00:00You can't overstate how big the game is.
00:02We've talked about it all show.
00:05I mean, I'm not even sure there's much reason to watch if they lose tonight.
00:10And they just win so I don't have to play stupid Titanic music for nine straight weeks.
00:15Yeah, I mean, it's going to be brutal.
00:16It'll just be, you know, so toss-up cakes.
00:19To me, the key to the game is Jaden Daniels himself.
00:22The last three weeks, he hasn't run that much.
00:24I'm not saying he has to run, but he needs to play like an elite quarterback.
00:28He has to play more like a stud quarterback than a game manager.
00:33And in some of these games, he's played like a game manager, staying in the pocket.
00:36He's limited the turnovers.
00:38That's great.
00:39But we need to see something spectacular from Jaden Daniels.
00:42And he has an opportunity.
00:43In the last Giants game, he ran for over 100 yards, had two touchdowns using his legs.
00:49Like to see that type of performance again.
00:51You know what?
00:51I need more out of Rashad White and Eckler.
00:54And I'm leaning more towards Rashad White, who's averaging 32.6 rushing yards per game.
01:00That's just bad.
01:00Eckler's only been here for a few weeks.
01:02You need like a 50, 55, maybe 60-yard rushing effort from Rashad White.
01:07Well, you brought this up earlier.
01:09Bill has been missed.
01:11And Bill in the Giants game was really effective.
01:15Rashad White, when he's gotten the ball in the last two games, hasn't been bad.
01:1917 carries for 86 yards.
01:21They're just not committing to giving him the ball.
01:24I mean, the top three rushers currently for the commanders are Jaden Daniels is first with 252 rushing yards.
01:30Bill at 239.
01:32He's only played five games.
01:34And Rashad White with 228.
01:36Yeah, Bill would be the leader.
01:38He would be the leader.
01:39But he's only at 2.6 yards per carry.
01:41We went through the betting numbers and the props.
01:44And Rashad White's total for tonight in rushing yards is 38.
01:47Right.
01:47That's a starting running back.
01:48An RB1 should be higher than 38.
01:51That's above his season average.
01:54That's six yards clear of his season average.
01:56I think it's time of possession tonight.
02:00They lost the time of possession against the Rams by about three minutes.
02:04I think they've got to be in that low 30s.
02:06The Giants are second in the league in time of possession.
02:08They control the ball about 33 minutes per game.
02:12And that's with, you know, they've used two different quarterbacks.
02:16And, you know, they've had injuries at running back.
02:19I think you've just got to control the game and keep the defense off the field.
02:22So it goes back to Jaden.
02:23Jaden's got to be really good on third down.
02:26Well, he's also going to have to be really good.
02:27So earlier I said I think the key to the game is limiting Malik Nabors.
02:31He was targeted 20 times last time.
02:32But, you know, as Dave Richard said, it seems like J.J. maybe doesn't rely on him
02:37and likely maybe as much as Jameis did.
02:40So maybe that'll take care of itself.
02:43But he did a couple weeks ago.
02:44Okay.
02:45Did you go with third down?
02:47Are you still going with that?
02:48Chase has brought that up a lot.
02:49Yeah.
02:49I mean, third down, they're dead last in the league.
02:51So they've got to be better at that.
02:54And I think also kind of to J.P.'s point, listen, I've not been disappointed in Jaden on the whole.
02:59I think he's been pretty good this year.
03:00He's not been elite.
03:01I think he's been pretty good.
03:02I would like him to be, you know, spectacular, obviously, every game.
03:06And I think part of that will be against the blitz that we talked about, right?
03:11When they played the Giants earlier this year, they blitzed them 62% of the time.
03:17That's more than they have any other opponent.
03:19I assume they'll do that again.
03:21In 2024, he was, what was the stat?
03:26He was completing almost 80% of his passes against the blitz.
03:30This year, he's still doing, he's still adequate, better than average.
03:34He's completing around 66% of his passes.
03:37But let's see how Jaden does.
03:39I think a key to the game tonight will be how Jaden handles the blitz.
03:42I think they're going to be blitz heavy.
03:44And, you know, hopefully we can pop them for some big ones.
03:46I remember the first matchup, and we all were like this watching the game.
03:51We were all kind of scratching our heads, like, why can't they figure out the blitz?
03:54Because it was happening over and over and over again.
03:56And then I think in the end, in overtime, they actually had a blitz buster.
04:02So hopefully Blau has his blitz busters ready to go.
04:07If the Commanders want to get back into this playoff mix in the division,
04:11they've got to win three of the next four, in my opinion.
04:15Bengals games can be very difficult on a Monday night,
04:16just because of who you're facing, you're facing them.
04:18All right, so let's assume that's going to be another loss.
04:20Yeah, so they've got to beat the Giants, the Cardinals, and the Titans.
04:23Now, they're all road games.
04:24Right.
04:25I think it's doable, actually.
04:27I think it's doable.
04:28Let's start with tonight.
04:29If they lose tonight, not.
04:30If they lose tonight, it's over.
04:32Yeah.
04:32So we're deeming this a Titanic game?
04:35Yes.
04:35Yes, absolutely.
04:37If they're in a million percent type play Titanic.
04:39If they're two six and one, it's Titanic.
04:40It'll be like back in the day when we were on at night.
04:43Just the whole background, the whole show.
04:46It'll never stop.
04:47Did you wind up ordering the accessory you were looking for?
04:50Yep.
