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The US midterm election results reflect a massive mandate against Donald Trump's administration, driven by rising fuel prices, domestic inflation, and deep public opposition to the war in Iran. A projected Democratic sweep flipped several traditionally Republican states, securing congressional control that severely limits presidential funding for prolonged military action abroad. The discussion highlights the shifting geopolitical landscape, particularly regarding West Asia strategy, potential diplomatic exits, and bilateral relations between India and the United States. Furthermore, the voting patterns of the Indian-American community emerged as a pivotal factor, with key Democratic candidates winning crucial legislative contests across Florida, Maryland, California, and Virginia, while prominent Republican contenders faced defeat amid voter concerns over immigration, H-1B visas, and rising hate crimes.

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00:00It's a kind of mixed messaging there from Donald Trump, where on one hand, he says that, look, this wouldn't
00:05have been the result if I was involved.
00:07And the other, he says, yes, we're willing to accept this result and work with the Democrats.
00:11Let me bring in Gaurav Sawant on this broadcast, who's been tracking the results from early this morning as they
00:16trickled in from the projections to now the result,
00:19saying very clearly, Gaurav, that America currently, at least, is bleeding blue.
00:24What do you think is the biggest reason behind this kind of a mandate from America?
00:30Prices, rising fuel prices, and because of those rising diesel prices, everything, prices of everything shot up.
00:38And the common man in America was feeling the pinch.
00:41And President Trump appeared so far detached from the pain of the common person on ground, he was more busy
00:48talking about his ballroom.
00:50So there was this rich corporate America and the common man of America.
00:55And the divide was too wide to bridge.
00:59Prices, then the war in Iran, hugely unpopular, again, a cause for massive prices.
01:05And look at the ground reality.
01:07You know, when you were talking about this blunami, that blue tsunami that swept across ruby red states.
01:13North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas, Ohio, Maine, Kansas, Iowa.
01:18I mean, these are states that just turned blue.
01:22Even the Democrats didn't expect such a tsunami in their favor.
01:27They knew they were doing much better.
01:28They campaigned very hard.
01:30They found the pulse of the people.
01:32You know, the kind of activities of ICE in sending people out, dividing the country.
01:38America has risen against it.
01:40Gaurav, I think one of the questions that will be asked now is what is the geopolitical impact here, particularly
01:46on the war?
01:47Look, Trump is still the executive.
01:49Nothing changes on that front.
01:51But with the Democrats controlling the House, controlling the Senate, will we see a change in the strategy on war?
01:58So, this war is hugely unpopular.
02:01President Trump can either double down, go in for a short, sharp strike, as he has indicated he may, whether
02:08he's using this as pressure tactics, getting Iran to come and negotiate.
02:13Look, America was hoping for a regime change in Iran.
02:17There seems to have been a regime change of sorts in the United States of America.
02:21And President Trump won't be very happy about this.
02:23But you're absolutely right.
02:24He controls the foreign policy.
02:26He has all the power, except, of course, if he wants to wage a longer war, he needs money.
02:31And for money, he'll have to go to the Congress.
02:33And it's unlikely that, you know, they will support him on an unnecessary war, on an unjust war.
02:41Because that main question on the 20th of February, why did you bomb Iran when Iran was willing to sign
02:46the dotted line virtually everywhere,
02:48is a question that will once again be asked of President Donald Trump right now.
02:53So, will he double down and go in for a short, sharp strike?
02:55There are some, you know, fear mongers in the United States who say that he may go in for a
03:01tactical nuclear strike.
03:03Now, God forbid, it appears very unlikely that he should do something like that.
03:07But it remains to be seen whether he's in a position to get Iran to the talks table, negotiate an
03:15honorable exit.
03:16If not, then we may see a short, sharp war in West Asia.
03:21But I'm sure Trump recognizes, Gaurav, that this is a mandate against his decision for war.
03:26That will play out.
03:27And the point that you made about funds, in which case then it's not going to be easy for him
03:31to move this war any forward or get more aggressive.
03:34He cannot afford to get more aggressive.
03:36You're absolutely right.
03:37It's very, very unpopular in the United States of America because they're asking, why are we fighting this war?
03:44It's not our war.
03:45Point one.
03:46Point two.
03:46Iran was willing to talk to the United States that Democrats are doubling down, that they had managed to get
03:54Iran to the talks table, sign the dotted line, agree on the nuke aspect.
04:00They only had to take it forward.
04:02They had to negotiate better.
04:03Donald Trump actually used a sledgehammer and that appears to have boomerang on him.
04:09Election results do indicate that.
04:11But, you know, President Trump has been rather unpredictable.
04:15Look at the India policy.
04:18Now, America and India had a very warm relationship for over 25 years post the 1999 Cargill War.
04:26You know, we've reported the next step in strategic partnership after the post-Pokaran sanctions.
04:31And then the relationship was on an uphill trajectory until Donald Trump in his second tenure, you know, seems to
04:39have been like a bull in a China shop on a very important strategic partnership.
04:43Can it still be revived?
04:45Yes, it can.
04:46But the trust factor has certainly taken a big hit.
04:49You know, you make that mention of the India-America story also, Gaurav.
04:54There's an interesting story also in the way Indian-Americans have performed in this particular midterm.
