00:00It starts with a ranked-ranked game between Texas Tech and Arizona.
00:03I took this Tech team to win the national championship
00:06coming into the season,
00:08and unfortunately, they just really never put it together
00:11on either side of the football.
00:13Defensively, their best moments are all splash plays, pick sixes,
00:16and offensively, there's just no rhythm out of Hammond.
00:19They're saying today that Tommy Castellanos is going to play,
00:23but like not.
00:24I don't know if they're like saying he's just going to start, right?
00:28It's just that they're going to play two quarterbacks here.
00:32Seems pretty bold out of Texas Tech.
00:36They're on a 2QB system in the biggest game of their season.
00:40A 3.5-point favorite here at home against Arizona.
00:43I lean Tech, I lean under, but this was one of those games
00:46you'll see guys that will reset the cards.
00:49I usually have about 10 picks today, about half that.
00:51This is a game that could have hit my card.
00:53I could have played the under, but I didn't love it.
00:55I just don't know what to make right now of this Texas Tech group here, Dave.
01:00Yeah, this game, I tried to get it on my card.
01:02I actually was leaning Arizona not to debunk your Texas Tech play.
01:07It didn't get to my card.
01:08I just, you know, Arizona won five straight,
01:11averaging 40 points per game with an average winning margin of 24.
01:14Obviously, they haven't played anybody great since losing to BYU
01:17in a game that they got outplayed against the Cougs.
01:20They just beat Iowa State 39-3.
01:23We don't know if Iowa State's any good.
01:25The mismatch that I'd like in this game,
01:27which is why I was leaning Arizona, is Arizona can score.
01:31Ninth-ranked passing unit in the country.
01:34And Texas Tech's pass defense is bad.
01:37They're bad.
01:38126th in the nation.
01:39They've allowed teams to complete 70% of their passes against them.
01:43I just couldn't get there because this is also a bounce-back spot for Texas Tech.
01:47We talk about playing spots like you lost last week.
01:51You lost to Cincinnati, who also has a big game today.
01:53You need this win if you're going to get to the Big 12 title game.
01:57This is like your margin of error is gone.
01:59I like your under.
02:01I almost got there on the under.
02:02Then I looked at Texas Tech's defense.
02:05I almost got there on Arizona, and then I looked at the bounce-back spot.
02:08Texas Tech, you mentioned the pick sixes, the 13 interceptions,
02:13five return for touchdowns.
02:14They still allow 260 yards per game in the air.
02:18They have a really good rush defense.
02:20So we'll see what FIFA can do here.
02:23I like both these teams.
02:26I couldn't get there.
02:27I couldn't get it on my card.
02:28But this is a win or go home for that Big 12 title game.
02:32Both 6-1.
02:33You can't afford a second loss with how, I would say, top-heavy this conference is.
02:39Neither one of these teams is going to be competing in the, you know,
02:42and I believe in the semifinals or later.
02:44You're not getting any Big 12 team in there.
02:46But I do think the winner of this game is sitting pretty to at least grab that spot.
02:51For me, you know, the Utah stuff's been pretty impressive.
02:56This is one of the interesting things.
02:58Gosh, I hate to do this.
02:59Man, whatever.
03:01The Big 12 is definitely a decent case for the 2014 playoff.
03:07Because I don't think that most of them are better than, I'll use LSU.
03:13LSU, to me, is like the perfect example of, like, all these debates we have on a yearly basis.
03:19LSU are going to win eight or nine games this year,
03:22and I think they're one of the seven or eight best teams in college football.
03:25Like, Lane has just, you know, struggled to close the door in a couple of spots.
03:28They got, you know, Will Steined, and it just is what it is, right?
03:34But do I think that Oklahoma State could beat LSU?
03:38I do.
03:39I do think that.
03:40Do I think Oklahoma State has a chance to get into a 12-team playoff?
03:43I do not.
03:44I don't.
03:45There's still a part of me that, like, doesn't even feel like any Big 12 teams are going to get
03:48in.
03:48I know obviously one will.
03:51You know, the Big 12 is, like, hoping they can be a multi-bid league.
03:54It's very funny that, you know, there was a moment where a Big 12 team that was ranked second might
03:59be, like, the worst of all of them in BYU.
04:02And I promise, like, that's not Notre Dame hating.
04:04It's in my interest to tell everyone that BYU are great.
04:06I just don't think BYU are great.
04:09I don't know.
04:11You seem to at least agree with that sentiment, though.
04:13So, you know, you've got to take what you can get here as I've somehow you've, I feel like, backed
04:17me into the 2014 playoff guy between the two of us.
04:21Like, I am interested in seeing these Big 12 teams play.
04:26And it's not going to happen this year.
04:28But I'm just saying I would be interested in seeing them play the Bamas and Ole Misses and Texases of
04:34the world.