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Vegas is completely writing off the NBA's top draft pick while high-volume chuckers soak up all the Rookie of the Year hype.

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00:00excitement it all started kind of in the offseason they did tank but they got the number one pick
00:04they drafted A.J. DeBonsa and there's an article here that BYU put out now they of course claim
00:13A.J. DeBonsa and they believe that A.J. DeBonsa is getting disrespected in NBA Rookie of the Year
00:20betting odds if you were to go right now to bet on NBA Rookie of the Year your favorite
00:27this is on FanDuel yeah is Cam Boozer he's at plus 200 second is Yaxl at Golden State at plus
00:37300
00:37Darius Acuff Jr's third at plus 450 Caleb Wilson fourth plus 450 and then A.J. DeBonsa
00:46dude that might be a good bet plus 1,000 no I think I would bet plus 1,000 I
00:52would bet on Acuff
00:52but Acuff's on a terrible team but that's why so I was looking at the Kia Rookie Ladder that's
00:59still a big thing but if he averages 26 to 28 he's gonna put up absurd numbers on that team
01:04so the Kia Rookie Ladder has Cam Boozer number one so Boozer right now he's not shooting great
01:11but he leads all rookies in rebounding at 10.3 he's averaging right around 17 points a game
01:20yeah now he's only shooting 37 percent yeah so he's not shooting great but he's also on a team
01:25that's six and one yeah so I don't think that's sustainable with the Grizzlies but that helps
01:31and then you've got Yaxl uh number two here on the NBA rookie ladder averaging 21 a game he's averaging
01:3821 a game and on a better team and so Darius Acuff's on arguably the worst team in the NBA
01:45that's
01:45why I think he's gonna win because I think he's gonna get so many looks I mean he's gonna put
01:51up
01:51absurd numbers do rookies of the year always play on good teams I think like MVPs and stuff you gotta
01:58be on good teams but I think on rookies yeah you can be on a bad team I think he's
02:02gonna put up
02:02absurd numbers I don't think the record means anything that's my pick although it might mean a
02:08little bit with Cam Boozer I mean your last few rookies of the year Cooper Flagg that was kind
02:13of undeniable I was a bad team Stefan Castle Spurs Victor Wembenyama Paolo Bancaro and Scotty Barnes
02:23yeah yeah I mean you're gonna be on bad teams he's not shooting great Darius Acuff yeah he's it's
02:29getting jacking up a lot of shots yes that's why he's gonna score an f-ton and they're gonna be
02:34exciting I think Devonta has a shot if he continues to score and be efficient what he is doing right
02:43now is different than some of those guys because he's shooting at 50 percent well listen I mean most
02:50of the guys like Caleb Wilson's putting up numbers too right he's another one Caleb Wilson is I was
02:55intrigued by him in the draft he was being comped to Kevin Garnett he's freakishly athletic super thin
03:02he's averaging almost 22 points a game he's also shooting 43 percent AJ Devonta's at 50 percent right
03:09now right because he's in midi you know dunker he's one of those guys and these numbers will change
03:15these these are changed over the course early I love Devonta I think they made the perfect pick
03:20for them I think there are other guys going to put up bigger numbers and if they do it based
03:23on
03:23numbers I don't think he's that's and I think you have to that's how you win an award is based
03:29on
03:29numbers right he's gonna put up I mean the last numbers the last three games Acuff was played he's
03:35put up 34 38 and 25 I mean I don't know how that doesn't win if that continues at all
03:40you should
03:40get props for that and I'll give you props because you're talking him in college well if he was 6
03:457 he
03:45would have been number one pick in the draft so all of these all of these um field goal percentages
03:50are I mean he started out slow but 47.6 48 50 I mean those are the last three games
03:56so he's starting
03:56to shoot better you should see the field goal percentages of some of the rookies
04:00now they weren't hyped up as much but Keaton Wagler yeah he was hyped up to an extent he's shooting
04:0829 percent Mikel Brown Jr. is shooting just over 29 percent 29.8 percent slaughter him seven games in it's
04:18just showing you that a rookie entering the NBA can have their struggles and that's where Devonta he's
04:23just kind of fit in now the difference is he's a number three option on this team right and some
04:31of those guys are stepping into situations where they don't have the talent around them they don't
04:34have right Anthony Davis that's why they're putting up the big numbers exactly right AJ's great AJ's a
04:40perfect fit they didn't botch it the NBA rookie of the year that doesn't mean anything um so I don't
04:46care if he wins it or doesn't but this is great but this is what's good about this I mean
04:50these rookies
04:51and you'll see a pretty good you'll see another one tonight Kingston Fleming's although he was
04:55just suspended by the league because he elbowed a player for the Hawks but I assume he'll play
04:59tonight but these rookies are really good yeah and that's what all the experts were saying they said
05:05this rookie class is going to be special and so far through that I really liked and he's got off
05:10to a
05:10relatively slow start you know um not shooting that great yeah you know what's he averaging about
05:1616 I got him at 13 13 13.4 and 3.3 assists he's again struggling from the field shooting
