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South Australia’s newest university is not on track to meet its international student targets and is staring down lost revenue in the tens of millions. The federal migration crackdown's being blamed, but the shortfall's raised fresh questions about the business case for the $500 million merger.

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00:02A massive merger with ambitious targets.
00:06Three years ago, the business case of bringing together the University of Adelaide and UniSA
00:11said it would attract 6,000 extra international students by 2034.
00:16But that was before the federal government's migration cracked down.
00:19The timing was bad. I think that's the key to it.
00:21In its first year, the new unis enrolled about 16,600 international students,
00:274,000 fewer than the two universities last year.
00:30It's blaming the federal government's hikes to student visa fees
00:34and an increase in visa refusals from key markets.
00:37Now the government wants to bar international students' families from Australia.
00:41That is going to see the potential for continued downturns in our international student numbers
00:47and that has some really significant financial consequences.
00:51Like a potential $90 million shortfall in revenue.
00:55There are no major sources of revenue that can fully replace lost income from international students.
01:00For Adelaide, I think this will almost certainly mean some further restructuring to bring their expenses down.
01:07The Malinouskas government supported the merger with a $464 million package
01:12and says there's more to it than international students.
01:15This merger was pursued for a variety of different reasons
01:19but mainly about making sure that we can seize the economic opportunity for our state ahead of us.
01:25Adelaide University's global ranking has improved
01:27but this is a problem that's not going away.
01:30The university says the loss of international student fees will compound into 2027
01:34and will take three years to get its finances back on track.
01:38There won't be any help from Canberra either,
01:40where there's almost universal support for international student cuts.

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