00:00We are not expecting any tropical impacts along the United States for the rest of this hurricane season.
00:08In fact, the Atlantic hurricane season ends at the end of the month.
00:12Now, how can we make that statement?
00:13Well, number one, we're already seeing strong westerly winds across the United States.
00:19That west wind would steer any system that would form well away from the United States.
00:25And the strong wind shear that's been present all year will likely prevent any tropical development, at least close to
00:34the United States.
00:35Now, here's where we are.
00:37Ten storms.
00:39Josephine was the last one.
00:40Only one hurricane.
00:41That was ECS.
00:42That's not only our only hurricane, but it's our only major hurricane.
00:47That's Category 3 status, maximum staying winds of 111 miles per hour.
00:51Now, if Kyle would form, where would it form?
00:54History tells us that the area to watch for development during the month of November is in the Caribbean and
01:01also east of the United States.
01:03But again, with those strong westerly winds across the United States, even if anything would form in that area, it
01:10would be pushed well east of the United States.
01:13And with the strong El Nino that's been in place all season and history, you can see how the odds
01:20for a tropical system really falls off by mid-November.
01:24It's more likely than not that there won't be any storms.
01:28It's more likely than the problems.
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