have been very strong with its response anyway.
04:08Even in the past, it has shown that it is not afraid of reacting to Israel.
04:15So it's possible that Iran might also go that route and rely on the Houthis to continue attacks,
04:22but it will not be substantial.
04:24The Houthis are still also quite limited in what they can do.
04:28They've also been severely weakened in a lot of military operations against them in Yemen.
04:35So even if they do respond, it will be quite limited.
04:39Dan bagaimana pula, Dr, dengan negara-negara teruk seperti kuasa besar seperti Arab Saudi,
04:43bagaimana mereka melihat situasi ini ketegangan di antara Israel dan Iran pula?
04:48Bagaimana mereka mampu ataupun untuk menenangkan keadaan di rantau ini yang sedang bergolak, Dr?
04:54It's possible we'll see a lot of these countries will condemn the attack.
05:00They don't want to destabilize the region.
05:03Saudi and Iranian relations have been improving over the last couple of months,
05:09and I think we probably will see Saudi Arabia not very happy with this development.
05:16But we must also remember that a lot of the countries in the Gulf states,
05:20in the Gulf, have fairly good relations with Israel and not very good relations with Iran.
05:27Even though, whatever their private feelings may be,
05:31these countries in the Persian Gulf do not want to destabilize the region.
05:36So I think there will be a lot of condemnation or at least abstaining from any kind of reaction.
05:44Baik, kita ingin mengucapkan terima kasih kepada Dr. Wina Abdul Razak,
05:48pakar perunding sejarah atas kebiasan beliau mengenai serangan udara Israel ke atas Teheran pada awal pagi tadi.
05:53Jadi, Israel Awani akan bawakan lagi perkembangan serangan Israel terhadap Teheran di semua platform kami
05:58dari pada semasa ke semasa.