05:00They were representatives from the Indian-American community for both Democrats and Republicans.
05:05And it's a very different story of how they have performed.
05:08So let's focus on that for a moment.
05:10We're calling it the revenge of Indian-Americans.
05:13There are several of them who've done exceedingly well.
05:16We put all those names on your screens there.
05:18You have Pia Dandia.
05:20Everyone's, of course, been talking about her, her story.
05:22As a Democrat, she's won Florida's 22nd district.
05:25That means she's the first Indian-American elected to Florida's House delegation, which is huge.
05:32Pia Dandia is now a woman everyone's watching out for.
05:36So Haas Subramaniam is someone you've heard of before because he's been re-elected now as a Democrat from Virginia's
05:4110th district.
05:42Then you have Aruna Miller, again, a known face.
05:46She's been re-elected as Maryland's left-hand governor.
05:49Again, a Democrat, clearly blue.
05:52Pramila Jayapal, Democrat, has retained Washington's 7th district.
05:55Not really surprising.
05:57Washington, a blue state.
05:58That's why 87% of the votes there going for Pramila Jayapal.
06:01Roh Khanna, very vocal, speaks about Indian-American rights, speaks about Hindu rights in America.
06:07As a Democrat has been re-elected from California's 17th district.
06:10Ami Bera, in California's 3rd district, is leading with 60%.
06:15We're expecting that that will essentially solidify into a win.
06:20And then you have Amisha, another Democrat.
06:23Arizona's 1st district with 55% of the votes.
06:27So far, that number also expected to go up.
06:30Contrast that with the Indian-American face for the Republicans.
06:33I'm referring to Vivek Ramaswamy, who lost.
06:36Listen in to what Vivek Ramaswamy said.
06:38Handpicked by Trump, and yet lost.
06:42Tough and challenging night for Republicans across the country.
06:46And it is a tough night for us here in Ohio.
06:50It was a tough race.
06:52It was bitter at times in both directions.
06:56I would be incomplete if I didn't tell you that I have some serious concerns about the future direction of
07:04our country.
07:07There's no avoiding that.
07:10But I do believe that there have been many ups and downs in our country's history, but we have, in
07:15the end, still found our way upward.
07:18And I have confidence that sometimes these things happen for a reason.
07:25Okay, so you heard there from Vivek Ramaswamy, but Gaurav, what do you make of the manner in which Indian
07:32-Americans have voted, the manner in which they've been represented?
07:35You know, it's interesting that Indian-Americans have actually had a big say in this election, because most campaign managers
07:40are also from this community.
07:43So, you know, in a way, they've gone back to the roots.
07:46That's a very interesting line that you had, revenge of the Indian-Americans.
07:50The manner in which, look, they've contributed immensely to the America story, to the U.S. story.
07:57Very positive, highly educated.
08:00They follow the law of the land.
08:02They contribute positively to every society.
08:04But the manner in which they were ill-treated, the rise in hate crimes against Hindus, in particular Indian-Americans
08:12in general, this has been rather unfortunate in the United States of America.
08:17And President Trump's team did precious little to arrest it.
08:21They may have made some of the right noises, but clearly they didn't.
08:25Now, for Indian-Americans who moved from Democrats to Republicans, it was a trust that was betrayed, and they came
08:30back to the Democrats.
08:32And this is where, you know, all those issues, whether it's with Indian-Americans, with jobs, with H-1B visas,
08:39with education, there was so much uncertainty under the Trump administration that they thought at least there's far more predictability
08:45with the Democrats.
08:47Whether that predictability remains, we will have to wait and watch.
08:52But it's not just Indian-Americans, but it's the expat community from across the world who seem to have gravitated
08:59more towards the Democrats.
09:01Do you think that this will trigger a rethink of sorts by Team Trump?
09:05Well, one would sincerely hope so, that better sense would prevail, because this is a relationship that India and America
09:11have both invested in very deeply over the past, you know, 25, 26 years.
09:17And President Trump, you know, with a sledgehammer blow, with his tariffs, the imposition of the 25% tariffs of
09:24India, completely uncalled for.
09:26Then putting punitive tariffs on India for buying Russian oil, when India was doing it to stabilize global economy, you
09:32know, that was completely uncalled for.
09:34The kind of remarks, uncalled for remarks on Pakistan, his support for Pakistan at a time with, you know, Pakistan
09:41is a state sponsor of terror, responsible for deaths of American citizens.
09:45And yet, President Trump in his second tenure was so different from Trump in his first tenure.
09:49Was it because of family interests and business interests, which the Democrats now say they will investigate?
09:54So, it remains to be seen whether, you know, the administration would be, would try and bring the relationship back
10:01on an even keel.
10:02But India, you know, some would say, yes, we are keen on a deal with America because it's in India's
10:07interest.
10:08However, India would rather not have a deal than have a bad deal.
10:12You know, on the issue of how he's handled India, tariffs and so many other aspects, he's been rather aggressive
10:18in the last two years.
10:20With this result, there is a possibility that he'll kind of soften down now on some of those issues.
10:26Because it's not just now the Republicans taking all the calls.
10:28The Democrats have a big, big say.
10:31Thanks very much, Gaurav, for joining us on this broadcast with your perspective, your analysis of this midterm result.

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