04:51It's in my cubby.
04:53Okay.
04:54The cubby cub.
04:54Now, I don't want to have to use it.
04:55You guys have shtick lined up?
04:57Potentially.
04:58Okay.
04:58I don't want to have to use it.
05:00So you're going to have like a violin?
05:02We didn't go quite that far, JP,
05:04but it's a nice touch.
05:06If the commanders lose tomorrow,
05:08which I hope they don't,
05:09we'll break out the accessory.
05:10But I'd like to keep it in Valdez's locker as long as possible.
05:14There's going to be like some plywood or something.
05:16Just going to be dressed as a captain or something.
05:18It's called Radio Tease, JP.
05:20EB, you know this.
05:22All right.
05:23Let's guess some more.
05:26Play the music, Kakes.
05:27We haven't lost yet.
05:28Insider.
05:29I'm still picking us, by the way.
05:32I've never seen the matchup predictor so close.
05:35It's 50.5% picking the Giants,
05:3949.1% picking the Commanders.
05:42Where's the other .4?
05:44A tie, JP.
05:45You got to account for a tie.
05:46You have to account for a tie.
05:48God forbid.
05:49All right.
05:49Let's go to Eric.
05:51I'm from Kansas City.
05:53Eric, what's up, buddy?
05:54You're on with the Junkies.
05:56Hey, how y'all doing?
05:57What's up, man?
05:59Hey, all right.
06:01So, to me, the key of the game is going to be, A,
06:05coaches is going to have to coach.
06:07They cannot come in second every week.
06:10This is the time they're going to have to know football situation.
06:14And the second one, the O-line, that left side in particular,
06:20somehow they're going to have to turn into the Hawks.
06:23We need them.
06:24This is the time.
06:26If that stuff fails, our season's over.
06:29That's the key to me.
06:30All right.
06:31Thank you, Eric.
06:31Appreciate you, buddy.
06:32Hey, Jason, I came up with a bet.
06:33Coach has got to coach.
06:35It's the first time I've ever heard that.
06:36I came up with a bet.
06:37I'm in the hole $2.
06:38You said come up with something so you can either go up four
06:41or I get back to even.
06:43I will bet, but you have to give me odds that the game results
06:47in another tie tonight.
06:48But you have to give me 250 to one odds.
06:52Are you kidding?
06:54No, I'm not kidding at all.
06:56What's the likelihood that you have back-to-back ties?
06:58There has to be a minimum $5 bet?
07:01No, no.
07:01It's the $2 that I owe him.
07:03So if he loses, he pays me $5.
07:05He's not going to do that.
07:06I'm not going to do that.
07:08How about 100 to one?
07:09No.
07:10Come on.
07:11What are the chances of it going to be a tie?
07:12I'll do a 50 to one with you for the two.
07:15Okay.
07:16I'll take it.
07:16All right.
07:17Done.
07:17I'll take it.
07:18I just reduced my odds by like 80%.
07:21It'd be bitter if I had to hand him $100 off the tie.
07:23Now I'm praying for a tie.
07:25Praying for a tie tonight.
07:27All right.
07:27Let's go.
07:28Let's go to Mike in Alexandria.
07:30800-636-1067.
07:33What are your keys to the game?
07:34I agree with Jason.
07:36They got to win three of the next four, but it starts tonight.
07:38None of it matters if they lose tonight.
07:41Mike, what's up, buddy?
07:43Y'all with the Junkies.
07:45How are you, man?
07:46Hey, guys.
07:46How are you guys doing?
07:47What's up?
07:47I'm doing good.
07:48I feel like key to the game and the key to the rest of the season is that
07:51JD has to take more control of the offense.
07:53You know, it's been too many times at the end of the game where it's always,
07:57oh, you know, we're just going by the coach's play call and the coach's this
08:00and that.
08:01You know, the best quarterbacks in the league, Mahomes, Allen,
08:05they don't rely on their coaches 24-7.
08:07I feel like if JD wants to take that next step, he needs to, you know,
08:10be the coach on the field and take more control.
08:11It's kind of fair.
08:12I think that's fair.
08:13Especially in like a final two-minute situation.
08:16It's just like, let's let JD cook.
08:18Let's let him figure it out.
08:19Let him take control of the game.
08:21I like that.
08:21By the way, tie is 60-1.
08:24Tie is 60-1?
08:25So you're in the realm.
08:26The 50-1 is pretty close.
08:27You're in the realm.
08:28I actually do want the commander's win.
08:30I'd happily pay you $2, JP, to secure a commander's win.
08:34Are you going to take it, JP?
08:35Yeah, it's already because he's already consummated.
08:37All right, good.
08:38I think, you know, he brings up a good point as I'm thinking about it.
08:42I think maybe, I was kind of talking to CK about this yesterday.
08:45I didn't use this phrase, but I think maybe it's appropriate.
08:49There may be a little bit of like overcoaching of Jaden going on, you know?
08:54Maybe not so.
08:55You know what I mean?
08:55Let's just let him be him, especially in the late-game situation.
08:59Step back and just let him play.
09:00Maybe step back a little bit.
09:01And maybe they're overcoaching him, you know?
09:04And, hey, if this is not there, you got to call this.
09:07Yeah.
09:07Right.
09:07You know, no, no, no.
09:09The kid did pretty good in 2024, you know, especially in hurry-up situations, in late-game situations.
09:16Whatever the hell they were doing then, let's get back to that.