05:2336 percent
05:24from the field 37 from three yeah all right but again these numbers will change because I mean if
05:31the Bonsa starts scoring more if he's in the mid-20s in the next few games these numbers will change
05:36I don't know I kind of like that bet plus a thousand if you can get into plus a thousand
05:41I'm not saying
05:41he's the favorite right now but I think he'll move up what was the he's not I mean he's only
05:46played
05:47three games and he's got not getting a full complement of minutes yet right no so he's going
05:51to start playing more I mean he's now up to averaging 30 minutes a game I think he'll play more
05:57now I
05:57guess 20 I understand but yeah I think he played 35 minutes you give him five more minutes just give
06:04him a couple more points yeah now he's in his 20s and he's shooting at 50 percent unlike those guys
06:09on a
06:10better team may the Bulls and the Kings if you just went strictly by scoring they're two of the
06:14worst teams in the NBA right now right that's why yes that's why I think they're going to stand out
06:20more we're not talking about an MVP vote you're talking about like a guy's going to put up gaudy
06:25numbers that's what I think put up gaudy numbers with gaudy highlights and a lot of these guys these
06:31other rookies are getting I mean a cup's getting almost 37 minutes a game so he's playing a lot
06:37um Lendenborg he's at 32 um I assume that Wilson's probably in that 30 range Wilson's averaging 34
06:46minutes per game so 34 okay so they're getting they're getting more minutes right now than AJ but AJ's
06:50minutes will go up yeah AJ I've just been blown away at how just his uh maturity and just how
06:59he's fit in
07:00everything about him I love I mean we should get shoot the three a little bit better I think that'll
07:04come
07:04a couple years yeah boozers averaging 32 minutes so I would think you know what's he at now 30
07:12minutes a game 30 minutes a game through three games yeah so that'll go up to he'll probably be
07:16in the 35 range soon they're still limiting him I mean listen you got to have the guy on your
07:20side
07:21you got to get some health you know can't miss a bunch of games um he looks so comfortable on
07:27the
07:28floor that's what blown I think he's gonna get more and more shots but but here's you get a little
07:33more freedom and this is why it comes down to numbers and a cup's not the leader I mean he's
07:37fourth so he's not the leader in rookie of the year yeah on the rookie ladder yeah that's an
07:44opinion by the way yeah yeah I just don't know that the people are paying attention no this is an
07:50opinion these are odds what do you mean oh yeah the odds it's the most discussed rookie on social
07:55media everyone talks about him yeah well clowns on him because you know it's he plays he's the
08:00worst defender in the NBA he's not a good I don't think that matters I mean and he wasn't a
08:03good
08:03defender I don't think that matters for rookie of the year vote it doesn't at first it does matter
08:08it matters uh it's not just how many points you score if Cam Boozer and the Grizzlies the Grizzlies
08:13who won 25 games last year they're like six and one or five and one if they're a top three
08:18seed in
08:18the west he's winning rookie of the year and if he just put up a triple double the other night
08:22yeah
08:22Acuff is is fun to watch there voters aren't going to just be tantalized because he scored 25 points
08:27a game no that's why he's not the leader Matt he's not the leader that's the reason I'm talking to
08:32Eric Bickle okay yeah he's who I would pick he's who I would I don't think he's going to win
08:37it
08:37because of those reasons I would pick he's who I would bet on because I think he's just going to
08:40put up sick numbers well he's averaging I hear what you said that Boozer's going to elevate his team
08:47more okay I do not believe that Acuff's team is going to win a bunch of games no they're not
08:52I think he's going to be like Iverson that's such everyone always says that it's Alan Iverson
08:57shot 42 percent as a rookie and was outstanding defender he's shooting 40 percent he's not that
09:02far off he's two percent he's he had a he had a really good last game he was shooting 32
09:06percent
09:06the day but no no no he's had three really good games I just went through the numbers
09:09he's had three consecutive 40 percent it's not great but I mean Iverson was in that realm but that's
09:15the reason he's not the leader because he's on a bad team and he's not looked at as the best
09:20best overall player I just think he's so flashy those other two players it's going to be hard to
09:23not give it the two players that are leading Boozer and Yaxl are on good teams and helping their
09:28teams win games yeah but DeBonce is flashy Caleb Wilson's flashy I don't think DeBonce is that flashy
09:34I think if DeBonce's numbers increase points per game wise and they're winning his numbers are
09:40going to go up DeBonce is I don't know I don't feel like he's flashy maybe like what's flashy
09:46has a couple dunks a game yeah I guess I don't feel like he's just solid Acuff is taking as
09:53many
09:53shots per game as Luca yeah that's why I think he's going to put up think about that sick numbers
10:00so he's just jacking them and if they win 15 to 17 games this year yeah I don't know if
10:07he wins
10:07rookie of the year if there are other candidates who are close I don't think he will yeah all right
10:11that's what I'm saying you know what Eric Bickle is saying it but the other guys disagree yeah but
10:15why why are you obsessed with the numbers why can't you have why can't you be a champion for the
10:19story
10:20of of a rookie being a vital piece to a I don't know why do I have to agree with
10:25you why I just have
10:26a different opinion I think he's freaking dynamite I like like watching him play it's like he's a human
10:31highlight film that's all I mean he's a score he's a score I think these guys are all great I
10:36think
10:37AJ's great it's not like I wish we had Acuff I just think he's a he's a highlight film just
10:43thought you would stand on the table for your guy trying to yeah trying to win an award trying to
10:47climb the rookie ladder perfect pick for this yeah so I but I don't think he necessarily uh I want
10:53you to care if he wins the rookie of the year sorry you just want to win games I just
10:58want to win
10:59games yeah yeah yeah I'd rather be the wizards than the kings big time don't you think that's
11:04important when evaluating the the rookies and giving a giving I will say though that and I just
11:09said it if AJ's numbers if he averages 23 a game instead of 19 and they win 42 games he
11:15might but
11:16his his rookie of the year odds are going to go up trade numbers will have to go down which
11:20they
11:20might because it seems like he's very comfortable with uh you know distributing to these guys but
11:25Keyshawn's going to get his Anthony Dave's obviously going to get his right I still don't know if there's
11:30enough well if you just do the math if his three-point percentage ticks up a little bit
11:35and then he gets a few more minutes it'll get to the 22 23 points yeah but it'll just because
11:42he
11:42attacks the basket I mean honestly if you look at Luka Doncic's start to the beginning of the season
11:47part of the reason he's scoring more is he's hitting his free throws he's traditionally a 70
11:51free throw shooter and he's shooting like 90 percent so that's a couple extra points
11:54well that's where AJ's going to get his points is for going to the line he attacks the basket like
11:58as good as anyone it's just not I don't think it when I watch AJ that it's like super sexy
12:04like I
12:04feel I feel like when you watch a cuff it's more highlight worthy I don't know well he hits long
12:10threes it's just as an occasional dunk basket it's just the scoring yeah I mean if you if you're
12:16going to average 26 it's a little guy it's just also different when you're smaller right it looks it
12:22looks I still can't believe speaking of smaller guys I can't believe Ty Jerome's averaging 28 still
12:28maybe did you have seen him the other night I know it was their first loss overtime I think he
12:32scored
12:3311 straight like they were down and they just stormed back and it was all Ty Jerome and then
12:38I think he scored the game tying bucket had a chance to either win it or maybe push it to
12:44a second
12:45overtime and just missed another good look he's just found himself like a guy who just developed in the
12:51NBA went from a bottom of the bench player to a role player to a starter to a guy that's
12:56averaging
12:5620 that was last season to a guy who now is averaging close to 30 points a game it's absurd
13:02yeah
13:04no good for Ty Jerome and he's shooting the three well he shoots the shoot the three pretty well 42
13:09%
13:09I believe yep and they're winning games that helps but I don't know if that's sustainable for the
13:14Grizzlies because when you look up and down at that roster I know that they did draft Cam Boozer and
13:19he's been a good fit and he's the leading rookie in terms of rebounds per game at 10.3
13:25if you want to go look at all of the categories Acuff leads in points at 26 leads in assists
13:30at 6.3
13:31Caleb Wilson's leading in steals at 2 Mara's leading in blocks at 1.7
13:37so Boozer though the leading rebounder with 10.3 I think Yaxl is going to be the sleeper pick because
13:44that guy just looks like he fits in and you you got Curry and then he's kind of like the
13:50number two
13:51he reminds me of Paul George maybe not as athletic but just kind of that can do a little of
13:57everything
13:58I smart player too I just remember him reading a pre-draft preview about Yaxl and he just
14:05grilled him just for being older just you know because everybody leaves after a year now just
14:09giving him no credit they're like yeah he's an old one yeah whatever he just put up numbers on
14:14in college because he was older he's obviously proving that that's not the issue looks like he
14:19can ball and he's got an edge yeah I liked it when he went against uh LeBron or Luca I
14:26liked it
14:27yeah team want to see personality yeah well good for him but AJ will be fine AJ is he's and
14:36his
14:36numbers will go up he's basically perfect I just couldn't ask for a better draft that's that's who
14:41you wanted correct he's doing he's doing amazing blowing me away oh we played three games we don't
14:47get carried away no everything every time I've seen himself on the court I've seen the exact same
14:51thing a super confident strong kid who just plays like he's been in the league for 10 years he hasn't
14:57had that real bad game yet I mean everybody has bad games but I'm saying some of these other guys
15:02and
15:02we just talked about a cuff me he started out slow because he you know he was shooting 25 percent
15:06boozer started off slow shooting percentage wise um you haven't really seen that from AJ

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